Memphis vs Pacers Prediction 5 November 2026
🏀 The Memphis Grizzlies face the Indiana Pacers in an NBA regular-season matchup. The hosts recently suffered their first loss of the season, but there is no reason to think they are slipping. The Grizzlies are capable of a strong performance at home, especially against a Pacers side who have struggled with a string of defeats.
Head-to-Head
📊 The teams last met in March, when the Memphis Grizzlies won 125-106. The Grizzlies hold a narrow 3-2 edge over their last five head-to-head meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Memphis - Pacers

Memphis Grizzlies: The hosts are in excellent form
Memphis Grizzlies have been one of the early surprises of the season, opening with six straight wins. That run ended with a 135-134 overtime loss to the Pelicans, but one narrow defeat does little to change the bigger picture: Memphis Grizzlies are still playing excellent basketball. They lead the league in scoring at 121.2 points per game and are shooting an elite 41.6% from three-point range. Their offence looks well placed to deliver again in this match-up.
The roster is packed with young players, and there were initial concerns that they might struggle to gel. Instead, Memphis Grizzlies have shown impressive cohesion. Their work rate, combined with a simple but effective approach, is paying off. Whether they can sustain it all season remains to be seen, but they have every chance of another win against an Indiana Pacers team in a slump. The hosts could also dominate the glass: they average nearly 50 rebounds per game, the best mark in the league.
Match Results: Memphis Grizzlies

Indiana Pacers: A Slow Start to the Season
Indiana's start to the season has been difficult. They have won just two of their eight games, both of them early on, and have since lost five in a row. They recently fell to Atlanta (100-108), having previously lost to Brooklyn (90-98). The visitors have struggled badly on offence, averaging 112.9 points per game. For a team playing at the eighth-fastest pace, that is a low return. They are also leaving points at the free-throw line, shooting just 72.6% - one of the league's worst marks.
Another defeat is a real possibility. Indiana have also struggled defensively, conceding 116.7 points per game on average. Against the league's best offence right now, the Pacers are likely to face another tough test. Rebounding could be an issue, too: they have size and mobility, but have yet to find cohesion. Their chances of winning look slim.
Match Results: Indiana Pacers
First-Quarter Prediction
Indiana Pacers have covered the first-quarter spread (+2.5) in seven straight NBA road games. This season, they are averaging 33.2 first-quarter points away from home, while Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 27.2 at home. We’re backing Indiana Pacers +2.5 in the first quarter at odds of 1.78*.
Team total prediction
Memphis Grizzlies have scored more than 116.5 points in six straight NBA home games. They are averaging 125.6 points at home this season, while Indiana Pacers are allowing 119.6 points per game on the road. Our pick is Memphis Grizzlies over 116.5 team points at odds of 1.68*.
A Solid Bet
Memphis Grizzlies have won eight of their last nine NBA games. Over their last ten games, Memphis have eight wins, while Indiana have just two. Our pick is Memphis Grizzlies to win at odds of 1.38*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between sportsbooks.