Dodgers vs Padres Prediction 25 September 2026
📡 The Dodgers' final home game of the regular season also serves as the series decider against San Diego. Los Angeles opened with a commanding 7-0 shutout, but the Padres bounced back on Wednesday with a 5-1 victory. The Dodgers, sitting at 97-61, have already clinched the NL West, while San Diego, at 88-70, are still fine-tuning ahead of the Wild Card race. The decisive matchup features a heavyweight pitching duel between Tyler Glasnow and Nick Pivetta.
The Dodgers maintained their 7-3 lead even after San Diego's response yesterday.
📊 The Dodgers have claimed victory in seven of their last ten matchups against the Padres. Even after San Diego’s response yesterday, Los Angeles still hold a commanding 7-3 edge in this recent stretch. During this run, the Dodgers have found a variety of ways to win at home-posting scores like 3-0, 4-0, 4-3, 12-7, and 15-3. This range of outcomes highlights just how consistent the Dodgers’ advantage has been in this divisional rivalry.
Head-to-head statistics Dodgers - Padres
Los Angeles bring in Glasnow, who boasts an impressive track record against the current Padres lineup.
The Dodgers have racked up 51 runs over their last ten games, scoring at least seven on six occasions during that stretch. Prior to yesterday’s 1-5 loss, they were riding a five-game winning streak, posting results like 8-2, 10-4, 3-1, and 7-0 along the way. The lineup continues to get production from several spots in the order, and with the regular season wrapping up at home, Los Angeles have every reason to close out the series with a win before heading into October.
Match Results: Los Angeles Dodgers
Pivetta has been consistent in September, but the Dodgers traditionally read his pitching well.
The Padres bounced back from a heavy 0-7 shutout with a commanding 5-1 victory. They’re finishing the season on a high note and have already secured a spot in the October stretch of the championship. San Diego’s offensive depth makes them a constant threat, and they’re comfortable navigating low-scoring early innings. However, tonight they face Glasnow, who boasts an impressive career record against this current Padres lineup.
Match Results: San Diego Padres
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Tyler Glasnow enters with a 3.46 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP. In his most recent outing, he went six innings against San Francisco, allowing two earned runs while striking out ten. His numbers against the current San Diego lineup are particularly impressive: opponents are hitting just .139 with a .212 wOBA over 112 plate appearances.
Nick Pivetta takes the mound sporting a 3.30 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP. He’s been sharp in September, giving up just one earned run over five innings against Miami, two over four innings against San Francisco, and tossing five scoreless frames versus Washington. However, the current Dodgers lineup has historically seen him well-batting .265 with a .336 wOBA across 186 plate appearances.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Pivetta is in solid form, so the Dodgers are unlikely to find an early edge in the opening innings. However, the hosts have a major asset in Glasnow, who’s coming off a ten-strikeout performance and has historically dominated this current San Diego lineup. Los Angeles have taken seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including five straight wins before yesterday’s defeat. The Dodgers are also much more familiar with Pivetta’s pitching than the Padres are with Glasnow’s arsenal. If the early stages remain evenly matched, LA’s depth and late-inning pitching options should give them the upper hand in this decisive game of the series. We’re backing a Los Angeles Dodgers win.
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Betting Tips: Los Angeles Dodgers - San Diego Padres
in 11 of last 12 home games (MLB).
in 6 of last 7 games (MLB).in 13 of last 14 San Diego Padres games (MLB).in 10 of last 11 San Diego Padres away games (MLB).in 6 of last 7 games (MLB).Other predictions
