Real Madrid vs Partizan Prediction 8 October 2026

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Key points

    πŸ€ The EuroLeague serves up another blockbuster clash as Real Madrid host Partizan on Thursday night. Encounters between these two sides have long surpassed the level of routine regular-season games, evolving into a fierce rivalry. The Spanish giants come into this matchup as clear favourites according to the bookmakers, but they stumbled out of the gate in this year’s competition, while the Belgrade outfit have made a flawless start.

    Head-to-Head

    πŸ“Š Real Madrid and Partizan have faced each other 12 times in official matches. The hosts have claimed 10 wins, while the visitors have come out on top twice. Their most recent head-to-head took place on 13 February 2026 at Partizan’s home court, where Partizan fell short, losing 73-77.

    Head-to-head statistics Real Madrid - Partizan

    83%
    10 Wins
    17%
    2 Wins
    13.02.26
    ERL
    Partizan Belgrade
    Partizan Belgrade
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    73
    77
    19
    20
    14
    23
    28
    19
    12
    15
    15.10.25
    ERL
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Partizan Belgrade
    Partizan Belgrade
    93
    86
    24
    12
    28
    21
    23
    23
    18
    30
    10.04.25
    ERL
    Partizan Belgrade
    Partizan Belgrade
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    89
    91
    24
    22
    22
    26
    28
    17
    15
    26
    10.10.24
    ERL
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Partizan Belgrade
    Partizan Belgrade
    93
    86
    24
    24
    26
    23
    18
    17
    25
    22
    21.03.24
    ERL
    Partizan Belgrade
    Partizan Belgrade
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    76
    88
    13
    13
    18
    20
    23
    35
    22
    20
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    Real have endured the worst start to a EuroLeague campaign in their history.

    No one expected Real Madrid to follow up their EuroLeague Super Cup triumph with three straight losses to open the regular season. The latest setback for MartΓ­nez’s side came at the hands of Hapoel Tel Aviv. The only consolation for Los Blancos is that all these defeats have come on the road-a recurring issue that plagued them last season as well. It’s clear that the new head coach has yet to fix this lingering problem.

    As many pundits feared, it’s apparent that MartΓ­nez will need significant time to instill his playing philosophy. To make matters worse, Real head into this clash shorthanded. Deck is sidelined with an injury and will definitely miss out, while Garuba is also unavailable. That’s two rotation players from the frontcourt who could have helped contain Partizan’s big men. As a result, all the responsibility will once again fall on Tavares’ shoulders. Interestingly, Partizan lack a true physical match-up for him-Lauvergne brings experience, but he can’t match Tavares’ size or athleticism.

    Match Results: Real Madrid

    04.10.26
    ACB
    Obradoiro CAB
    Obradoiro CAB
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    107
    114
    22
    22
    21
    32
    26
    21
    30
    24
    8
    15
    W
    01.10.26
    ERL
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    102
    98
    29
    20
    34
    23
    12
    32
    27
    23
    L
    29.09.26
    ERL
    Efes Anadolu Istanbul
    Efes Anadolu Istanbul
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    94
    84
    27
    29
    26
    12
    19
    24
    22
    19
    L
    27.09.26
    ACB
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Unicaja Malaga
    Unicaja Malaga
    89
    87
    23
    22
    23
    25
    19
    24
    24
    16
    W
    24.09.26
    ERL
    BC Dubai
    BC Dubai
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    78
    77
    20
    16
    18
    28
    25
    18
    15
    15
    L
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    Partizan: Can They Withstand the Challenge of a Fired-Up Real?

    Partizan, on the other hand, have been a real surprise package in the opening rounds, stringing together three straight wins. While their victims-Olimpia, Paris, and Bayern-aren’t European heavyweights, it’s worth noting that last season the Serbian side often stumbled against teams of similar stature. For the second year running, Jones has firmly established himself as Partizan’s undisputed leader, consistently proving that when he’s in form, he ranks among Europe’s elite point guards.

    Partizan’s unbeaten start has largely been built on defense, with the team currently sitting fourth in the defensive rankings. However, their preparations for the trip to the Spanish capital have been overshadowed by injury problems. Both Willis and Stevens are sidelined, depriving the visitors of two key rotation players who could have been vital in matching up with Real’s frontcourt. Their absence leaves the squad thinner and puts extra pressure on Lovern and the rest of the big men. Whether he can withstand the challenge posed by the star-studded Tavares remains a major question mark.

    Match Results: Partizan Belgrade

    05.10.26
    Liga ABA
    Partizan Belgrade
    Partizan Belgrade
    Mega Basket Belgrade
    Mega Basket Belgrade
    83
    59
    22
    18
    20
    15
    21
    12
    20
    14
    W
    02.10.26
    ERL
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Partizan Belgrade
    Partizan Belgrade
    84
    86
    27
    22
    20
    24
    18
    11
    19
    29
    W
    29.09.26
    ERL
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    Partizan Belgrade
    Partizan Belgrade
    79
    92
    18
    15
    22
    29
    23
    23
    16
    25
    W
    25.09.26
    ERL
    Partizan Belgrade
    Partizan Belgrade
    Olimpia Milano
    Olimpia Milano
    92
    76
    20
    16
    22
    20
    21
    22
    29
    18
    W
    19.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Partizan Belgrade
    Partizan Belgrade
    JL Bourg Basket
    JL Bourg Basket
    101
    77
    20
    17
    29
    28
    33
    13
    19
    19
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 90, for the away team - 85.58;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 175.58.

    Statistics: Real Madrid vs Partizan Belgrade

    • average total in the tournament: 166.5 vs 169.67;
    • average total points scored: 80.5 vs 90;
    • average total points conceded: 86 vs 79.67;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 42.5 vs 44;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 38 vs 46;
    • Real Madrid: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 0;
    • Partizan Belgrade: average total points scored away in the tournament - 89;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 96.3 (home - 93.5) vs 86 (away - 88.2).
    Trends
    • Real Madrid have scored over 86.5 points in last 6 home games against Partizan Belgrade (Euroleague).
    👉Prediction: Real Madrid Total points Over (86,5) (odds: 1.41)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of matchups - 12;
    • number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 2.

    Statistics: Real Madrid vs Partizan Belgrade

    • number of tournament matches played: 3 vs 3;
    • number of wins: 0 (0%) vs 3 (100%);
    • number of losses: 2 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
    • number of wins at home for the home team: 0;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of wins: 5 vs 6;
    • number of losses: 5 vs 4;
    • number of home wins for the home team: 2;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 3.
    Trends
    • Partizan Belgrade won with a +12.5 points handicap in 11 of last 12 games against Real Madrid (Euroleague).
    👉Prediction: Partizan Belgrade Handicap (+12,5) (odds: 1.51)

    ⭐ Editor’s Prediction

    Real Madrid look like a more cohesive and well-drilled unit, boasting greater squad depth. On home court, Los Blancos are fully capable of dictating the tempo-something Partizan will likely struggle to match over four quarters. With Willis and Stevens sidelined, the visitors simply lack the physicality to compete with Tavares on the boards. On top of that, Real’s roster features players with EuroLeague finals experience. While Partizan have had their moments, Madrid typically raise their game to another level on their own floor. The smart play here is to back the hosts to win with a -6.5 handicap.
    Real Madrid Handicap (-6,5)
    Odds-179
    Published: 07/10/2026, 15:17
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Basketball expert
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    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Real Madrid - Partizan Belgrade

    Real Madrid have won:
    real-madrid-bckk-partizan-beograd-nisin last 9 games against Partizan Belgrade (Euroleague).
    real-madrid-bcin last 8 home games (Euroleague).
    Real Madrid Win (inc. OT)
    -455
    Real Madrid won the 2nd quarter:
    real-madrid-bckk-partizan-beograd-nisin last 6 games against Partizan Belgrade (Euroleague).
    real-madrid-bcin 7 of last 8 home games (Euroleague).
    2nd Quarter Real Madrid to Win
    -185
    Real Madrid won the 1st half:
    real-madrid-bckk-partizan-beograd-nisin last 6 games against Partizan Belgrade (Euroleague).
    real-madrid-bcin 7 of last 8 home games (Euroleague).
    1st Half Real Madrid to Win
    -244
    Real Madrid won the 1st quarter:
    real-madrid-bcin last 6 home games.
    1st Quarter Real Madrid to Win
    -179
    View more facts

    Real Madrid - Partizan Table position

    Regular season
    MPWLForm
    3.
    Valencia Basket
    Valencia Basket
    330
    4.
    Partizan Belgrade
    Partizan Belgrade
    330
    5.
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    321
    18.
    Saski Baskonia
    Saski Baskonia
    312
    19.
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    303
    20.
    Maccabi Tel-Aviv
    Maccabi Tel-Aviv
    303