Umana Venezia vs Virtus Bologna Prediction
🔊 The Serie A playoff semi-final clash between Reyer Venezia and Virtus Bologna takes place on Venezia’s home court and carries major significance for both sides. After three games, the hosts have unexpectedly taken a 2-1 lead and now stand a strong chance of sealing their spot in the final in front of their own fans. Can they finish the job? Let’s break down what to expect from this matchup and offer a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Umana Venezia and Virtus Bologna:
- played 46 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 21 for today's home team and 25 for the guests;
- the home team averages 78.52 points per match, the guests - 80.07;
- average total match points - 158.59.
The last confrontation took place on 04 June 2026 at the venue of Umana Venezia and ended with a score of 89:85.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Umana Venezia Team Overview
Reyer Venezia are in decent form, having picked up six wins in their last ten outings. Over their most recent five games, they have alternated victories with defeats. Their latest clash against Virtus ended in success, reflecting a positive team spirit. At home, Venezia average 88.9 points per game while conceding 85.5 - their offense is capable of impressive stretches, but the defense can be inconsistent and occasionally struggles against top-level opposition.
However, in the most recent run of games, Venezia’s scoring has dipped slightly to 85.2 points per contest, while they are conceding almost the same amount (84.3). This suggests a drop in offensive efficiency compared to their season average.
Match Results: Umana Venezia
Virtus Bologna Team Overview
Virtus head into this clash in inconsistent form, with six wins and four defeats in their last ten outings. The storied club are teetering on the brink of playoff elimination-a disappointing prospect, especially after their lackluster campaign in the EuroLeague.
Throughout the season, Virtus have impressed with a potent offense (87.5 points per game) and a solid defense (conceding 80.7 points on average). However, over the past ten games, their scoring has jumped to 91.7 points per game, while defensive numbers have slipped to 85.3 points allowed. This shift toward a more open, high-scoring style is particularly noticeable now-at a stage when most teams typically adopt a more pragmatic approach in the postseason.
Match Results: Virtus Bologna
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 46;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 10; for the visitors on the road - 10;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 39.37;
- Today's home team averages 19.07, while the visitors average 20.3.
First Quarter Stats: Umana Venezia (home) vs Virtus Bologna (away)
- Tournament matches played: 18 vs 17;
- Number of wins: 8 (44.44%) vs 12 (70.59%);
- Number of losses: 8 (44.44%) vs 5 (29.41%);
- Number of draws: 2 (11.11%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 21.94 vs 20.35;
- Average points conceded: 22.94 vs 19.41.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 0 vs 7;
- Number of losses: 9 vs 2;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 44.1 (scored - 19.4, conceded - 24.7) vs 45.2 (scored - 24.7, conceded - 20.5).
- Umana Venezia scored under 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 12 games against Virtus Bologna (Seria A).
- Umana Venezia scored under 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in 9 of last 10 home games against Virtus Bologna.
- Umana Venezia scored under 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in 8 of last 9 home games against Virtus Bologna (Seria A).
- Umana Venezia scored under 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 9 games (Seria A).
- Umana Venezia scored under 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 6 home games (Seria A).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 46;
- number of wins for the home team - 21, for the away team - 25.
Statistics: Umana Venezia vs Virtus Bologna
- number of tournament matches played: 28 vs 28;
- number of wins: 24 (64.86%) vs 27 (75%);
- number of losses: 13 (35.14%) vs 9 (25%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 12;
- number of away wins for the away team: 13.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 6;
- number of losses: 4 vs 4;
- number of home wins for the home team: 4;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
- Umana Venezia won with a +6.5 points handicap in 9 of last 10 games against Virtus Bologna (Seria A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 78.52, for the away team - 80.07;
- average total points in H2H matches - 158.59.
Statistics: Umana Venezia vs Virtus Bologna
- average total in the tournament: 174.51 vs 168.31;
- average total points scored: 88.92 vs 87.56;
- average total points conceded: 85.59 vs 80.75;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 44.59 vs 44.97;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 44.03 vs 42.31;
- Umana Venezia: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 87.94;
- Virtus Bologna: average total points scored away in the tournament - 83.53;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 85.2 (home - 85.8) vs 91.7 (away - 85).
- Virtus Bologna have scored under 85.5 points in last 5 away games against Umana Venezia (Seria A).
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
The pace both teams bring to the floor suggests we’re in for an up-tempo contest with plenty of fast possessions. However, recent head-to-head trends consistently point to low scoring from the visitors: Virtus have failed to surpass 85.5 points in each of their last five road games against this opponent, and a similar outcome has occurred in eight of the past nine meetings overall. Despite Virtus’ impressive offensive numbers this season, their efficiency drops significantly against Reyer-especially away from home, where Reyer’s defense has shown it can adjust to Virtus’ style. At the same time, the hosts are unlikely to maintain high shooting accuracy under intense psychological pressure. Our pick: under 173.5 total points.
Betting Tips: Umana Venezia - Virtus Bologna
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Other predictions
