Mercury vs Chicago Sky (W) Prediction 8 July 2026
🔊 In this WNBA regular season clash, the Phoenix Mercury take on the Chicago Sky. Both teams are known for their offensive firepower, and their upcoming head-to-head could be another showcase of high-scoring basketball. Defense often takes a back seat when these sides meet.
Head-to-Head
📊 The most recent meeting between these teams took place not long ago, in mid-May. Phoenix came out on top with a 91-83 victory. Looking at their last five head-to-head clashes, the Mercury hold a commanding advantage, winning all five matchups (5-0).
Head-to-head statistics Mercury - Chicago Sky (W)
Phoenix Mercury (W) Team Overview
In this matchup, Phoenix are seen as slight favorites. It's not just the home-court advantage at play here - their recent form has been impressive, with four wins in their last five games. Statistically, they average 86.7 points per game, but that number climbs to 90.3 when playing at home. Clearly, Phoenix have plenty of scoring potential heading into this contest, especially considering they've averaged over 96 points across their last three outings. In such scenarios, defense often takes a back seat, as evidenced by the 85.6 points they concede on average.
Match Results: Phoenix Mercury (W)
Chicago Sky (W) Team Overview
The Chicago women’s team have been putting up impressive offensive numbers, averaging 91.3 points per game. However, their defense has been a major concern, conceding an average of 93.9 points. Playing on the road poses even more challenges, as highlighted by their recent back-to-back clashes with Las Vegas (90-98, 99-107). Chicago thrive in a high-tempo style, and at this stage of the season, they’re willing to take that risk. Overall, though, results have been disappointing, with just two wins in their last ten outings. Their only real hope lies in their offense, counting on their sharpshooters to catch fire.
Match Results: Chicago Sky (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 55;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 15; for the visitors on the road - 12;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 41.11;
- Today's home team averages 20.84, while the visitors average 20.27.
First Quarter Stats: Phoenix Mercury (W) (home) vs Chicago Sky (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 10 vs 10;
- Number of wins: 5 (50%) vs 2 (20%);
- Number of losses: 3 (30%) vs 8 (80%);
- Number of draws: 2 (20%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 24.6 vs 17.4;
- Average points conceded: 22.7 vs 21.7.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 4;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 5;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 45.2 (scored - 23.2, conceded - 22) vs 44.3 (scored - 21.9, conceded - 22.4).
- Chicago Sky (W) lost the 1st quarter in 8 of last 9 away games (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 55;
- Home team wins - 33, away team wins - 22.
- Phoenix Mercury (W) have won in last 9 games against Chicago Sky (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 84.25, for the away team - 83.56;
- average total points in H2H matches - 167.82.
Statistics: Phoenix Mercury (W) vs Chicago Sky (W)
- average total in the tournament: 170.87 vs 177.64;
- average total points scored: 85.35 vs 87;
- average total points conceded: 85.52 vs 90.64;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 44 vs 40.18;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 41.17 vs 46.27;
- Phoenix Mercury (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 87.7;
- Chicago Sky (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 82.7;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 86.7 (home - 90.25) vs 91.3 (away - 83.8).
- Chicago Sky (W) have scored over 87.5 points in 7 of last 8 games (WNBA).
Editor's Pick
The hosts look set to rack up points consistently in this matchup, especially with Chicago struggling defensively all season long. Our editorial team expects both sides to play with little emphasis on defense for most of the contest, leading to a fast-paced game with plenty of possessions. The WNBA is also known for a high number of fouls, with many aggressive drives to the basket resulting in frequent trips to the free-throw line. With that in mind, we’re backing a high-scoring affair from both teams and will take over 172.5 points as our pick for this one.
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Betting Tips: Phoenix Mercury (W) - Chicago Sky (W)
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