Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Chiba Lotte Prediction 28 August 2026
📡 Nippon-Ham host Lotte at Es Con Field, enjoying a significant early edge with Koki Kitayama on the mound. The visitors counter with Kazuya Kojima, a reliable innings-eater, but his season stats-ERA, WHIP, and overall dominance-fall short compared to Kitayama’s. The Kitayama-Kojima pitching matchup is confirmed for August 28.
Head-to-Head
📊 Nippon-Ham have repeatedly shut down Lotte with strong starting pitching, and that edge becomes even more significant on home turf. While Lotte can be dangerous against right-handers, they often struggle to string together big innings against Kitayama: they produce few hits, strike out at a high rate, and rarely force him out of the game early. Given these factors, backing the home side appears to be a stronger play than betting on the overall total.
Head-to-head statistics Nippon-Ham Fighters - Chiba Lotte

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters Team Overview
Kitayama ranks among the top pitchers in the Pacific League: the NPB lists his ERA at 2.22 over 19 appearances, with a 9-3 record, 117.1 innings pitched, 88 hits allowed, 109 strikeouts, 36 runs conceded, and 29 earned runs. This isn’t just a strong run of form-it’s a solid foundation for a team that can dictate the game at home by controlling the early innings.
Match Results: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Chiba Lotte Marines Team Overview
Kojima currently posts an ERA of around 3.51 over 11 starts, and in his lone outing against Nippon-Ham, he went 7.0 innings, allowing 5 hits, striking out 5, but conceding 4 runs. That’s not a disastrous line, but it falls short of the standard Nippon-Ham have been getting from Kitayama.
Match Results: Chiba Lotte Marines
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Koki Kitayama, the right-hander for Nippon-Ham, brings an impressive stat line: a 2.22 ERA across 19 appearances, a 9-3 record, 117.1 innings pitched, 88 hits allowed, 109 strikeouts, 36 earned runs, and a WHIP hovering around 1.0. He gives the home side a significant edge on the mound in this matchup.
Kazuya Kojima, the lefty for Lotte, has posted an ERA of roughly 3.51 in 11 starts this season. Against Nippon-Ham, he went seven innings but gave up four runs. He’s a reliable option, but his profile isn’t as dominant as Kitayama’s.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Nippon-Ham are handed a more favorable scenario here: Kitayama is expected to keep Lotte’s offense in check through the early innings, while the hosts’ lineup should find opportunities against Kojima. Lotte aren’t without hope, but for them to win, they’ll either need to crack one of the league’s top starters early or keep the home side off the scoreboard deep into the game. Both of those outcomes seem less likely than Nippon-Ham’s straightforward path. With a strong starting advantage and home field on their side, we’re backing Nippon-Ham to come out on top.
