New York Liberty (W) vs Seattle Storm (W) Prediction 5 August 2026
🔊 In this WNBA regular season matchup, the New York Liberty take on the Seattle Storm. Both teams are more than capable of locking down defensively, and it wouldn’t be surprising if this contest is shaped by strong defensive play. Expect the game’s tempo to slow down as both sides focus on getting stops and limiting easy baskets.
Head-to-Head
📊 These teams faced off just a few days ago, with New York securing a home victory, 95-83. Looking at their last five head-to-head meetings, Storm still hold a slight edge, leading the series 3-2.
Head-to-head statistics New York Liberty (W) - Seattle Storm (W)
New York Liberty (W) Team Overview
In this matchup, the hosts will once again aim to showcase their highly efficient brand of basketball. They have picked up four wins in their last five outings, managing to overcome opponents of all styles - from fast-paced, attacking teams to those who focus strictly on defense. On average, they score 89.8 points per game while conceding 87.5. However, when playing at home, the numbers shift toward a more defensive approach: they put up 86.5 points and allow just 83. It's possible that pragmatism will take center stage here, especially with limited recovery time between games, which could impact shooting efficiency.
Match Results: New York Liberty (W)
Seattle Storm (W) Team Overview
Seattle's women are enduring a tough run, having now dropped nine games in a row. The season as a whole has been disappointing, with the team winning just over 20% of their matchups. Most recently, they fell to New York in a game where they never really looked competitive. Before that, they lost to Atlanta (89-98). Heading out on the road, Seattle will likely put extra emphasis on their defensive play. Finding an offensive rhythm, especially from the perimeter, will be a real challenge - particularly given that their roster doesn't stack up among the league's elite. On average, they score 82.6 points per game while conceding 87.7. Their hopes rest almost entirely on defensive effort.
Match Results: Seattle Storm (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 46;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 12; for the visitors on the road - 10;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 40.65;
- Today's home team averages 20.41, while the visitors average 20.24.
First Quarter Stats: New York Liberty (W) (home) vs Seattle Storm (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 16 vs 18;
- Number of wins: 9 (56.25%) vs 7 (38.89%);
- Number of losses: 6 (37.5%) vs 11 (61.11%);
- Number of draws: 1 (6.25%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 22.63 vs 20.44;
- Average points conceded: 20.69 vs 23.94.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 6 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 4 vs 7;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 47.2 (scored - 24.7, conceded - 22.5) vs 46.8 (scored - 20.6, conceded - 26.2).
- Under 46.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 New York Liberty (W) home games against Seattle Storm (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 76.2, for the away team - 78.74;
- average total points in H2H matches - 154.93.
Statistics: New York Liberty (W) vs Seattle Storm (W)
- average total in the tournament: 177.35 vs 170.29;
- average total points scored: 89.82 vs 82.62;
- average total points conceded: 87.53 vs 87.68;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 44.15 vs 41.74;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 44.82 vs 40.47;
- New York Liberty (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 86.5;
- Seattle Storm (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 80;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 93.6 (home - 89) vs 88.1 (away - 86.86).
- Under 183.5 points scored in 45 of last 46 New York Liberty (W) games against Seattle Storm (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 46;
- number of wins for the home team - 23, for the away team - 23.
Statistics: New York Liberty (W) vs Seattle Storm (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 31 vs 32;
- number of wins: 20 (58.82%) vs 7 (20.59%);
- number of losses: 14 (41.18%) vs 27 (79.41%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 10;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 5 vs 1;
- number of losses: 5 vs 9;
- number of home wins for the home team: 2;
- number of away wins for the away team: 1.
- Seattle Storm (W) won with a +12.5 points handicap in last 16 away games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).
- Seattle Storm (W) won with a +12.5 points handicap in last 11 games (WNBA).
- Seattle Storm (W) won with a +12.5 points handicap in last 7 away games (WNBA).
⭐ Editor's Pick
Two teams of distinctly different calibers go head-to-head here. New York come in as clear favorites. The hosts are in strong form and have shown plenty of attacking potential, but the visitors are sure to impose their own stylistic adjustments. Seattle often look to slow things down and turn games into defensive battles. This upcoming clash could well follow that familiar script. Our editorial team expects Liberty to come out on top, but it’s unlikely to be a free-flowing, high-scoring contest. Backing under 184.5 total points looks like the smart play.
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Betting Tips: New York Liberty (W) - Seattle Storm (W)
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