New York Liberty (W) vs Seattle Storm (W) Prediction 3 August 2026
🔊 In this WNBA regular season clash, the New York Liberty are set to face off against the Seattle Storm. The visitors find themselves in a tough spot, which means they’ll need to be at their best on the road - there’s no clear edge in terms of talent. Liberty are likely to capitalise on any weaknesses, but it’s unlikely they’ll be able to put on a true offensive showcase.
Head-to-Head
📊 The most recent meeting between these teams took place at the end of June, with Seattle playing at home and coming out on top, 99-88. Looking back at their last five head-to-head clashes, Storm hold a slight edge with three wins to two.
Head-to-head statistics New York Liberty (W) - Seattle Storm (W)
New York Liberty (W) Team Overview
The hosts are putting on an impressive display of basketball, having secured four wins in their last five outings. They recently edged out Phoenix in a nail-biter, clinching a 94-92 victory. For the most part, Liberty have been showcasing a solid offensive game. However, it's important to factor in the broader context: the team has been playing with virtually no rest lately. That makes it tough to expect full recovery and the same level of execution - even on home court. On average, they score 90 points per game and concede 88. Given the strengths of their opponents, it's hard to imagine a scenario where the hosts enjoy an easy ride.
Match Results: New York Liberty (W)
Seattle Storm (W) Team Overview
Seattle are currently mired in a dismal run of eight straight defeats. Their defensive woes have been especially glaring, as evidenced by recent losses to Atlanta (89-98) and Indiana (95-105). Given these struggles, it's reasonable to expect the Storm to opt for a more conservative, low-scoring approach in their upcoming games. After all, they’re averaging just 82.6 points per game - a figure that ranks among the lowest in the league. On the other end, they’re conceding 87.5 per contest. To steady the ship, Seattle will need to slow the tempo and limit their shot attempts. Against New York, there simply aren’t many other options.
Match Results: Seattle Storm (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 45;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 11; for the visitors on the road - 10;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 40.53;
- Today's home team averages 20.24, while the visitors average 20.29.
First Quarter Stats: New York Liberty (W) (home) vs Seattle Storm (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 15 vs 17;
- Number of wins: 8 (53.33%) vs 7 (41.18%);
- Number of losses: 6 (40%) vs 10 (58.82%);
- Number of draws: 1 (6.67%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 22.27 vs 20.59;
- Average points conceded: 20.87 vs 23.71.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 6 vs 4;
- Number of losses: 4 vs 6;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 47.4 (scored - 24.5, conceded - 22.9) vs 45.2 (scored - 20.8, conceded - 24.4).
- Under 47.5 points in the 1st quarter in 9 of last 10 New York Liberty (W) home games against Seattle Storm (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 75.78, for the away team - 78.64;
- average total points in H2H matches - 154.42.
Statistics: New York Liberty (W) vs Seattle Storm (W)
- average total in the tournament: 177.33 vs 170.06;
- average total points scored: 89.67 vs 82.61;
- average total points conceded: 87.67 vs 87.45;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 43.97 vs 41.7;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 44.82 vs 40.48;
- New York Liberty (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 85.93;
- Seattle Storm (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 79.82;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 94 (home - 90.33) vs 87 (away - 87.5).
- Seattle Storm (W) have scored under 85.5 points in last 6 away games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 45;
- number of wins for the home team - 22, for the away team - 23.
Statistics: New York Liberty (W) vs Seattle Storm (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 30 vs 31;
- number of wins: 19 (57.58%) vs 7 (21.21%);
- number of losses: 14 (42.42%) vs 26 (78.79%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 9;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 5 vs 1;
- number of losses: 5 vs 9;
- number of home wins for the home team: 2;
- number of away wins for the away team: 1.
- Seattle Storm (W) won with a +11.5 points handicap in last 15 away games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).
- Seattle Storm (W) won with a +11.5 points handicap in last 6 away games (WNBA).
Editor's Pick
In this matchup, the hosts step in as clear favourites, thanks to their impressive scoring form. While there are still questions about their defence, Liberty’s recent offensive performances have more than made up for those concerns. However, facing Seattle could disrupt their usual rhythm - expecting a high-scoring shootout might be too optimistic here. The Storm, fully aware of their underdog status, are likely to look for tactical adjustments that could make them more effective than they’ve been lately. Their best shot at progress lies in a committed defensive effort. Our editorial team suggests backing the under 183.5 points in this one.
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Betting Tips: New York Liberty (W) - Seattle Storm (W)
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in 7 of last 8 home games (WNBA).in 6 of last 7 away games (WNBA).in 44 of last 45 games against Seattle Storm (W) (WNBA).in last 22 home games against Seattle Storm (W) (WNBA).
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