Marlins vs Phillies Prediction 28 July 2026

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    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
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    📡 Miami clinched the series opener 8-7, snapping their 12-game losing streak. The hosts rallied back and sealed the game with a decisive hit in the ninth inning. Philadelphia couldn't maintain their lead, despite building a comfortable cushion twice. Sandy Alcantara and Aaron Nola are slated to start in the second game.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Philadelphia have triumphed in seven of the last 10 head-to-head matchups, while Miami have claimed victory in three. Five of these encounters featured at least nine runs, with scores like 11-1, 6-5, 12-4, and yesterday's 8-7. During this stretch, the teams have combined for at least 12 runs on three occasions.

    Head-to-head statistics Marlins - Phillies

    44%
    77 Wins
    53%
    93 Wins
    19.08.26
    major league baseball
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
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    2
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    18.08.26
    major league baseball
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
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    4
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    4
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    1
    17.08.26
    major league baseball
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    6
    5
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    2
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    2
    1
    29.07.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
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    6
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    3
    3
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    28.07.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
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    Miami Marlins Team Overview

    Miami have improved their record to 53-54, finally halting the toughest stretch of their season. In the first game, the hosts notched up 14 hits, two home runs, and consistently applied pressure after the midway point of the match. This victory should alleviate some psychological pressure on the team, which has been playing catch-up for several weeks. However, their pitchers conceded seven runs again, meaning the offense might need another strong performance.

    Match Results: Miami Marlins

    26.08.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    4
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    W
    25.08.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    3
    7
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    5
    L
    24.08.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    2
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    L
    23.08.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Washington Nationals
    Washington Nationals
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    22.08.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Washington Nationals
    Washington Nationals
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    Philadelphia Phillies Team Overview

    Philadelphia hold a 57-50 record but have been experiencing an inconsistent stretch since the break. On Monday, the visitors put up seven runs and received solid support from various parts of the lineup, but the late-inning relievers failed to maintain the lead. The Phillies have won seven of their last 10 matchups against this team and are well-acquainted with Alcantara's pitching. However, Nola's form remains a concern as he is enduring one of the weakest seasons of his career.

    Match Results: Philadelphia Phillies

    26.08.26
    major league baseball
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle Mariners
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
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    26.08.26
    major league baseball
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle Mariners
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
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    25.08.26
    major league baseball
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle Mariners
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
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    L
    23.08.26
    major league baseball
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
    St. Louis Cardinals
    St. Louis Cardinals
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    22.08.26
    major league baseball
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia Phillies
    St. Louis Cardinals
    St. Louis Cardinals
    12
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    ⚾ Starting Pitchers

    Sandy Alcantara takes the mound for Miami, boasting a 10-6 record, a 4.01 ERA, and 110 strikeouts. The right-hander is capable of going deep into games, though his current ERA allows opponents the chance for a few productive innings.

    Aaron Nola starts for Philadelphia with a 3-8 record, a 5.82 ERA, and 112 strikeouts. While he maintains the ability to generate outs through swings and misses, he often gives up hard contact and allows extended offensive rallies.


    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    The first encounter showcased the offensive prowess of these teams. Miami recorded 14 hits and, having ended their losing streak, should play with more freedom. Philadelphia also scored seven runs and will face Alcantara, who has an ERA over 4.00. Nola is allowing nearly six runs on average over nine innings, which could lead to an early call for the relievers. Five of the last 10 head-to-head matchups have already seen at least nine runs scored. If yesterday's performance is any indication, we're betting on a total over 8 runs.

    Total Over (8)
    Published: 28/07/2026, 04:21
    Evgeny Lisin
    Evgeny Lisin
    Baseball specialist
    316
    0
    239
    555 predictions
    Statistics for July 2026

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    Betting Tips: Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies

    Miami Marlins have lost:
    miami-marlinsin 12 of last 13 games (MLB).
    miami-marlinsin 6 of last 7 home games (MLB).
    Philadelphia Phillies Win
    Bovada
    +116
    Miami Marlins have scored under 3.5 runs:
    miami-marlinsin 6 of last 7 home games (MLB).
    Miami Marlins Total Under (3,5)
    -