Uruguay vs Cuba Prediction 5 July 2026
🏀 Uruguay have all but secured top spot in their group, and there’s little doubt they’ll see off the group’s underdogs in this FIBA World Cup Americas qualifier. Still, let’s break down how both teams are shaping up ahead of the final game of the first qualifying round.
Head-to-Head
📊 Uruguay and Cuba have faced off in just one official game. Their head-to-head clash took place on 03 March 2026 during the opening round of the current qualifiers, with Cuba suffering a heavy home defeat, 62-88.
Uruguay Team Overview
Uruguay have claimed victory in four out of five qualification games, holding the top spot thanks to their emphatic win in the first head-to-head clash with Argentina. They defeated their rivals by a 17-point margin, and even though they lost the return leg, the deficit was only 15 points. To advance to the second qualifying stage as group leaders, Uruguay need to beat Cuba. Their average stats in the qualifiers stand at 80.4 points scored and 67.8 points conceded per game.
Match Results: Uruguay
Cuba Team Overview
Cuba have yet to win a single game in their five qualifying matches, even falling short against direct rivals for a second-round spot, Panama. Only one of those encounters, an 81-84 loss to Panama, was truly competitive; in the rest, the deficit was significantly wider. Cuba’s current international campaign is already over. Throughout qualification, the islanders have averaged just 66 points per game while conceding 88 to their opponents.
Match Results: Cuba
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 1;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 0; for the visitors on the road - 0;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 37;
- Today's home team averages 20, while the visitors average 17.
First Quarter Stats: Uruguay (home) vs Cuba (away)
- Tournament matches played: 1 vs 1;
- Number of wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 1 (100%) vs 1 (100%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 20 vs 15;
- Average points conceded: 25 vs 20.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 7 vs 2;
- Number of losses: 3 vs 6;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 38.7 (scored - 21.1, conceded - 17.6) vs 37.25 (scored - 17.88, conceded - 19.38).
- Uruguay scored under 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in 8 of last 9 games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 1;
- number of wins for the home team - 1, for the away team - 0.
Statistics: Uruguay vs Cuba
- number of tournament matches played: 5 vs 5;
- number of wins: 2 (66.67%) vs 0 (0%);
- number of losses: 1 (33.33%) vs 3 (100%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 0;
- number of away wins for the away team: 0.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 7 vs 2;
- number of losses: 3 vs 6;
- number of home wins for the home team: 4;
- number of away wins for the away team: 1.
- Cuba won with a +26.5 points handicap in 7 of last 8 games.
- Cuba won with a +26.5 points handicap in 6 of last 7 games (FIBA Basketball World Cup Americas Qualifiers).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 88, for the away team - 62;
- average total points in H2H matches - 150.
Statistics: Uruguay vs Cuba
- average total in the tournament: 140.67 vs 156;
- average total points scored: 75 vs 71;
- average total points conceded: 65.67 vs 85;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 37 vs 36.67;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 38 vs 34.33;
- Uruguay: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 76;
- Cuba: average total points scored away in the tournament - 70;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 84.1 (home - 90.6) vs 70.75 (away - 68).
- Over 149.5 points scored in 9 of last 10 Uruguay games.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Despite a string of defeats, the Cuban basketball team tend to start games with a bit more composure. Uruguay have little reason to push the tempo here-they should be able to secure the win against Cuba even with their reserves, who are likely to start. Given that Cuba have trailed by no more than 10 points at halftime in seven of their last eight games, the smart play looks to be backing Cuba with a +10.5 handicap in the first half.No comments
Betting Tips: Uruguay - Cuba
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