Real Madrid vs Olympiacos Prediction
🔊 Thursday in Madrid promises an exhilarating EuroLeague clash between Real Madrid and Olympiacos. The first round earlier this week saw these teams take very different paths. The Spaniards surprisingly stumbled against Virtus, while the Greeks managed a hard-fought victory over Baskonia. The pressure on Real Madrid's coach, Scariolo, continues to build, especially after his squad recently faltered in the national Super Cup. Can the hosts redeem themselves in front of their home fans? Let's delve into how this matchup might unfold and offer an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between Real Madrid and Olympiacos:
- They have faced each other 41 times;
- Victories (including overtime): 21 for today's home team and 20 for the visitors;
- The home side averages 78.88 points per game, while the visitors average 77.46;
- The average total points per match is 156.34.
The last encounter took place on 01 May 2025 at Real Madrid's court and ended with a score of 84-86.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Real Madrid Team Overview
Real Madrid continue to deliver solid performances at home, having secured victories in 7 of their last 10 games on their own court. However, their current form has been less consistent, with the reigning Spanish champions suffering defeats in both of their previous encounters. On average, the team scores just under 84 points per game, demonstrating their ability to control the pace and maintain a strong defensive presence. One of Madrid's key strengths is their play under the basket, where they often dominate opponents with high shooting percentages from close range. It's worth noting that Real rarely lose at home.
Yet, Sergio Scariolo's squad are evidently far from their peak form. Following a loss to Valencia in the Supercup, they suffered a disappointing defeat to Virtus (68-74) in the first round of the EuroLeague. Their offensive performance was lackluster, particularly with their dreadful three-point shooting (3 for 23 attempts). A mere 12 assists didn’t do Madrid any favors either. It was even more surprising to see such mediocre basketball from a team playing with their optimal lineup. It will be intriguing to see how the players respond in this clash against an even stronger opponent. Let's not forget that it was Olympiacos who knocked Real out of the EuroLeague playoffs last season.
Match Results: Real Madrid

Olympiacos Team Overview
Olympiacos enter this match riding a wave of success: five consecutive victories (WWWWW) highlight the team's high motivation. Over their last 10 games, the club have secured eight wins with only two losses, showcasing excellent offensive form. The team's scoring average is also impressive-around 82 points per game-with a solid balance between perimeter shooting and play inside the paint. A potential weakness might be the players' form at the start of the season due to an intense schedule, but the experience of leaders like Vezenkov helps mitigate any challenges.
It was Sasha who played a crucial role in the hard-fought away victory against Saski Baskonia (102-96) in the league's opening round. The Greeks jumped to a 12-0 lead but then became complacent on defense, leading to a tense contest right until the end. Vezenkov (24 points and 13 rebounds) and Dorsey (21 points) ultimately sealed the win in the final moments, but conceding 96 points to an average-strength opponent is certainly not what coach Georgios Bartzokas wants to see. Improvement on defense is necessary, even with injuries to Ntilikina, Evans, and Fall.
Match Results: Olympiacos
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-head Matches:
- Total encounters - 41;
- First-quarter wins at home - 14; away - 6;
- Average first-quarter total: 37.68;
- Today's home team averages 20.02 points, visitors - 17.66.
First-Quarter Stats: Real Madrid (home) vs Olympiacos (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 0 vs 1;
- Wins: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 0 vs 27;
- Average points conceded: 0 vs 20.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- Wins: 7 vs 8;
- Losses: 3 vs 1;
- Draws: 0 vs 1;
- Average first-quarter total: 40.1 (scored - 20.9, conceded - 19.2) vs 44.3 (scored - 24.9, conceded - 19.4).
- Real Madrid have scored over 20.5 points in the first quarter at home in nine consecutive games (EuroLeague).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 41;
- Home wins - 21, Away wins - 20.
Stats: Real Madrid vs Olympiacos
- Matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
- Wins: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
- Losses: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
- Home wins in the tournament: 0;
- Away wins in the tournament: 1.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 7 vs 8;
- Losses: 3 vs 2;
- Home wins: 5;
- Away wins: 3.
- Real Madrid have won 8 of their last 9 home games.
Total Points Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Average points per game for the home team - 78.88, for the away team - 77.46;
- Average total points in head-to-head games - 156.34.
Stats: Real Madrid vs Olympiacos
- Tournament average total: 142 vs 198;
- Average points scored: 68 vs 102;
- Average points conceded: 74 vs 96;
- Average points in the first half: 35 vs 49;
- Average points in the second half: 33 vs 53;
- Real Madrid: Average points scored at home in the tournament - 0;
- Olympiacos: Average points scored away in the tournament - 102;
- Last 10 games (average points scored): 86.5 (home - 91) vs 88.1 (away - 89.75).
- Total under 170.5 points has hit in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head EuroLeague games between these teams.
- Total under 170.5 points has hit in Real Madrid's last 7 EuroLeague games.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Based on the recent performances of both teams and their head-to-head statistics, we anticipate a tightly contested battle with a focus on defense and prolonged ball possession from both sides. Real's playing style revolves around solid defense on their own half and swift transitions into fast breaks. The visitors will rely on their powerful lineup to execute attacking plays with a high percentage of long-range shots. The Greeks have demonstrated their ability to compete against Real even when they were in peak form last spring, and now, facing an opponent on the decline, they have every reason to aim for success. We're backing Olympiacos to win with a +4.5 handicap.