Umana Venezia vs Virtus Bologna Prediction

Details
The main thing
    Umana Venezia
    Umana Venezia
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    89
    85
    16
    24
    19
    30
    28
    17
    14
    26

    πŸ”Š Venezia are set to host Virtus Bologna in Game 3 of the Serie A playoff semifinals, a clash that could prove pivotal in this fiercely contested series. With the scoreline tied at 1-1, all eyes are on which way the pendulum will swing after this encounter. Bologna come into the matchup with greater pedigree and overall squad depth, which is why the bookmakers have them as favourites-even on the road. Can Virtus live up to those expectations? Let’s break down the matchup and offer a well-founded prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    πŸ“ŠStatistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Umana Venezia and Virtus Bologna:

    • played 45 matches;
    • wins (including extra time): 20 for today's home team and 25 for the guests;
    • the home team averages 78.29 points per match, the guests - 79.96;
    • average total match points - 158.24.

    The last confrontation took place on 01 June 2026 at the venue of Virtus Bologna and ended with a score of 98:79.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    47%
    22 Wins
    53%
    25 Wins
    06.06.26
    Seria A
    Umana Venezia
    Umana Venezia
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    90
    83
    24
    23
    13
    19
    20
    27
    33
    14
    04.06.26
    Seria A
    Umana Venezia
    Umana Venezia
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    89
    85
    16
    28
    24
    17
    19
    14
    30
    26
    01.06.26
    Seria A
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    Umana Venezia
    Umana Venezia
    98
    79
    29
    16
    33
    26
    20
    12
    16
    25
    30.05.26
    Seria A
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    Umana Venezia
    Umana Venezia
    83
    91
    23
    18
    23
    27
    19
    19
    18
    27
    05.04.26
    Seria A
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    Umana Venezia
    Umana Venezia
    82
    86
    15
    17
    27
    21
    21
    25
    19
    23
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    Umana Venezia Team Overview

    Reyer Venezia come into their home fixture on the back of inconsistent form, having picked up two wins and three losses over their last five outings, with their most recent game ending in defeat. Their record across the last 10 games is equally balanced-five victories and five defeats.

    Over the course of the season, Venezia are averaging 88.9 points scored while conceding 85.6, but that figure has dipped to 84.8 on both ends in recent games-a sign of either a more cautious approach or struggles with offensive efficiency. On their home court, Venezia have placed a clear emphasis on defense: the total has gone under 175.5 in six consecutive home games, highlighting their ability to control the tempo and avoid unnecessary risks.

    Match Results: Umana Venezia

    06.06.26
    Seria A
    Umana Venezia
    Umana Venezia
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    90
    83
    24
    23
    13
    19
    20
    27
    33
    14
    W
    04.06.26
    Seria A
    Umana Venezia
    Umana Venezia
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    89
    85
    16
    28
    24
    17
    19
    14
    30
    26
    W
    01.06.26
    Seria A
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    Umana Venezia
    Umana Venezia
    98
    79
    29
    16
    33
    26
    20
    12
    16
    25
    L
    30.05.26
    Seria A
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    Umana Venezia
    Umana Venezia
    83
    91
    23
    18
    23
    27
    19
    19
    18
    27
    W
    26.05.26
    Seria A
    Umana Venezia
    Umana Venezia
    Derthona Basket
    Derthona Basket
    89
    83
    23
    23
    25
    17
    20
    26
    21
    17
    W
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    Virtus Bologna Team Overview

    Virtus Bologna have maintained solid form over the past month, picking up three wins from their last five outings and seven victories in their previous ten games. Over the course of the season, they average 87.6 points per game while keeping things relatively tight at the back, conceding 80.5 on average.

    Recently, their offensive numbers have seen a slight uptick: in their last ten fixtures, Virtus are putting up 92.7 points per contest, with their defensive stats holding steady at 84.5 points allowed. However, their away games tend to be low-scoring affairs-under 171.5 total points has landed in ten of their last eleven road matches, highlighting the visitors’ pragmatic approach when playing away from home.

    Match Results: Virtus Bologna

    06.06.26
    Seria A
    Umana Venezia
    Umana Venezia
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    90
    83
    24
    23
    13
    19
    20
    27
    33
    14
    L
    04.06.26
    Seria A
    Umana Venezia
    Umana Venezia
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    89
    85
    16
    28
    24
    17
    19
    14
    30
    26
    L
    01.06.26
    Seria A
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    Umana Venezia
    Umana Venezia
    98
    79
    29
    16
    33
    26
    20
    12
    16
    25
    W
    30.05.26
    Seria A
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    Umana Venezia
    Umana Venezia
    83
    91
    23
    18
    23
    27
    19
    19
    18
    27
    L
    26.05.26
    Seria A
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    Dolomiti Energia Trento
    Dolomiti Energia Trento
    106
    95
    28
    28
    30
    27
    18
    24
    30
    16
    W
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    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 45;
    • First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 10; for the visitors on the road - 9;
    • Average total points in the first quarter: 39.27;
    • Today's home team averages 19.13, while the visitors average 20.13.

    First Quarter Stats: Umana Venezia (home) vs Virtus Bologna (away)

    • Tournament matches played: 17 vs 16;
    • Number of wins: 8 (47.06%) vs 11 (68.75%);
    • Number of losses: 7 (41.18%) vs 5 (31.25%);
    • Number of draws: 2 (11.76%) vs 0 (0%).
    • Average points scored: 22.29 vs 19.88;
    • Average points conceded: 22.65 vs 19.63.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 0 vs 7;
    • Number of losses: 9 vs 2;
    • Number of draws: 1 vs 1;
    • Average first quarter total: 43.8 (scored - 19.2, conceded - 24.6) vs 45.1 (scored - 24.6, conceded - 20.5).
    Trends
    • Under 43.5 points in the 1st quarter in 7 of last 8 Umana Venezia games against Virtus Bologna (Seria A).
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter Total Under 43.5 (odds: 1.75)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of matchups - 45;
    • number of wins for the home team - 20, for the away team - 25.

    Statistics: Umana Venezia vs Virtus Bologna

    • number of tournament matches played: 28 vs 28;
    • number of wins: 23 (63.89%) vs 27 (77.14%);
    • number of losses: 13 (36.11%) vs 8 (22.86%);
    • number of wins at home for the home team: 11;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 13.

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of wins: 5 vs 7;
    • number of losses: 5 vs 3;
    • number of home wins for the home team: 3;
    • number of away wins for the away team: 2.
    Trends
    • Umana Venezia won with a +6.5 points handicap in 8 of last 9 games against Virtus Bologna (Seria A).
    👉Prediction: Umana Venezia Handicap (+6.5) (odds: 1.4)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 78.29, for the away team - 79.96;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 158.24.

    Statistics: Umana Venezia vs Virtus Bologna

    • average total in the tournament: 174.53 vs 168.14;
    • average total points scored: 88.92 vs 87.63;
    • average total points conceded: 85.61 vs 80.51;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 44.72 vs 44.97;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.89 vs 42.37;
    • Umana Venezia: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 87.88;
    • Virtus Bologna: average total points scored away in the tournament - 83.44;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 84.8 (home - 85) vs 92.7 (away - 85).
    Trends
    • Virtus Bologna have scored under 86.5 points in 7 of last 8 games against Umana Venezia (Seria A).
    👉Prediction: Virtus Bologna Total points Under (86.5) (odds: 1.87)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The outcome of this matchup is shaped by two key factors: both teams battle hard on the boards, while the hosts tend to keep things relatively low-scoring at home. Meanwhile, the visitors bring a pragmatic approach on the road, with 10 of Virtus’ last 11 away games finishing under 171.5 points. Despite both sides posting impressive offensive stats over the season, their current form suggests a cautious, defense-first contest with a slower tempo. With that in mind, backing the under 173.5 total points looks like a well-founded prediction.

    Our choice
    Total points Under (173.5) at odds of -182*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (3 June 2026, 10:16)

    Betting Tips: Umana Venezia - Virtus Bologna

    Umana Venezia lost the 1st quarter
    umana-venezia-1in 9 of last 10 games (Seria A).
    1st Quarter Virtus Bologna Win
    -118
    Umana Venezia have scored under 89.5 points
    umana-venezia-1granarolo-bolognain 31 of last 32 games against Virtus Bologna.
    umana-venezia-1granarolo-bolognain 25 of last 26 games against Virtus Bologna (Seria A).
    umana-venezia-1granarolo-bolognain last 13 home games against Virtus Bologna.
    umana-venezia-1granarolo-bolognain last 11 home games against Virtus Bologna (Seria A).
    umana-venezia-1in 7 of last 8 games (Seria A).
    Umana Venezia Total points Under (89.5)
    -333
    Umana Venezia scored under 45.5 points in the 1st half
    umana-venezia-1granarolo-bolognain 30 of last 32 games against Virtus Bologna.
    umana-venezia-1granarolo-bolognain 24 of last 26 games against Virtus Bologna (Seria A).
    1st Half, Umana Venezia Total points Under (45.5)
    -294
    Virtus Bologna scored under 46.5 points in the 1st half
    umana-venezia-1granarolo-bolognain 10 of last 11 games against Umana Venezia (Seria A).
    granarolo-bolognain 21 of last 23 away games.
    granarolo-bolognain 10 of last 11 away games (Seria A).
    1st Half, Virtus Bologna Total points Under (46.5)
    -323
    View more facts

    Umana Venezia - Virtus Bologna Table position

    Regular season Season Standings
    gWLForm
    1.
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    28235
    2.
    Centrale Del Latte Brescia
    Centrale Del Latte Brescia
    28217
    3.
    Olimpia Milano
    Olimpia Milano
    28208
    4.
    Umana Venezia
    Umana Venezia
    28199
    5.
    Derthona Basket
    Derthona Basket
    281711