Tohoku Rakuten vs Fukuoka Softbank Prediction 20 September 2026
📡 Fukuoka have already secured top spot in the Pacific League, but their nine-game winning streak came to an end on Saturday with a 2-5 defeat in Sendai. Rakuten, on the other hand, are riding a four-game winning run. In game two of the series, the reigning champions will send Ryosuke Otsu to the mound (ERA 2.36), while the hosts counter with Ryota Takinaka.
Fukuoka maintain their edge over Rakuten despite Saturday’s defeat
📊 Fukuoka have claimed victory in six of their last ten head-to-head meetings, outscoring Rakuten 49-31 over that stretch. During this run, the reigning champions have posted wins of 5-1, 9-2, 3-0, 5-0, 10-6, and 6-1. Saturday’s 2-5 defeat snapped the visitors’ winning streak but didn’t change their overall dominance in recent matchups.
Head-to-head statistics Tohoku Rakuten - Fukuoka Softbank

Rakuten have unexpectedly put together a four-game winning streak.
Rakuten are enjoying a surprisingly strong run of form, notching a 1-0 win over Seibu, back-to-back victories against Lotte (4-0 and 5-1), and a 5-2 triumph over Fukuoka. Despite this surge, their overall record remains the league’s worst at 51-78-1. The main issue throughout the season has been a lack of consistency at the plate, though both McCusker and Murabayashi have shown the ability to spark quality rallies. With Fujihira available in late innings, Fukuoka will want to avoid heading into the eighth or ninth with the score level.
Match Results: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Fukuoka suffer their first defeat after a nine-game winning streak.
Fukuoka saw their nine-game winning streak snapped, but a single loss does little to diminish their overall quality. With a record of 84-46-3, they have already secured first place, and until Saturday, they had taken series wins over Nippon-Ham, Lotte, and Orix in succession. Their lineup boasts far more depth than Rakuten’s, and a reliable bullpen allows them to effectively shorten games after six or seven innings. The 2-5 defeat marked their first loss in ten games.
Match Results: Fukuoka Softbank Hawks
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Ryota Takinaka, a right-hander, enters with a 3.71 ERA across 18 starts and a 5-8 record. Over 102 innings, he has allowed 105 hits, struck out 56 batters, and given up 43 runs, posting a 1.32 WHIP. Nine of his outings have been quality starts. Takinaka rarely overpowers hitters with strikeouts, so much of his effectiveness depends on inducing contact and relying on the defense behind him.
Ryosuke Otsu, also a right-hander, boasts a 2.36 ERA through 20 starts with an 11-4 record. In 133.1 innings, he has surrendered 114 hits, registered 107 strikeouts, and conceded 41 runs, with an impressive 1.04 WHIP. Otsu has delivered 15 quality starts, including one complete game and one shutout. With a QS rate of 75%, he demonstrates a significantly higher level of consistency on the mound.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Rakuten are riding a wave of momentum after snapping Fukuoka’s long winning streak, but the dynamics shift significantly for Game 2. Otsu holds the edge over Takinaka in ERA, WHIP, quality start percentage, and win-loss ratio. Fukuoka have claimed six of the last ten head-to-head meetings and had rattled off nine consecutive league victories before Saturday’s setback. Even after clinching the title, squad depth remains Fukuoka’s biggest asset: when the first half is tightly contested, they offer more options both at the plate and out of the bullpen. The smart play here is a Fukuoka win.