Dodgers vs Padres Prediction 5 July 2026
📡 The Dodgers have taken the first two games of the series, posting scores of 12-7 and 4-3. In game two, Los Angeles found themselves down 0-3, but Teoscar Hernández turned the tide with a grand slam in the seventh inning. San Diego are now on a seven-game losing streak, while the Dodgers have won nine of their last eleven contests. In game three, the starting pitching matchup between Griffin Canning and Yoshinobu Yamamoto gives the home side a significant edge.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the Los Angeles Dodgers have claimed seven wins, while the San Diego Padres have come out on top three times. Six of those contests finished with eight runs or fewer. This season, the Dodgers lead the series 6-2.
Head-to-head statistics Dodgers - Padres

Los Angeles Dodgers Team Overview
The Dodgers are cruising through the season and have been particularly strong at home. Their 4-3 win on Friday showed that they can pull out victories even without piling up runs. The hosts boast a deep lineup, but much in this matchup will hinge on Yamamoto and the bullpen’s ability to protect a narrow lead once he exits.
Match Results: Los Angeles Dodgers

San Diego Padres Team Overview
The Padres are going through a tough stretch, having let two games slip away in different fashions to open the series. On Thursday, they squandered a 6-0 lead, and on Friday, they couldn’t hold on to a 3-0 advantage. San Diego have shown they can start games strong, but their bullpen and defense continue to struggle with consistency in the late innings. Canning needs to deliver his best outing yet to keep the visitors from having to lean on an already overworked pitching staff early on.
Match Results: San Diego Padres
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Griffin Canning takes the mound for San Diego, entering with a 1-5 record, a 7.09 ERA, and 46 strikeouts. It's been a tough campaign for him so far, and the Dodgers have already shown twice in this series that they know how to capitalize on a struggling pitcher. For Canning, keeping runners off base in the early innings is crucial, as Los Angeles are quick to punish any mistakes over the plate.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the start for the Los Angeles Dodgers, carrying an 8-5 record, a 2.67 ERA, and 90 strikeouts. The right-hander has delivered a strong season and looks capable of containing San Diego’s lineup without an early call to the bullpen. His main task will be to prevent the Padres from jumping out to an early lead, something they managed in the first two games of the series.
⭐ Editor’s Pick
Backing the under here calls for caution, with Canning carrying a 7.09 ERA and the Dodgers’ offense already racking up 16 runs over the first two games of the series. Still, Yamamoto gives the hosts a strong chance to keep San Diego in check after two emotionally draining defeats. In six of their last ten head-to-head meetings, these teams have combined for eight runs or fewer. The Padres are on a seven-game losing streak and managed just three runs in Game 2, despite jumping out to an early lead. The Dodgers can look to build around a quality start from Yamamoto and may not need to push the pace offensively for all nine innings. The key will be how Canning handles the opening frames-he must avoid giving up a big early lead to the home side. Our pick: Under 8.5 total runs.
