Южная Корея vs Japan Prediction 6 July 2026
🔊 South Korea and Japan are set to clash in a FIBA Basketball World Cup qualifier. While the visitors arrive with a stronger pedigree, the Koreans have home-court advantage, a factor that could prove decisive. On top of that, the hosts are highly motivated, as a defeat could end their qualification hopes. That’s something that can’t be overlooked.
Head-to-Head
📊 The most recent clash between these national teams took place on March 1 this year, with Japan edging out a 78-72 victory. However, looking at their last five head-to-head meetings, Korea hold a slight advantage with three wins to Japan’s two.
Head-to-head statistics Южная Корея - Japan
Republic of Korea Team Overview
The Korean national team are heading into their next clash with immense motivation to secure a win. After suffering three consecutive defeats, their tournament prospects have reached a critical point: another setback is simply not an option. Just recently, they faced off against Taiwan and fell short in a nail-biting 80-82 loss, which was especially tough as it came in overtime. The emotional toll on the players is evident, but there’s no room for retreat now-they need to give everything on every possession. On average, Korea are scoring 77.4 points per game while conceding 77.8.
Match Results: Republic of Korea
Japan Team Overview
The Japanese side currently top the group and have already secured first place. It’s unlikely they’ll have much at stake against Korea, especially with this fixture being played away from home. The coaching staff may well rotate the squad, given that their key players already put in a big shift in the recent 92-73 win over China. Statistically, Japan have posted some impressive numbers - averaging 84 points scored and conceding just 83.8 per game. However, with rotation expected, those figures may not be the most reliable indicator heading into this matchup.
Match Results: Japan
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 6;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 2.
Statistics: Republic of Korea vs Japan
- number of tournament matches played: 5 vs 5;
- number of wins: 2 (40%) vs 4 (80%);
- number of losses: 3 (60%) vs 1 (20%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 1;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 5 vs 7;
- number of losses: 5 vs 3;
- number of home wins for the home team: 4;
- number of away wins for the away team: 3.
- Republic of Korea won with a +6.5 points handicap in last 6 games against Japan.
- Republic of Korea won with a +6.5 points handicap in 10 of last 11 home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 81.33, for the away team - 72.83;
- average total points in H2H matches - 154.17.
Statistics: Republic of Korea vs Japan
- average total in the tournament: 155.2 vs 157.8;
- average total points scored: 77.4 vs 84;
- average total points conceded: 77.8 vs 73.8;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 42.2 vs 45.2;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 34.2 vs 38.8;
- Republic of Korea: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 85;
- Japan: average total points scored away in the tournament - 86;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 81.2 (home - 92.6) vs 84.9 (away - 86).
- Japan have scored under 83.5 points in last 6 games against Republic of Korea.
⭐ Editor's Pick
In this matchup, the bookmakers are siding with Japan as the favourites. However, the visitors don’t have much at stake-first place is already secured regardless of the outcome. South Korea, on the other hand, have everything to play for and will need to dig deep. The hosts have a clear physical advantage and could ride the energy of the home crowd, especially when it comes to shooting rhythm-something that often happens on familiar turf. After a recent defeat, they’ll be eager to bounce back. Given these factors, our editorial team suggests backing South Korea with a +6.5 handicap.No comments
Betting Tips: Republic of Korea - Japan
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