Paris vs Zalgiris Prediction 1 October 2026

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Key points

    ๐Ÿ€ In Round 3 of the EuroLeague regular season, Paris take on Zalgiris. The French capitalโ€™s team have endured a difficult start to the campaign, while the visitors from Lithuania - bolstered by an impressive transfer window - are already displaying a high level of play. The difference in squad depth and current form could tip the scales in favor of the Baltic side.

    Head-to-Head

    ๐Ÿ“Š The last meeting between these sides took place in September - a friendly clash that saw Paris edge out a narrow 83-82 victory. However, looking at their previous five head-to-head encounters, ลฝalgiris hold the advantage with three wins to Parisโ€™ two.

    Head-to-head statistics Paris - Zalgiris

    25%
    1 Win
    75%
    3 Wins
    10.09.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    82
    83
    15
    21
    18
    24
    28
    21
    21
    17
    17.04.26
    ERL
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    85
    79
    26
    28
    27
    17
    15
    16
    17
    18
    11.12.25
    ERL
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    105
    108
    29
    28
    27
    20
    17
    32
    32
    28
    13.03.25
    ERL
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    83
    81
    14
    22
    17
    25
    29
    14
    23
    20
    13.11.24
    ERL
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    83
    77
    17
    16
    23
    20
    22
    20
    21
    21
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    Paris: The hosts are far from their best form

    Paris have suffered back-to-back defeats in the EuroLeague, falling first to Panathinaikos (72-91) and then to Partizan (79-92). Compared to last season, Paris look noticeably weaker. The loss of several key players hasnโ€™t been addressed, and their trademark up-tempo style no longer delivers the same offensive returns. The team is struggling for efficiency, with many individual matchups likely to go against them. On average, they score just 75.5 points while conceding 91.5. While Paris may eventually regain their confidence, at this stage itโ€™s unrealistic to consider them favourites against Zalgiris.

    Match Results: Paris Basketball

    29.09.26
    ERL
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    Partizan Belgrade
    Partizan Belgrade
    79
    92
    18
    15
    22
    29
    23
    23
    16
    25
    L
    27.09.26
    Pro A
    Sluc Nancy Basket
    Sluc Nancy Basket
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    73
    78
    15
    21
    17
    14
    24
    16
    17
    27
    W
    24.09.26
    ERL
    Panathinaikos
    Panathinaikos
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    91
    72
    31
    17
    11
    14
    27
    13
    22
    28
    L
    20.09.26
    France FSC
    Roanne Chorale
    Roanne Chorale
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    59
    81
    11
    13
    11
    8
    19
    36
    18
    24
    W
    19.09.26
    France FSC
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    Nanterre 92
    Nanterre 92
    95
    88
    17
    19
    33
    29
    22
    13
    23
    27
    W
    Empty
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    Zalgiris: the team show no obvious weaknesses

    The Lithuanian side, despite a recent 91-93 loss to Olympiacos, have been playing high-quality basketball. Domestically, they are in complete control. In the opening round of the EuroLeague, they defeated Crvena Zvezda on the road (83-77). That setback against the reigning champions is hardly a concern - especially since it came down to the wire. Zalgiris boast a powerful frontcourt, with Jonas Valanciunas showcasing top-level performances; he is capable of dominating even against Paris. Baltic teams have long been known for their shooting prowess, and this squad is no exception. Tactically, the visitors from Kaunas are well-drilled and lack any glaring weaknesses. On average, they score 87 points per game while conceding 85.

    Match Results: Zalgiris Kaunas

    29.09.26
    ERL
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Olympiacos
    Olympiacos
    91
    93
    24
    21
    20
    23
    19
    20
    28
    29
    L
    27.09.26
    LKL
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Siauliai
    Siauliai
    101
    82
    21
    19
    27
    18
    32
    19
    21
    26
    W
    24.09.26
    ERL
    Crvena Zvezda
    Crvena Zvezda
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    77
    83
    21
    28
    24
    15
    12
    16
    20
    24
    W
    20.09.26
    LKL
    Neptunas Klaipeda
    Neptunas Klaipeda
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    69
    93
    18
    20
    16
    20
    17
    21
    18
    32
    W
    17.09.26
    LKL
    Gargzdai
    Gargzdai
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    77
    98
    18
    23
    19
    21
    20
    28
    20
    26
    W
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    Total Points Prediction

    In their head-to-head matchups, the hosts average 87 points per game, while the visitors post 88.25. The combined average total in these encounters stands at 175.25. Over their last ten outings, Paris have averaged 85.4 points (with an impressive 90.2 at home), whereas ลฝalgiris have been prolific, putting up 96.6 on average (and maintaining a strong 93.8 on the road). The Lithuanian powerhouse consistently surpasses the 89.5-point mark away from home, doing so in six of their last seven road games. Letโ€™s back ลฝalgiris Over 89.5 Points at odds of 1.70.

    Outcome Prediction

    These sides have met four times in head-to-head clashes: the hosts have claimed one win, while the visitors have come out on top three times. Over their last 10 games, Paris have recorded five victories and five defeats, whereas ลฝalgiris have notched up nine wins with just a single loss. Recent trends are certainly in favor of the Lithuanian side, who have triumphed in 16 of their last 17 matches and are riding a seven-game winning streak away from home. With this in mind, backing ลฝalgiris to win at odds of 1.71 looks like a well-founded prediction.

    โญ Editorial Prediction

    Paris are set to throw everything they've got into securing their first home win of this EuroLeague season. However, from a tactical standpoint, their outlook is far from ideal. They could struggle in the paint, and while they still have a couple of standout players - Nadir Hifi among them - the offense isnโ€™t exactly firing on all cylinders, especially when it comes to converting from beyond the arc. The visitors are well equipped to exploit these weaknesses throughout all 40 minutes. Our editorial team backs Zalgiris to claim the win.
    Zalgiris Kaunas Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-154
    Published: 30/09/2026, 14:20
    Roman Smirnov
    Roman Smirnov
    Basketball and football specialist
    96
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    190 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Paris Basketball - Zalgiris Kaunas

    Paris Basketball lost the 1st half:
    paris-basketballin 6 of last 7 home games.
    Zalgiris Kaunas won the 1st half:
    bc-zalgiris-kaunasin 6 of last 7 away games.
    1st Half Zalgiris Kaunas to Win
    -128
    Zalgiris Kaunas have won:
    bc-zalgiris-kaunasin 16 of last 17 games.
    bc-zalgiris-kaunasin last 7 away games.
    Zalgiris Kaunas Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    -154
    Zalgiris Kaunas won the 1st quarter:
    bc-zalgiris-kaunasin last 14 games.
    bc-zalgiris-kaunasin last 7 away games.
    1st Quarter Zalgiris Kaunas to Win
    -118
    Zalgiris Kaunas won the 2nd half:
    bc-zalgiris-kaunasin 10 of last 11 games.
    bc-zalgiris-kaunasin last 5 away games (Euroleague).
    2nd Half Zalgiris Kaunas to Win
    -123
    View more facts

    Paris - Zalgiris Table position

    Regular season
    gWLForm
    7.
    BC Dubai
    BC Dubai
    220
    8.
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    Zalgiris Kaunas
    211
    9.
    Efes Anadolu Istanbul
    Efes Anadolu Istanbul
    211
    18.
    Virtus Bologna
    Virtus Bologna
    202
    19.
    Paris Basketball
    Paris Basketball
    202
    20.
    Saski Baskonia
    Saski Baskonia
    202