Raptors vs Nuggets Prediction 1 January 2026
🔊 This Thursday, an intriguing matchup awaits as the Toronto Raptors host the Denver Nuggets on their home court. The visitors have lost their star player Nikola Jokic for a month, and as they adjust to playing without him, they might face significant challenges. Can the depleted Nuggets hold their own against the tenacious Raptors? Let's take a closer look at this clash and provide a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Toronto Raptors and Denver Nuggets:
- played 38 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 13 for today's home team and 25 for the guests;
- the home team averages 108.61 points per match, the guests - 113;
- average total match points - 221.61.
The last confrontation took place on 07 October 2025 at the venue of Toronto Raptors and ended with a score of 108:112.
Head-to-head statistics Raptors - Nuggets
Toronto Raptors Team Overview
The Toronto Raptors are showing mixed form, alternating between wins and losses. Over their last five games, the team has secured three victories but also suffered two defeats, yet they remain in the Top 4 of the Eastern Conference. The team's average points scored have been below 117 in ten of their last eleven games, indicating some inconsistency on the offensive end.
However, defense remains a strong suit for the Canadian club, especially when playing at home. In their previous encounter, they edged out Orlando in a tense clutch game at home, winning 107-106. Key contributions came from Shed and Ingram, who scored 19 and 18 points respectively. Overall, the team's chemistry was impressive, with seven players reaching double figures in points.
Match Results: Toronto Raptors
Denver Nuggets Team Overview
Denver Nuggets are currently in mediocre form, having lost three of their last four games. The team remains top-ranked in offensive rating (125.7 per game), with key factors for their success being strong rebounding and effective three-point shooting.
However, these stats might take a significant hit as the franchise will be without their leader, Jokic, who is sidelined for a month due to a knee injury. Fortunately, he avoided an ACL tear, which would have been catastrophic for Denver's season. Even so, the road ahead looks challenging with Gordon also on the injury list. The negative impact was already evident in their last matchup against Miami, where they fell 123-147.
Match Results: Denver Nuggets
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 12; for the visitors on the road - 7;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 56.87;
- Today's home team averages 28.24, while the visitors average 28.63.
First Quarter Stats: Toronto Raptors (home) vs Denver Nuggets (away)
- Tournament matches played: 20 vs 20;
- Number of wins: 9 (45%) vs 11 (55%);
- Number of losses: 11 (55%) vs 8 (40%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (5%).
- Average points scored: 28.1 vs 30.2;
- Average points conceded: 29.1 vs 28.95.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 54.2 (scored - 26.1, conceded - 28.1) vs 60.9 (scored - 31.2, conceded - 29.7).
- Over 53.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 15 Denver Nuggets games (NBA).
- Over 53.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 8 Denver Nuggets away games (NBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 38;
- Home team wins - 13, away team wins - 25.
- Denver Nuggets won with a +14.5 points handicap in 36 of last 37 games (NBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 108.61, for the away team - 113;
- average total points in H2H matches - 221.61.
Statistics: Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets
- average total in the tournament: 226.83 vs 240.49;
- average total points scored: 114.15 vs 123.46;
- average total points conceded: 112.68 vs 117.03;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 56.38 vs 62.22;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 57.13 vs 59.92;
- Toronto Raptors: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 113.85;
- Denver Nuggets: average total points scored away in the tournament - 121.8;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 108.5 (home - 111.6) vs 126.2 (away - 126).
- Toronto Raptors have scored under 117.5 points in 10 of last 11 games (NBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The match promises to be intriguing, but the favoritism towards the hosts is fully justified. We anticipate that throughout the 48 minutes, Denver, with their weakened lineup, will struggle to keep pace and will inevitably falter offensively at some point. Without Jokic, the second key option, Murray, often struggles mentally to handle the leadership role. Toronto will capitalize on these weaknesses. We're backing a Raptors victory with a spread of (-5.5).No comments
Betting Tips: Toronto Raptors - Denver Nuggets
in 28 of last 29 games against Denver Nuggets (NBA).in 19 of last 20 home games against Denver Nuggets (NBA).in 8 of last 9 games (NBA).in 19 of last 20 Toronto Raptors home games against Denver Nuggets (NBA).
in last 6 away games against Toronto Raptors (NBA).in 19 of last 20 away games (NBA).in 16 of last 17 games (NBA).in 15 of last 16 away games against Toronto Raptors (NBA).
Other predictions
