Germany (W) vs Japan (W) Prediction 5 September 2026

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    πŸ€ Germany are set to face Japan in the second round of the Women's World Cup group stage. The two sides come into this clash in contrasting spirits: the Germans were soundly beaten by Spain, while the Asian squad edged Mali in a thrilling shootout. Japan showcased a fast-paced, up-tempo style of basketball and are expected to stick with that approach against Die Mannschaft. The tournament hosts will be eager to respond after Friday’s setback and are determined to bounce back. Fans can look forward to an entertaining encounter.

    Head-to-Head

    πŸ“Š These teams last faced off at the 2024 Paris Olympics, where Germany came out on top with a 75-64 victory.

    Head-to-head statistics Germany (W) - Japan (W)

    100%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Wins
    01.08.24
    Olympic Games Women
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    Germany (W)
    Germany (W)
    64
    75
    16
    21
    20
    21
    13
    17
    15
    16
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Germany (W) Team Overview

    The tournament hosts opened with a heavy defeat against one of the title favourites, Spain, falling 53-83. Despite outshooting the Spaniards in total attempts (61 to 57), Germany struggled mightily with their shot conversion. Defensively, they simply couldn’t cope, crumbling under Spain’s relentless, high-tempo ball movement. In what was a disappointing performance across the board, Fibich led the team with just 13 points. It’s clear Germany need a dramatic improvement, but whether they can bounce back after such a damaging blow -especially without the injured Sabally - remains an open question. Still, Germany might look to match Japan’s trademark up-tempo style and try to outgun them in an open contest.

    Match Results: Germany (W)

    04.09.26
    WCW
    Spain (W)
    Spain (W)
    Germany (W)
    Germany (W)
    83
    53
    24
    13
    26
    11
    15
    15
    18
    14
    L
    06.06.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Belgium (W)
    Belgium (W)
    Germany (W)
    Germany (W)
    65
    56
    13
    24
    20
    8
    9
    13
    23
    11
    L
    05.06.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Belgium (W)
    Belgium (W)
    Germany (W)
    Germany (W)
    85
    60
    17
    22
    20
    15
    27
    12
    21
    11
    L
    29.06.25
    WEBC
    Czech Republic (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
    Germany (W)
    Germany (W)
    70
    81
    15
    13
    17
    24
    23
    23
    15
    21
    W
    27.06.25
    WEBC
    Turkey (W)
    Turkey (W)
    Germany (W)
    Germany (W)
    73
    93
    15
    23
    13
    27
    24
    23
    21
    20
    W
    Empty
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    Japan (W) Team Overview

    Japan opened their campaign with a high-octane, attack-heavy clash against Mali, coming out on top in a 102-97 thriller. The Japanese squad showcased their trademark up-tempo style, launching a barrage of three-pointers and maintaining a relentless pace throughout. Unsurprisingly, their sharpshooter Hayashi stole the show, pouring in 27 points and draining an incredible nine shots from beyond the arc. Expect Japan to stick to their whirlwind brand of basketball, compensating for their lack of height with lightning-fast transitions, constant screens, and relentless perimeter activity - driven by specialists like Miyazaki, Akaho, Takada, and Hayashi. Their style forces opposing centers to step out of the paint, opening up driving lanes for aggressive attacks at the rim.

    Match Results: Japan (W)

    04.09.26
    WCW
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    Mali (W)
    Mali (W)
    102
    97
    21
    25
    27
    27
    23
    21
    31
    24
    W
    30.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Belgium (W)
    Belgium (W)
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    89
    85
    28
    16
    16
    23
    17
    22
    13
    13
    15
    11
    L
    29.08.26
    William Jones WJWC
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    Chinese Taipei White
    Chinese Taipei White
    75
    66
    W
    28.08.26
    William Jones WJWC
    Chinese Taipei White Women
    Chinese Taipei White Women
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    65
    81
    16
    18
    21
    17
    11
    31
    17
    15
    W
    27.08.26
    William Jones WJWC
    Lebanon (W)
    Lebanon (W)
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    58
    108
    15
    29
    16
    28
    11
    30
    16
    21
    W
    Empty
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    This matchup promises an open, high-scoring contest, given both teams’ impressive offensive averages. Germany will look to slow the pace and fully exploit their centers’ edge in the paint. However, Japan’s aggressive team press and strong three-point shooting are set to regularly stretch the hosts’ defensive lines. The Asian side is expected to dictate a furious tempo with their superior mobility, drawing the Germans into the fast-paced, up-tempo game that suits them best. Picking a winner in this entertaining clash is a tough call, so the smarter play is backing the over 148.5 total points.

    Total points Over (148,5)
    Published: 04/09/2026, 20:10
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Basketball expert
    7
    0
    3
    10 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Germany (W) - Japan (W)

    Germany (W) lost the 2nd half:
    germany-4in 8 of last 9 games.
    2nd Half Japan (W) Win
    +129
    Japan (W) lost the 1st half:
    japan-2in last 5 games (FIBA World Cup Women).
    1st Half Germany (W) Win
    -164
    Under 155.5 points scored:
    germany-4in 35 of last 37 Germany (W) games.
    germany-4in 13 of last 14 Germany (W) home games.
    Total points Under (155,5)
    -161
    Under 37.5 points in the 3rd quarter:
    germany-4in last 12 Germany (W) home games.
    3rd Quarter Total Under 37,5
    -135
    View more facts

    Germany (W) - Japan (W) Table position

    Group stage Group A
    gWLPForm
    1.
    Spain (W)
    Spain (W)
    1102
    2.
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    1102
    3.
    Mali (W)
    Mali (W)
    1011
    4.
    Germany (W)
    Germany (W)
    1011