Olympiacos vs Real Madrid Prediction
🔊 In the upcoming EuroLeague clash, Olympiacos host Real Madrid at their home court. Both clubs are among the frontrunners, vying for supremacy in the tournament. This game will serve as a crucial test for both teams, given their current standings and their desire to solidify their positions. Both sides have been delivering strong performances and are highly motivated to secure a victory. Who will rise to the occasion in this pivotal and intense battle? Let's analyze the matchup and provide an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Olympiacos and Real Madrid:
- played 42 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 20 for today's home team and 22 for the guests;
- the home team averages 77.45 points per match, the guests - 79.12;
- average total match points - 156.57.
The last confrontation took place on 02 October 2025 at the venue of Real Madrid and ended with a score of 89:77.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Olympiacos Team Overview
Olympiacos are in impressive form, having won 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions. In their last five EuroLeague games, they have secured three victories and, thanks to several slip-ups by rivals Fenerbahce, have climbed to the top of the standings. The Piraeus side averages 90.1 points per game (ranking 4th) while allowing 83.8 points (6th place). Olympiacos play a balanced brand of basketball and boast one of the tournament's strongest rosters, making them a top contender this season.
It's no surprise that Bartzokas' men cover a -5.5 spread at home in 16 of their last 17 games. Last week, Olympiacos didn't shine against underdog ASVEL, but still came out on top (82-74) thanks to their superior class and experience. The Greek team now has extra motivation, as a victory over Real Madrid would virtually guarantee them a spot in the top four at the end of the regular season and secure home-court advantage in the quarterfinal playoffs.
Match Results: Olympiacos

Real Madrid Team Overview
Real Madrid are also in excellent form, having won eight of their last ten matches this season. While Olympiacos often secures victories through their powerful offense, the Spanish champions rely on a solid defense (allowing 82.9 points per game, ranked 2nd), largely due to their dominance in the paint, thanks to the star power of big man Tavares.
Scariolo's squad has also shown significant improvement in their offense compared to last season. However, Madrid still struggles with a major issue-poor performances in EuroLeague away games, managing only 5 wins out of 17 encounters. In their latest outing, they surprisingly fell to local underdogs Saski Baskonia (96-98), despite having a score to settle after losing to them in the recent Copa del Rey final. This setback didn't knock Real off the third spot, but their rivals are breathing down their necks.
Match Results: Real Madrid
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 42;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 11; for the visitors on the road - 5;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 37.93;
- Today's home team averages 17.93, while the visitors average 20.
First Quarter Stats: Olympiacos (home) vs Real Madrid (away)
- Tournament matches played: 17 vs 17;
- Number of wins: 10 (58.82%) vs 9 (52.94%);
- Number of losses: 6 (35.29%) vs 7 (41.18%);
- Number of draws: 1 (5.88%) vs 1 (5.88%).
- Average points scored: 23.12 vs 22.76;
- Average points conceded: 20.71 vs 20.29.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 4;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 6;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 44.5 (scored - 23.2, conceded - 21.3) vs 41.8 (scored - 20.2, conceded - 21.6).
- Under 43.5 points in the 1st quarter in 16 of last 18 Olympiacos games against Real Madrid (Euroleague).
- Under 43.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 Olympiacos home games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 42;
- number of wins for the home team - 20, for the away team - 22.
Statistics: Olympiacos vs Real Madrid
- number of tournament matches played: 35 vs 35;
- number of wins: 23 (65.71%) vs 22 (62.86%);
- number of losses: 12 (34.29%) vs 13 (37.14%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 14;
- number of away wins for the away team: 5.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 8 vs 8;
- number of losses: 2 vs 2;
- number of home wins for the home team: 4;
- number of away wins for the away team: 3.
- Real Madrid won with a +8.5 points handicap in last 11 away games (Euroleague).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 77.45, for the away team - 79.12;
- average total points in H2H matches - 156.57.
Statistics: Olympiacos vs Real Madrid
- average total in the tournament: 173.94 vs 170.86;
- average total points scored: 90.11 vs 87.91;
- average total points conceded: 83.83 vs 82.94;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 46.06 vs 45.66;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.37 vs 42.26;
- Olympiacos: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 91.06;
- Real Madrid: average total points scored away in the tournament - 83.76;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 93.3 (home - 100.75) vs 91.5 (away - 90.6).
- Olympiacos have scored over 86.5 points in 11 of last 12 home games (Euroleague).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The match promises to be dynamic and intense, thanks to the attacking potential of both teams. Olympiacos are in better form compared to Real. Yes, the Spaniards have a strong defense, but even that might not withstand the powerful attacking force of the Greeks. The combination of the home team's impressive form, as they deliver their best performances at home, and Real's struggles on the road threatens to turn the visitors' defense into a sieve. We predict Olympiacos to score over 87 points.