Greece vs Portugal Prediction 5 July 2026
🔊 In the EuroBasket qualifying tournament, Greece are set to take on Portugal. The hosts boast a more experienced roster, which could make a difference throughout the full 40 minutes. However, it's important to factor in the summer timing of this clash, even the star players on the favored side might struggle to convert their chances consistently.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last time these teams met was on November 30 of last year. Greece were on the road and came away with a 76-68 victory. There have been no other head-to-head encounters between them.
Head-to-head statistics Greece - Portugal
Greece Team Overview
The Greek side delivered an unwelcome shock to their supporters, falling to Romania 66-73 just days ago. A complete collapse in the fourth quarter (-14) sealed their fate. Following such a stinging defeat, it’s clear the coaching staff will have to reset their approach and refocus the squad. Compounding the issue, Greece are missing their top scorers for this window. As a result, fans should expect a classic display of Greek basketball: pragmatic, defensively minded, and highly physical. The recent stats back this up: over their last five games, Greece have averaged 75.4 points scored and 67.4 conceded.
Match Results: Greece
Portugal Team Overview
Portugal have never been considered a basketball powerhouse. While the country occasionally produces players of genuine quality, this hasn’t translated into significant progress on the court. They recently fell to Montenegro, 68-72, and their standing in the qualifying group is far from impressive: two wins, three losses, and third place in the table. It’s difficult to expect any substantial improvement in their offense, especially when facing Greece. The stats may show a seemingly respectable average of 82.8 points per game, but that figure is unlikely to hold up in the upcoming clash.
Match Results: Portugal
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 1;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 0; for the visitors on the road - 0;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 41;
- Today's home team averages 24, while the visitors average 17.
First Quarter Stats: Greece (home) vs Portugal (away)
- Tournament matches played: 2 vs 2;
- Number of wins: 1 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 1 (50%) vs 2 (100%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 21.5 vs 18;
- Average points conceded: 15.5 vs 24.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 8 vs 1;
- Number of losses: 2 vs 8;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 41.4 (scored - 23, conceded - 18.4) vs 37.4 (scored - 17, conceded - 20.4).
- Under 38.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 Portugal away games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 1;
- number of wins for the home team - 1, for the away team - 0.
Statistics: Greece vs Portugal
- number of tournament matches played: 5 vs 5;
- number of wins: 3 (60%) vs 2 (40%);
- number of losses: 2 (40%) vs 3 (60%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 1;
- number of away wins for the away team: 1.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 7 vs 3;
- number of losses: 3 vs 7;
- number of home wins for the home team: 3;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
- Portugal won with a +16.5 points handicap in 6 of last 7 away games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 76, for the away team - 68;
- average total points in H2H matches - 144.
Statistics: Greece vs Portugal
- average total in the tournament: 142.8 vs 161.4;
- average total points scored: 75.4 vs 82.8;
- average total points conceded: 67.4 vs 78.6;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 40.4 vs 40.6;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 35 vs 42.2;
- Greece: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 78;
- Portugal: average total points scored away in the tournament - 89.5;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 79.8 (home - 80) vs 73.5 (away - 71.8).
- Under 152.5 points scored in 6 of last 7 Portugal away games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).
Editor's Pick The Greek side, especially on their own court, are expected to have a clear edge here. They need to bounce back after a recent setback, and right now, their best chance of doing so lies in their defensive play. Offensively, their options look quite limited at the moment. Portugal, meanwhile, are a team of a much lower calibre and are unlikely to find their rhythm on the road, particularly on the offensive end. Our editorial team anticipates a slow, hard-fought contest, one where the hosts should ultimately control proceedings. That said, the smarter bet appears to be on under 151.5 points total.
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Betting Tips: Greece - Portugal
in 7 of last 8 games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).in 9 of last 10 Greece games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).in last 5 Greece games.in 7 of last 8 home games.in 6 of last 7 Portugal away games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).Other predictions
