Fukuoka Softbank vs Tohoku Rakuten Prediction 26 September 2026
📡 Rakuten head into their trip to Fukuoka riding their hottest offensive stretch of the season. Over their last five games, they’ve put up at least five runs in each outing, including two wins against Fukuoka-5-2 and 5-3. The hosts are set to start Moinelo, while the visitors turn to Koja, but when it comes to predicting Rakuten’s individual run total, it’s their current consistency at the plate that stands out above all else.
Rakuten have scored at least five runs in four of their last five games against Fukuoka.
📊 Over their last ten head-to-head clashes, the teams have split the wins evenly at 5-5, with Rakuten tallying 35 runs. The visitors have scored over 2.5 runs in six of those ten games. Recent form is even more telling: in four of their last five meetings with Fukuoka, Rakuten have put up at least five runs, including a pair of September victories by scores of 5-2 and 5-3.
Head-to-head statistics Fukuoka Softbank - Tohoku Rakuten

Fukuoka are back to winning ways, but Rakuten have already exposed their pitching twice this season.
Fukuoka have long secured top spot and, after dropping two games to Rakuten, quickly regained momentum with 6-5 and 10-3 victories over Seibu, followed by a commanding 9-0 win against Orix. Their roster remains the deepest in the Pacific League, and the bullpen consistently locks down the late innings. Still, Rakuten have managed to find ways to put up runs against the reigning champions’ formidable pitching staff in recent head-to-head matchups.
Match Results: Fukuoka Softbank Hawks

Rakuten have scored at least five runs in each of their last five games.
Rakuten are showcasing a completely different level of offense compared to most of the season. They put up 5 runs against Fukuoka on September 19, followed by another 5 the next day, then posted 5 and 5 more against Nippon-Ham, capping off the series with a commanding 6-0 victory. That means they've scored at least 4 runs in five straight games. This consistent run production provides a solid foundation for any prediction, shifting the focus away from Rakuten’s position at the bottom of the standings.
Match Results: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Moinelo, a left-hander, boasts an ERA of 0.87 across six starts, posting a 5-1 record. Over 41.1 innings, he has allowed just 21 hits, struck out 32 batters, and surrendered only 6 runs, with an impressive WHIP of 0.68. All six of his outings have been quality starts, including two complete games-one of them a shutout. Opposing hitters are batting just .148 against Moinelo.
Kojiya, also a southpaw, carries a 3.44 ERA through 18 starts and holds a 2-10 record. In 104.2 innings, he has given up 100 hits, struck out 93, and allowed 46 runs, with a WHIP of 1.23. He has registered nine quality starts and two complete games. Kojiya averages exactly eight strikeouts per nine innings and opponents are hitting .251 off him.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Rakuten have scored at least five runs in each of their last five completed games, kicking off that stretch with back-to-back wins over Fukuoka themselves. In the last ten head-to-head meetings, they've cleared the individual 2.5-run mark six times, and in four of the five most recent encounters, the visitors have put up at least five runs. With the line set at just three runs over nine innings, Rakuten only need one solid scoring inning and some insurance runs against the bullpen. Their offense has consistently generated traffic and cashed in over several series now, and recent matchups confirm this approach works even against the reigning champions' pitching staff. We're backing Rakuten to score over 2.5 runs.