Paris vs Zalgiris Prediction 1 October 2026
๐ In Round 3 of the EuroLeague regular season, Paris take on Zalgiris. The French capitalโs team have endured a difficult start to the campaign, while the visitors from Lithuania - bolstered by an impressive transfer window - are already displaying a high level of play. The difference in squad depth and current form could tip the scales in favor of the Baltic side.
Head-to-Head
๐ The last meeting between these sides took place in September - a friendly clash that saw Paris edge out a narrow 83-82 victory. However, looking at their previous five head-to-head encounters, ลฝalgiris hold the advantage with three wins to Parisโ two.
Head-to-head statistics Paris - Zalgiris

Paris: The hosts are far from their best form
Paris have suffered back-to-back defeats in the EuroLeague, falling first to Panathinaikos (72-91) and then to Partizan (79-92). Compared to last season, Paris look noticeably weaker. The loss of several key players hasnโt been addressed, and their trademark up-tempo style no longer delivers the same offensive returns. The team is struggling for efficiency, with many individual matchups likely to go against them. On average, they score just 75.5 points while conceding 91.5. While Paris may eventually regain their confidence, at this stage itโs unrealistic to consider them favourites against Zalgiris.
Match Results: Paris Basketball

Zalgiris: the team show no obvious weaknesses
The Lithuanian side, despite a recent 91-93 loss to Olympiacos, have been playing high-quality basketball. Domestically, they are in complete control. In the opening round of the EuroLeague, they defeated Crvena Zvezda on the road (83-77). That setback against the reigning champions is hardly a concern - especially since it came down to the wire. Zalgiris boast a powerful frontcourt, with Jonas Valanciunas showcasing top-level performances; he is capable of dominating even against Paris. Baltic teams have long been known for their shooting prowess, and this squad is no exception. Tactically, the visitors from Kaunas are well-drilled and lack any glaring weaknesses. On average, they score 87 points per game while conceding 85.
Match Results: Zalgiris Kaunas
Total Points Prediction
In their head-to-head matchups, the hosts average 87 points per game, while the visitors post 88.25. The combined average total in these encounters stands at 175.25. Over their last ten outings, Paris have averaged 85.4 points (with an impressive 90.2 at home), whereas ลฝalgiris have been prolific, putting up 96.6 on average (and maintaining a strong 93.8 on the road). The Lithuanian powerhouse consistently surpasses the 89.5-point mark away from home, doing so in six of their last seven road games. Letโs back ลฝalgiris Over 89.5 Points at odds of 1.70.Outcome Prediction
These sides have met four times in head-to-head clashes: the hosts have claimed one win, while the visitors have come out on top three times. Over their last 10 games, Paris have recorded five victories and five defeats, whereas ลฝalgiris have notched up nine wins with just a single loss. Recent trends are certainly in favor of the Lithuanian side, who have triumphed in 16 of their last 17 matches and are riding a seven-game winning streak away from home. With this in mind, backing ลฝalgiris to win at odds of 1.71 looks like a well-founded prediction.โญ Editorial Prediction
Paris are set to throw everything they've got into securing their first home win of this EuroLeague season. However, from a tactical standpoint, their outlook is far from ideal. They could struggle in the paint, and while they still have a couple of standout players - Nadir Hifi among them - the offense isnโt exactly firing on all cylinders, especially when it comes to converting from beyond the arc. The visitors are well equipped to exploit these weaknesses throughout all 40 minutes. Our editorial team backs Zalgiris to claim the win.