Nuggets vs Raptors Prediction 5 November 2026

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Key points

    ๐Ÿ€ The Denver Nuggets host the Toronto Raptors on Thursday in an NBA regular-season matchup. Denver have had an inconsistent start to the season and have yet to show their full potential. Toronto have looked slightly more consistent and can put points on the board, but injuries have left them seriously depleted. The key will be how Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray fare against the visitorsโ€™ mobile but undersized frontcourt.

    Head-to-Head

    ๐Ÿ“Š Denver Nuggets won all three head-to-head meetings with Toronto Raptors last season. Their most recent game, in March 2026, ended in a 121-115 win for the Nuggets.

    Head-to-head statistics Nuggets - Raptors

    68%
    27 Wins
    33%
    13 Wins
    19.07.26
    NBA Summer League
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    89
    96
    29
    23
    18
    24
    20
    30
    22
    19
    21.03.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    121
    115
    27
    30
    30
    23
    28
    41
    36
    21
    01.01.26
    NBA
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    103
    106
    23
    32
    31
    31
    25
    22
    24
    21
    07.10.25
    NBA
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    108
    112
    26
    34
    30
    30
    32
    30
    20
    18
    16.07.25
    NBA Summer League
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    97
    101
    25
    21
    19
    18
    18
    34
    35
    28
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Denver Nuggets: Jokic is not quite himself yet

    Denver Nuggets enter the game at 3-3 and are still searching for consistency. Their latest defeat, 118-110 to Portland, exposed their biggest weakness: they are conceding almost 116 points per game, and their perimeter defence remains among the leagueโ€™s most vulnerable. Denver led by 14 in the third quarter but allowed the Blazers to come back and win.

    Denver are struggling to balance an offence built around Jokiฤ‡ with a defence that has looked increasingly fragile. They are giving opponents too many open three-pointers and are not always quick enough to get back in transition. Against the Toronto Raptorsโ€™ fast-paced offence, that could prove costly. Once again, Denver may have to rely on Jokiฤ‡ to carry them, though even he has been below his usual standards: he is averaging 22 points, 9.7 rebounds and nine assists, with his scoring average his lowest since the 2019/20 season.

    Match Results: Denver Nuggets

    03.11.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Portland Trail Blazers
    Portland Trail Blazers
    110
    118
    31
    19
    35
    39
    21
    27
    23
    33
    L
    31.10.26
    NBA
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix Suns
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    120
    127
    37
    32
    30
    39
    26
    32
    27
    24
    W
    29.10.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    91
    104
    18
    37
    27
    20
    28
    22
    18
    25
    W
    27.10.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    114
    134
    32
    28
    24
    32
    28
    40
    30
    34
    L
    25.10.26
    NBA
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver Nuggets
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    141
    135
    24
    38
    33
    35
    32
    35
    37
    18
    15
    9
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Toronto Raptors Team Overview

    Toronto enter the game at 4-3 with one of the leagueโ€™s highest-scoring offences. The Raptors average 119 points per game but give up nearly 112 - the profile of a team who like to push the pace and can leave themselves exposed defensively. With Leonard injured, Barnes has predictably become their primary scoring option. He has scored 22 and 29 points in his last two games, adding 15 rebounds and eight assists against the Clippers.

    Quickley and Barrett give the Raptors extra firepower on the perimeter. Quickley scored 27 points in their most recent game, a 125-118 win over the Clippers, while Barrett added 26. But without Leonard, and with questions over Poeltlโ€™s fitness, Toronto lack defensive solidity and depth. They also rank sixth in pace (97.8), which can leave them vulnerable at the other end. It remains to be seen how coach Rajakoviฤ‡ addresses the problem.

    Match Results: Toronto Raptors

    03.11.26
    NBA
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    118
    125
    33
    22
    30
    30
    28
    26
    27
    47
    W
    02.11.26
    NBA
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    131
    125
    36
    23
    30
    31
    38
    28
    27
    43
    L
    30.10.26
    NBA
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    Orlando Magic
    Orlando Magic
    114
    121
    27
    31
    28
    33
    33
    31
    26
    26
    L
    28.10.26
    NBA
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    Orlando Magic
    Orlando Magic
    129
    99
    32
    25
    37
    28
    34
    23
    26
    23
    W
    25.10.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    117
    94
    32
    21
    23
    26
    35
    15
    27
    32
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Denver Nuggets

    โ›” Denver Nuggets will be without Strawther and Jones.

    ๐Ÿ“‹ Projected lineup: Jokic, Murray, Brown, Gordon, Johnson.

    Toronto Raptors

    โ›” Toronto will be without Leonard and Bittle, while Poeltl is questionable.

    ๐Ÿ“‹ Projected lineup: Barnes, Barrett, Quickley, Walter, Murray-Boyles.

    Match prediction

    Toronto Raptors have covered a +7.5 spread in 10 of their last 11 games. They have also covered a tighter +6.5 spread in five straight head-to-head meetings at Denver Nuggets. Weโ€™re backing Toronto Raptors +7.5 at odds of 1.57.

    Total points prediction

    Over 227.5 points has landed in six of the Denver Nuggetsโ€™ last seven home games. The teams have combined for more than 230.5 points in each of their last seven head-to-head meetings in Denver. The Nuggets average 119 points at home, while the Toronto Raptors average 116.8 on the road. Our pick is over 227.5 points at odds of 1.70.

    Best bet

    Toronto Raptors have covered a +7.5 spread in 10 of their last 11 games and a +6.5 spread in five straight head-to-head meetings at Denver Nuggets. The visitorsโ€™ +10.5 spread gives them more room for a defeat than either of those lines. Weโ€™re backing Toronto Raptors +10.5 for the full game at odds of 1.35. 

    Top Scorers

    Nikola Jokic has consistently scored around 22-26 points and often tops that range at home. With Toronto Raptorsโ€™ frontcourt weakened, the Serbian superstar will be eager to make a statement after a mediocre start to the season. We like Jokic to score over 24.5 points at odds of 1.84*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.

    โญ Editorโ€™s prediction

    Denver Nuggets are at home, have an edge in the paint and need to bounce back from their loss to Portland. Jokiฤ‡ and Murray should be able to exploit Toronto Raptorsโ€™ weakness in the frontcourt, especially if Poeltl is unavailable. But Denverโ€™s defence remains vulnerable, and Toronto have enough firepower to keep the game close. This has the makings of an entertaining, high-scoring shootout. Our pick is over 227.5 total points.
    Total points Over (227,5)
    Thunderpick
    Place a bet-154
    Published: 04/11/2026, 07:14
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Basketball expert
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    Statistics for November 2026

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    Betting Tips: Denver Nuggets - Toronto Raptors

    Denver Nuggets won the 2nd half:
    denver-nuggetstoronto-raptorsin 8 of last 9 home games against Toronto Raptors (NBA).
    2nd Half Denver Nuggets to Win
    -141
    Denver Nuggets have won:
    denver-nuggetstoronto-raptorsin 8 of last 9 home games against Toronto Raptors (NBA).
    denver-nuggetstoronto-raptorsin last 7 games against Toronto Raptors (NBA).
    Denver Nuggets Win (inc. OT)
    MyBookie
    -182
    Denver Nuggets won the 4th quarter:
    denver-nuggetstoronto-raptorsin 7 of last 8 home games against Toronto Raptors (NBA).
    4th Quarter Denver Nuggets to Win
    -120
    Denver Nuggets lost the 1st quarter:
    denver-nuggetstoronto-raptorsin last 6 home games against Toronto Raptors (NBA).
    1st Quarter Toronto Raptors to Win
    Thunderpick
    +133
    View more facts

    Nuggets - Raptors Table position

    Regular season Eastern Conference
    MPWLForm
    1.
    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia 76ers
    871
    2.
    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit Pistons
    761
    3.
    Boston Celtics
    Boston Celtics
    752
    4.
    Washington Wizards
    Washington Wizards
    743
    5.
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    743
    6.
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    743