Landers vs Samsung Lions Prediction 24 September 2026
📡 SSG return to action after suffering a heavy 2-8 defeat against KT, a loss that snapped their four-game winning streak at home. Samsung, on the other hand, bounced back from two straight losses with an 8-5 victory over NC and remain second in the standings at 77-52-3, trailing KT by 3.5 games. When making a prediction for this matchup in Incheon, the contrast is clear: the visitors have showcased a much stronger offense over the course of the season, but SSG’s recent games have tended to stay within a more controlled scoring range.
Two of the last three recent games between SSG and Samsung have been decided by a margin of ten runs or fewer.
📊 Samsung have come out on top in seven of their last 10 head-to-head clashes, but the recent August series has already produced two low-scoring games out of three. SSG opened with a 5-4 win before wrapping up the series with a 6-4 result. These latest encounters highlight that, despite Samsung’s notable offensive firepower, their opponents have managed to keep the combined runs under ten.
Head-to-head statistics Landers - Samsung Lions

Landers have turned low-scoring games into a consistent September trend
Before their loss to KT, the Landers had put together a four-game winning streak-beating Kia 6-3, Lotte 4-1, NC 2-1, and Kiwoom 10-5. Notably, eight of SSG’s last ten games have finished with a total under 10.5 runs. The hosts are batting .258 on the season compared to Samsung’s .277, which underlines why SSG’s offense remains the key factor limiting high-scoring affairs. Even on September 22, despite racking up seven hits and drawing six walks, the team managed to convert that into just two runs.
Match Results: SSG Landers

Samsung combine a potent offense with pitching that can contain SSG’s underwhelming lineup.
The Lions remain second in the standings and have clearly outperformed the hosts over the course of the season, but high-scoring games haven’t exactly been their trademark lately. In six of Samsung’s last ten outings, both teams combined for no more than ten runs: results include a 3-1 win over Doosan, a 5-3 loss to Lotte, a 7-3 victory against Lotte again, a 6-4 result versus Kiwoom, and several even tighter contests. The visitors’ pitching staff also stands out-Samsung’s team ERA sits at 4.23, significantly better than SSG’s 5.20.
Match Results: Samsung Lions
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Anthony Veneziano gets the nod for SSG: 1-2 with a 5.83 ERA, and against Samsung he’s 0-0 with a daunting 8.31 ERA. He’s clearly the biggest risk factor for an under scenario in this matchup. Facing a lineup that’s hitting .278, his numbers suggest Samsung could strike early and put SSG on the back foot. The Landers will need to back up their starter with plenty of offense, as it’s hard to expect Veneziano to deliver a deep, stress-free outing given these stats.
Won Tae-in is set to start for Samsung: 2-3 with a 3.43 ERA, and he’s yet to allow a run against SSG (0-0, 0.00 ERA). On paper, he looks more reliable than Veneziano, but the head-to-head hasn’t favored Samsung so far. The home side have already beaten the league leaders three times, and their 47 home runs make them a constant threat, even against higher-caliber pitching. For Won Tae-in, keeping SSG from building early momentum will be crucial.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
The 10.5 total looks high, especially considering the way SSG’s games have unfolded recently. Eight of the hosts’ last ten matchups have finished under this line, with Landers repeatedly holding opponents to just one to three runs during that stretch. Samsung are capable of putting up most of the scoring themselves, but even so, six of their last ten contests have seen fewer than ten total runs, and their team ERA of 4.23 suggests they can contain SSG’s somewhat inconsistent offense. In their August series, these two sides twice combined for just nine and ten runs respectively-numbers that fit well with the current trend. To hit the over here, Samsung would need another explosive offensive display or SSG would have to step up significantly at the plate; recent form suggests a more restrained outcome is likely. We’re backing under 10.5 total runs in this one.