Landers vs Samsung Lions Prediction 25 September 2026
📡 SSG and Samsung face off for the second straight day in Incheon, following a tightly contested 4-5 opener in the series. Landers currently sit eighth with a 58-71-5 record, while the visitors are second at 78-52-3. Friday’s prediction hinges on the starting pitchers: SSG send out Lee Ro Un, who has shown marked improvement since joining the rotation, while Samsung counter with Kim Baek San, who has posted solid numbers in limited appearances this season.
Three of the last four recent games between SSG and Samsung have been decided by a margin of ten runs or fewer.
📊 Samsung have come out on top in seven of their last ten head-to-head clashes, but the dynamic of this matchup has shifted recently. Three of the last four meetings saw no more than ten total runs: 5-4, 6-4, and 5-4; the only outlier was the 18-4 blowout back in August. The opening game of the current series also finished with just nine runs, reinforcing the trend toward lower-scoring contests between these sides.
Head-to-head statistics Landers - Samsung Lions
Landers have turned low totals into the defining trend over their last ten games.
The main storyline for Landers right now isn't their results, but rather a sharp drop in overall scoring. Nine of SSG's last ten games have finished under 10.5 runs, with scorelines like 1-0, 4-3, 4-1, 2-1, 2-8, and yesterday's 4-5. Offensively, Landers rank ninth in the KBO this season, batting .258 with 653 runs scored prior to this series, making it tough for the hosts to consistently sustain a high-scoring pace. Park Sung-han stands out with a .329 average, but overall, the lineup lacks the depth that Samsung bring to the table.
Match Results: SSG Landers
Samsung back up their potent offense with the second most reliable pitching staff in the KBO.
The Lions boast a powerful offense-batting .277 with 757 runs scored-but they also feature the league’s second-best pitching staff, posting a 4.23 ERA and racking up 56 quality starts. This balance between hitting and pitching means Samsung don’t need to rely on high-scoring shootouts to secure wins. On Thursday, the visitors held SSG to just four runs, with Kim Jae-yoon recording his 34th save of the season. That’s especially significant ahead of a matchup against hosts who, in recent games, typically score just two to four runs per outing.
Match Results: Samsung Lions
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Lee Ro Un, a right-hander for SSG, has appeared in 48 games this season-including three starts after transitioning from the bullpen. He owns a 7-3 record, a 5.40 ERA, and a 1.46 WHIP. Over 58.1 innings pitched, he has allowed 57 hits and 35 runs while striking out 57 batters, recording two quality starts along the way. Much of his stat line reflects his earlier relief work, but in his last two outings as a starter, he’s been impressive-throwing 13.2 innings and surrendering just one run. That stretch includes 6.2 shutout frames against Doosan and a seven-inning, one-run performance versus NC.
Kim Paek San, the right-hander for Samsung, has pitched in five games this year, making two starts. He carries a 1-1 record with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. In 14.1 innings of work, he has given up only 10 hits and five runs while striking out 10. He’s yet to notch a quality start, complete game, or shutout. His debut start against NC saw him toss 5.2 scoreless innings, followed by a 4.1-inning outing with three runs allowed against Kiwoom. On September 20, he added another scoreless inning out of the bullpen.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
The high 10.5 total looks out of step with SSG’s current trend: nine of their last ten games have finished under that mark, and their first meeting with Samsung ended 5-4. Lee Ro Woon provides further support for the under-since joining the rotation, he has taken a big step forward, allowing just one run across 13.2 innings in his last two starts, which has eased the burden on SSG’s inconsistent bullpen. Kim Baek San has logged only 14.1 innings in the KBO so far but has limited hard contact-just 10 hits allowed, with a 3.14 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Behind him, Samsung’s pitching staff has a team ERA of 4.23. In their last four head-to-head meetings, three have featured no more than ten runs, including yesterday’s nine-run game. Given these starting conditions, another low-scoring contest-something in the range of 4-5, 3-5, or 4-6-feels like a well-founded prediction. We’re backing the under 10.5 total runs.
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Betting Tips: SSG Landers - Samsung Lions
in 8 of last 9 SSG Landers games (KBO).Other predictions
