Dream vs Mercury Prediction 1 August 2025

    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    95
    72
    34
    24
    26
    11
    23
    19
    8
    22

    🔊 The Atlanta Dream and Phoenix Mercury are set to clash in a tense showdown on Atlanta's home court. Both teams share the same win-loss record, making this matchup crucial for solidifying their positions in the standings. As they battle for a playoff spot, every point is invaluable. Given their previous encounters, fans can expect a hard-fought contest with tactical adjustments from both sides.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between Atlanta Dream (W) and Phoenix Mercury (W):

    • They have played 43 matches;
    • Wins (including overtime): 15 for the current home team and 28 for the visitors;
    • The home team averages 80.6 points per game, while the visitors average 81.93;
    • The average total score is 162.53.

    The last encounter took place on 24 July 2025 at the Phoenix Mercury's court and ended with a score of 79-90.

    Head-to-head statistics Dream - Mercury

    42%
    20 Wins
    58%
    28 Wins
    23.08.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    89
    99
    18
    29
    17
    21
    33
    23
    21
    26
    05.08.26
    WNBA
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    96
    82
    33
    24
    21
    23
    27
    19
    15
    16
    24.05.26
    WNBA
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    82
    80
    13
    25
    24
    19
    12
    13
    33
    23
    10.08.25
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    66
    74
    19
    24
    15
    15
    16
    14
    16
    21
    01.08.25
    WNBA
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    95
    72
    34
    23
    24
    19
    26
    8
    11
    22
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Atlanta Dream (W) Team Overview

    Atlanta Dream are showcasing solid form this season with a record of 16 wins and 11 losses. In their last five games, the team has secured three victories, maintaining a consistent level of play. However, they need to focus on their scoring efficiency-averaging just 81.5 points per game at home, as seen in most recent matchups against Phoenix. Atlanta's main strength lies in their defense, effectively neutralizing opponents' attacks, although they occasionally struggle with long-range shooting.

    Match Results: Atlanta Dream (W)

    28.08.26
    WNBA
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    83
    101
    18
    28
    20
    24
    23
    22
    22
    27
    L
    25.08.26
    WNBA
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    71
    78
    15
    20
    22
    16
    18
    26
    16
    16
    W
    23.08.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    89
    99
    18
    29
    17
    21
    33
    23
    21
    26
    W
    21.08.26
    WNBA
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    88
    124
    12
    34
    29
    28
    21
    32
    26
    30
    W
    19.08.26
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    82
    97
    25
    24
    16
    28
    20
    19
    21
    26
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Phoenix Mercury (W) Team Overview

    The Phoenix Mercury have a nearly identical win-loss record to Atlanta this season (16-10), but their recent form raises concerns-four losses in their last five games highlight the team's inconsistency. Their average points scored on the road rarely exceed 83, which could be a vulnerability against Atlanta's solid defense. Nevertheless, the team is adept at quickly adapting to opponents' play thanks to the flexibility of their leaders and their ability to dominate in the paint.

    Match Results: Phoenix Mercury (W)

    30.08.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Toronto Tempo (W)
    Toronto Tempo (W)
    101
    69
    27
    17
    31
    18
    30
    14
    13
    20
    W
    28.08.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Washington Mystics (W)
    Washington Mystics (W)
    73
    80
    18
    20
    19
    20
    20
    13
    16
    27
    L
    26.08.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Washington Mystics (W)
    Washington Mystics (W)
    84
    94
    15
    24
    18
    27
    27
    26
    24
    17
    L
    23.08.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    89
    99
    18
    29
    17
    21
    33
    23
    21
    26
    L
    16.08.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    85
    88
    22
    18
    20
    18
    22
    25
    21
    27
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 43;
    • First-quarter wins at home for the hosts - 10; for the visitors on the road - 10;
    • Average first-quarter total: 40.05;
    • Today's home team averages 19.77 points, while the visitors average 20.28.

    First-Quarter Stats: Atlanta Dream (Home) vs Phoenix Mercury (Away)

    • Number of tournament matches played: 9 vs 11;
    • Wins: 5 (55.56%) vs 4 (36.36%);
    • Losses: 4 (44.44%) vs 6 (54.55%);
    • Draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (9.09%).
    • Average points scored: 20 vs 20.18;
    • Average points conceded: 20 vs 20.82.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Wins: 7 vs 4;
    • Losses: 3 vs 6;
    • Draws: 0 vs 0;
    • Average first-quarter total: 40.1 (scored - 22.1, conceded - 18) vs 42 (scored - 20.3, conceded - 21.7).
    Trends
    • Phoenix Mercury score less than 21.5 points in the first quarter on the road in 10 of their last 11 head-to-head meetings with this team (WNBA).
    👉 Prediction: 1st Quarter, Phoenix Mercury (W) Total points Under (21,5)(odds: 1.87)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 43;
    • Home wins - 15, Away wins - 28.
    Trends
    • Atlanta Dream (W) cover the +8.5 spread in 11 of the last 12 head-to-head matchups against Phoenix Mercury (W) in the WNBA.
    👉Prediction: Atlanta Dream (W) Handicap (+8,5)(odds: 1.47)

    Total Points Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Average points per game for the home team - 80.6, for the away team - 81.93;
    • Average total points in head-to-head matches - 162.53.

    Statistics: Atlanta Dream (W) vs Phoenix Mercury (W)

    • Average tournament total: 162.24 vs 165.81;
    • Average points scored: 83.38 vs 84.29;
    • Average points conceded: 78.86 vs 81.52;
    • Average points scored in the first half: 40.71 vs 42.29;
    • Average points scored in the second half: 42.38 vs 42;
    • Atlanta Dream (W): Average points scored at home in the tournament - 86.22;
    • Phoenix Mercury (W): Average points scored away in the tournament - 82;
    • Last 10 games (average points scored): 82.6 (home - 83.5) vs 84.4 (away - 79.4).
    Trends
    • Atlanta Dream (W) score fewer than 81.5 points at home in 11 of the last 12 head-to-head matchups against Phoenix Mercury (W) in the WNBA.
    👉Prediction: Atlanta Dream (W) Total points Under (81,5)(odds: 1.77)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    In the upcoming matchup, we have two strong teams with contrasting game plans: Atlanta will aim to maintain a slow pace and control their defensive zone, while Phoenix will look to increase the tempo with aggressive play across the court. Both teams are in similar form: Atlanta appears more confident at home thanks to their successful defensive strategy, whereas Phoenix has the potential for a surprise push forward, backed by their key players. Based on past head-to-head statistics, a bet on Atlanta's individual total under 81.5 points is recommended.

    Atlanta Dream (W) Total points Under (81,5)
    Published: 01/08/2025, 07:19

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    Betting Tips: Atlanta Dream (W) - Phoenix Mercury (W)

    Phoenix Mercury (W) lost the 2nd half:
    atlanta-dreamphoenix-mercuryin last 5 games against Atlanta Dream (W) (WNBA).
    2nd Half Atlanta Dream (W) Win
    +124
    Atlanta Dream (W) won the 1st quarter:
    atlanta-dreamin 7 of last 8 games (WNBA).
    1st Quarter Atlanta Dream (W) Win
    +125
    Under 43.5 points in the 1st quarter:
    atlanta-dreamphoenix-mercuryin 19 of last 20 Atlanta Dream (W) games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    atlanta-dreamphoenix-mercuryin last 10 Atlanta Dream (W) home games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    1st Quarter Total Under 43,5
    -125
    Under 85.5 points in the 1st half:
    atlanta-dreamphoenix-mercuryin 19 of last 20 Atlanta Dream (W) games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    atlanta-dreamphoenix-mercuryin 11 of last 12 Atlanta Dream (W) home games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    atlanta-dreamin last 8 Atlanta Dream (W) games (WNBA).
    1st Half Total Under 85,5
    -112
    View more facts

    Dream - Mercury Table position

    Group stage Commissioner's Cup Eastern Conference
    gWLForm
    1.
    Indiana Fever (W)
    Indiana Fever (W)
    541
    2.
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    541
    3.
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    532
    4.
    Washington Mystics (W)
    Washington Mystics (W)
    523
    6.
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    514