Nuggets vs Raptors Prediction 5 November 2026
๐ The Denver Nuggets host the Toronto Raptors on Thursday in an NBA regular-season matchup. Denver have had an inconsistent start to the season and have yet to show their full potential. Toronto have looked slightly more consistent and can put points on the board, but injuries have left them seriously depleted. The key will be how Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray fare against the visitorsโ mobile but undersized frontcourt.
Head-to-Head
๐ Denver Nuggets won all three head-to-head meetings with Toronto Raptors last season. Their most recent game, in March 2026, ended in a 121-115 win for the Nuggets.
Head-to-head statistics Nuggets - Raptors

Denver Nuggets: Jokic is not quite himself yet
Denver Nuggets enter the game at 3-3 and are still searching for consistency. Their latest defeat, 118-110 to Portland, exposed their biggest weakness: they are conceding almost 116 points per game, and their perimeter defence remains among the leagueโs most vulnerable. Denver led by 14 in the third quarter but allowed the Blazers to come back and win.
Denver are struggling to balance an offence built around Jokiฤ with a defence that has looked increasingly fragile. They are giving opponents too many open three-pointers and are not always quick enough to get back in transition. Against the Toronto Raptorsโ fast-paced offence, that could prove costly. Once again, Denver may have to rely on Jokiฤ to carry them, though even he has been below his usual standards: he is averaging 22 points, 9.7 rebounds and nine assists, with his scoring average his lowest since the 2019/20 season.
Match Results: Denver Nuggets

Toronto Raptors Team Overview
Toronto enter the game at 4-3 with one of the leagueโs highest-scoring offences. The Raptors average 119 points per game but give up nearly 112 - the profile of a team who like to push the pace and can leave themselves exposed defensively. With Leonard injured, Barnes has predictably become their primary scoring option. He has scored 22 and 29 points in his last two games, adding 15 rebounds and eight assists against the Clippers.
Quickley and Barrett give the Raptors extra firepower on the perimeter. Quickley scored 27 points in their most recent game, a 125-118 win over the Clippers, while Barrett added 26. But without Leonard, and with questions over Poeltlโs fitness, Toronto lack defensive solidity and depth. They also rank sixth in pace (97.8), which can leave them vulnerable at the other end. It remains to be seen how coach Rajakoviฤ addresses the problem.
Match Results: Toronto Raptors
Latest news
Denver Nuggets
โ Denver Nuggets will be without Strawther and Jones.
๐ Projected lineup: Jokic, Murray, Brown, Gordon, Johnson.
Toronto Raptors
โ Toronto will be without Leonard and Bittle, while Poeltl is questionable.
๐ Projected lineup: Barnes, Barrett, Quickley, Walter, Murray-Boyles.
Match prediction
Toronto Raptors have covered a +7.5 spread in 10 of their last 11 games. They have also covered a tighter +6.5 spread in five straight head-to-head meetings at Denver Nuggets. Weโre backing Toronto Raptors +7.5 at odds of 1.57.
Total points prediction
Over 227.5 points has landed in six of the Denver Nuggetsโ last seven home games. The teams have combined for more than 230.5 points in each of their last seven head-to-head meetings in Denver. The Nuggets average 119 points at home, while the Toronto Raptors average 116.8 on the road. Our pick is over 227.5 points at odds of 1.70.
Best bet
Toronto Raptors have covered a +7.5 spread in 10 of their last 11 games and a +6.5 spread in five straight head-to-head meetings at Denver Nuggets. The visitorsโ +10.5 spread gives them more room for a defeat than either of those lines. Weโre backing Toronto Raptors +10.5 for the full game at odds of 1.35.
Top Scorers
Nikola Jokic has consistently scored around 22-26 points and often tops that range at home. With Toronto Raptorsโ frontcourt weakened, the Serbian superstar will be eager to make a statement after a mediocre start to the season. We like Jokic to score over 24.5 points at odds of 1.84*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.