Испания vs Portugal Prediction 28 August 2026

Details
The main thing

    🏀 Spain are set to host Portugal in World Cup qualifying action. For the hosts, this fixture offers a prime opportunity to cement their status as clear group favourites in front of their home fans. Portugal, meanwhile, arrive with less consistent form and will look to put up a fight, hoping to boost their chances of booking a ticket to Qatar next year. The clash between these Iberian neighbours always draws attention, fueled by contrasting styles and differing squad strengths.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The most recent clash between Spain and Portugal took place on August 5, 2025, with Portugal edging out a 76-74 victory.

    Head-to-head statistics Испания - Portugal

    05.08.25
    Club Friendly Games
    Spain
    Spain
    Portugal
    Portugal
    74
    76
    27
    14
    17
    17
    18
    28
    12
    17
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Spain Team Overview

    Spain are enjoying a strong run of form, winning seven of their last ten games while suffering just three defeats. They impressed in the opening stage of World Cup qualifying, claiming victory in five out of six fixtures. Their only setback came last month, when they fell to Georgia in overtime. On average, Spain score 85.4 points per game and concede just 69.8, highlighting both their defensive solidity and attacking efficiency. 

    It’s worth noting that one of the key figures in this transitional Spanish side, Aldama, will miss this window due to a knee injury. As a result, much of the responsibility will fall on the shoulders of the Hernangómez brothers, Brizuela, and González. Fans and coaches alike are also eager to see the debut of Mara and Miller - the two rookies from Oklahoma and the Clippers, respectively.

    Match Results: Spain

    05.07.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Georgia
    Georgia
    Spain
    Spain
    91
    89
    14
    32
    24
    20
    19
    19
    26
    12
    8
    6
    L
    02.07.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Spain
    Spain
    Denmark
    Denmark
    109
    81
    24
    19
    27
    22
    31
    14
    27
    26
    W
    02.03.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Spain
    Spain
    Ukraine
    Ukraine
    78
    64
    16
    9
    12
    12
    24
    22
    26
    21
    W
    27.02.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Ukraine
    Ukraine
    Spain
    Spain
    66
    86
    21
    17
    12
    15
    14
    33
    19
    21
    W
    30.11.25
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Spain
    Spain
    Georgia
    Georgia
    90
    61
    19
    22
    28
    11
    23
    13
    20
    15
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Portugal Team Overview

    Portugal have delivered a rather lackluster start to the qualifiers, picking up just three wins from six games. As a result, they currently sit fourth in the standings, but their hopes of reaching the World Cup are still alive. That said, every slip-up from here on out could prove costly. The team’s main hopes for improvement rest on Boston Celtics big man Neemias Queta, as well as the experienced forward Williams and the skilled Prey. Let’s not forget Lisbon, who has long been indispensable for the national side. Over their last 10 outings, Portugal have averaged 75.2 points per game while conceding 76.1. While they haven’t put together an impressive winning streak, Portugal typically keep games close, so it would be premature to write them off against Spain.

    Match Results: Portugal

    05.07.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Greece
    Greece
    Portugal
    Portugal
    56
    71
    15
    19
    8
    9
    19
    25
    14
    18
    W
    02.07.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Portugal
    Portugal
    Montenegro
    Montenegro
    68
    72
    13
    23
    8
    13
    20
    13
    27
    23
    L
    27.06.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Portugal
    Portugal
    Switzerland
    Switzerland
    81
    70
    21
    20
    17
    17
    22
    19
    21
    14
    W
    26.06.26
    International
    Portugal
    Portugal
    Switzerland
    Switzerland
    79
    84
    19
    21
    15
    30
    19
    16
    26
    17
    L
    02.03.26
    World Cup Qualification, Europe
    Romania
    Romania
    Portugal
    Portugal
    101
    96
    27
    22
    23
    31
    26
    20
    25
    23
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Prediction on the over/under

    Trends
    • Under 158.5 points scored in 6 of last 7 Spain home games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).
    • Under 158.5 points scored in 20 of last 22 Portugal games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).
    • Under 158.5 points scored in 7 of last 8 Portugal away games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).
    👉Prediction: Total points Under (158,5) (odds: 1.75)

    Prediction on the outcome

    Trends
    • Portugal won with a +15.5 points handicap in 12 of last 13 away games.
    • Portugal won with a +15.5 points handicap in last 9 games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).
    • Portugal won with a +15.5 points handicap in last 7 games.
    • Portugal won with a +15.5 points handicap in 6 of last 7 away games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).
    👉Prediction: Portugal Handicap (+15,5) (odds: 1.62)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    This matchup is shaping up to be a tactical battle, with Spain likely to focus on controlling possession and Portugal relying on their trademark defensive organization to stay competitive. On paper, the hosts have the edge in both offensive and defensive metrics, but Spain’s home games in World Cup qualifiers have consistently been low-scoring affairs: the total has gone under 158.5 in six of their last seven home qualifiers. The visitors stick to a pragmatic, physical approach, putting a premium on defense above all else. Spain often mirror this style - no surprise then that in four of their six qualifying games, opponents have failed to score more than 66 points against them. With that in mind, we recommend looking at the under 159.5 total points market.
    Total points Under (159,5)
    Published: 27/08/2026, 15:46
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Basketball specialist
    43
    0
    42
    85 predictions
    Statistics for August 2026

    Will this prediction come true?

    Total votes cast: 0

    No comments

    Minimum 20 characters, maximum 500 characters

    Betting Tips: Spain - Portugal

    Spain have won:
    spain-8in 9 of last 10 home games.
    spain-8in 8 of last 9 home games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).
    Spain Win (inc. OT)
    -1667
    Spain won the 3rd quarter:
    spain-8in 8 of last 9 home games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).
    spain-8in last 7 home games.
    3rd Quarter Spain Win
    -
    Spain won the 2nd half:
    spain-8in last 7 home games.
    2nd Half Spain Win
    -
    Spain won the 4th quarter:
    spain-8in last 7 home games (World Cup Qualification, Europe).
    4th Quarter Spain Win
    -
    View more facts