Hungary (W) vs Japan (W) Prediction 8 September 2026

Details
Key points
    Hungary (W)
    Hungary (W)
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    84
    63
    20
    17
    21
    26
    12
    22
    11
    18

    🏀 The Women's World Cup playoffs tip off this Tuesday, with Hungary and Japan set to clash in the Round of 16. The Hungarians looked far more convincing throughout the group stage, making it somewhat surprising that bookmakers - albeit by a narrow margin - have installed Japan as slight favorites. It’s clear that the undersized Asian side will face a tough challenge containing Juhász and Takács-Kiss.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The teams last faced off in March 2026 during the World Cup qualifiers, where Hungary claimed a convincing 77-65 victory.

    Head-to-head statistics Hungary (W) - Japan (W)

    100%
    2 Wins
    0%
    0 Wins
    08.09.26
    WCW
    Hungary (W)
    Hungary (W)
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    84
    63
    20
    12
    17
    22
    21
    11
    26
    18
    09.02.24
    OLY
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    Hungary (W)
    Hungary (W)
    75
    81
    22
    13
    10
    19
    16
    21
    27
    28
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Hungary (W) Team Overview

    Hungary secured a confident second-place finish in their group. After falling to a powerhouse French side, they bounced back with convincing wins over Nigeria and South Korea. The team’s biggest strength lies in their dominance on the boards, averaging 43.7 rebounds per game throughout the tournament. However, turnovers remain a major concern - Hungary cough up the ball an average of 23 times per game, often gifting opponents easy transition points. The entire Hungarian game plan revolves around their star duo, Juhász and Takács-Kiss, who form an imposing “twin tower” presence in the paint. Juhász consistently posts double-doubles, controlling the lane and cleaning up on the glass. In their last outing against South Korea, this tandem combined for 36 points. It’s clear that Japan will struggle to contain Hungary’s powerful frontcourt, but Hungary themselves are still searching for ways to limit their turnovers - a critical factor when facing such a fast-paced, attacking opponent.

    Match Results: Hungary (W)

    10.09.26
    WCW
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    Hungary (W)
    Hungary (W)
    108
    56
    36
    12
    23
    18
    34
    17
    15
    9
    L
    08.09.26
    WCW
    Hungary (W)
    Hungary (W)
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    84
    63
    20
    12
    17
    22
    21
    11
    26
    18
    W
    07.09.26
    WCW
    Hungary (W)
    Hungary (W)
    Republic of Korea (W)
    Republic of Korea (W)
    82
    73
    20
    16
    20
    20
    18
    20
    24
    17
    W
    05.09.26
    WCW
    Nigeria (W)
    Nigeria (W)
    Hungary (W)
    Hungary (W)
    67
    71
    13
    21
    13
    15
    16
    16
    25
    19
    W
    04.09.26
    WCW
    Hungary (W)
    Hungary (W)
    France (W)
    France (W)
    53
    99
    11
    29
    9
    32
    11
    16
    22
    22
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Japan (W) Team Overview

    Japan enter this clash with just one win (over Mali) and two defeats from their three group stage fixtures, finishing third in their group. The team struggled to put up much resistance against both Spain and Germany. Unlike the Hungarians, Japan rely on a fast-paced, dynamic lineup featuring sharpshooters like Hayashi and Takada. The Asian side excel on the perimeter, setting tournament records for three-pointers made, and boast impressive depth - Japan’s bench contributes 34.3 points per game, compared to Hungary’s 24.7. They take good care of the ball, averaging only 12.7 turnovers, and are quick to punish opponents’ mistakes in transition. However, Japan manage just 31.7 rebounds per game and clearly struggle when matched up against strong, physical interior defenses.

    Match Results: Japan (W)

    26.09.26
    WABG
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    Republic of Korea (W)
    Republic of Korea (W)
    70
    75
    15
    27
    8
    15
    28
    21
    19
    12
    L
    25.09.26
    WABG
    Chinese Taipei (W)
    Chinese Taipei (W)
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    52
    80
    11
    20
    16
    19
    13
    23
    12
    18
    W
    24.09.26
    WABG
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    Thailand (W)
    Thailand (W)
    86
    29
    20
    6
    21
    10
    22
    6
    23
    7
    W
    22.09.26
    WABG
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    Philippines (W)
    Philippines (W)
    89
    67
    24
    11
    28
    21
    16
    18
    21
    17
    W
    20.09.26
    WABG
    Kazakhstan (W)
    Kazakhstan (W)
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    23
    88
    9
    23
    6
    25
    5
    23
    3
    17
    W
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    This matchup sets up as a classic clash of styles: Hungary bring size and physicality, while Japan rely on speed and perimeter shooting. The Asian side will find it tough to defend Juhász and Takács-Kiss without fouling-Japan simply lack defenders with comparable height and strength. If Hungary manage to dictate the tempo and avoid getting dragged into a frantic, up-and-down contest, they should dominate the offensive glass. With their size advantage, the Europeans have every chance to replicate their winning formula from March and effectively shut down Japan’s perimeter threats. Meanwhile, Japan struggled mightily in half-court offense even against Mali, one of the tournament outsiders. All things considered, Hungary’s strengths look more convincing here. Our pick: back the nominal hosts with a +2.5 handicap.

    Hungary (W) Handicap (+2,5)
    Odds-120
    Published: 08/09/2026, 04:35
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Basketball expert
    78
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    57
    135 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Hungary (W) - Japan (W)

    Japan (W) lost the 1st half:
    japan-2in last 7 games (FIBA World Cup Women).
    1st Half Hungary (W) to Win
    -106
    Over 35.5 points in the 2nd quarter:
    japan-2in 16 of last 18 Japan (W) games.
    2nd Quarter Total Over 35,5
    -119
    Hungary (W) scored over 16.5 points in the 4th quarter:
    hungaryin 11 of last 12 games.
    4th Quarter, Hungary (W) Total points Over (16,5)
    -
    Hungary (W) scored under 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter:
    hungaryin 8 of last 9 games.
    3rd Quarter, Hungary (W) Total points Under (18,5)
    -116
    View more facts

    Hungary (W) - Japan (W) Table position

    Group stage Group A
    gWLPForm
    1.
    Spain (W)
    Spain (W)
    3215
    2.
    Germany (W)
    Germany (W)
    3215
    3.
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    3124
    4.
    Mali (W)
    Mali (W)
    3124