Yokohama Baystars vs Fukuoka Softbank Prediction 24 October 2026
📡 DeNA enter the final series riding a six-game playoff winning streak, including four victories over Central League champions Hanshin. Fukuoka have also looked strong, sweeping Nippon-Ham in the previous round with identical run totals in each game. The prediction for the opening matchup largely hinges on the duel between Yutaro Ishida and Naoyuki Uwasawa, both of whom finished the regular season with ERAs under 3.00.
Fukuoka have scored no more than four runs in nine of their last ten games against DeNA.
📊 The last ten head-to-head clashes saw both sides claim five wins each. DeNA have outscored Fukuoka 44 to 28, with an average of 7.2 runs per game. Notably, Fukuoka have been held to four runs or fewer in nine of those contests. In June 2026, the teams traded victories with scores of 8-3, 3-6, and 2-4. During the 2024 Japan Series, DeNA swept the final four games, conceding just three runs in total.
Head-to-head statistics Yokohama Baystars - Fukuoka Softbank

Six consecutive wins and just seven runs allowed highlight the strength of DeNA’s pitching staff.
DeNA wrapped up the regular season in third place with a 71-69-3 record, a team ERA of 3.27, and a .246 batting average. Over 143 games, they tallied 557 runs and hit 125 home runs. However, it’s their pitching that has become the driving force in the playoffs: six consecutive wins while conceding just seven runs. In the opening three games against Hanshin, DeNA posted three straight shutouts-2-0, 1-0, and 4-0-before clinching an 8-5 victory. Yugo Maki finished the season with 30 home runs and 75 RBIs, while Scott Reynolds secured three saves in the Climax Series final. With their pitching staff in top form, the hosts will look to keep even a high-powered offense in check.
Match Results: Yokohama Dena Baystars

Fukuoka have been putting up six runs per game in the Climax Series, but now they face the reliable Ishida.
Fukuoka topped the Pacific League with a 91-49-3 record, leading their division in offense with a .261 batting average, 707 runs scored, and 162 home runs. Their team ERA of 2.88 also ranked among the best in the league. In the Climax Series final, they swept Nippon-Ham, putting up six runs in each contest. The main power threats remain Rei Kurihara, who belted 40 home runs and drove in 118 runs, and Kensuke Kondo, who wrapped up the season hitting .309 with 32 homers and 108 RBI. However, Fukuoka’s bats have struggled for production against DeNA’s pitching staff in recent head-to-head matchups, performing well below their regular season averages.
Match Results: Fukuoka Softbank Hawks
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Yutaro Ishida, a right-hander for DeNA, enters with a 2.91 ERA across 20 games-all starts-posting a 5-8 record. Over 120.2 innings, he’s allowed 110 hits and 41 runs (39 earned), striking out 117 and issuing 29 walks for a 1.15 WHIP. Ishida has delivered 13 quality starts, including one complete game and one shutout. In his most recent outing on October 11 against Yomiuri, he went five innings, allowing five hits, one earned run, and recording two strikeouts. Ishida consistently keeps his ERA down, and conceding just seven home runs throughout the regular season highlights his ability to limit opponents’ power hitting.
Naoyuki Uwasawa, the righty for Fukuoka, boasts a 2.39 ERA over 22 games-all starts-with a 10-4 record. He’s logged 135.1 innings, surrendering 121 hits and 44 runs (36 earned), while tallying 129 strikeouts against 30 walks for a 1.12 WHIP. Uwasawa has notched 16 quality starts, though he has yet to record a complete game or shutout this season. He wrapped up the regular season with ten wins and one of the club’s best ERAs. His consistent outings give Fukuoka confidence in his ability to go deep into games and keep the bullpen fresh for the opening clash of the final series.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Fukuoka have showcased a more productive offense throughout the regular season and just put up six runs in three straight games against Nippon-Ham. However, the Japan Series opener presents a completely different matchup. Ishida finished the season with a 2.91 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP, and in his last outing, he held Yomiuri to just one run over five innings. Crucially, he allowed only seven home runs across 120.2 innings, which is significant given that Kurihara and Kondo’s power hitting is one of the visitors’ main weapons. Once Ishida exits, DeNA can turn to a bullpen that has delivered six consecutive playoff wins and managed to shut out Hanshin three times. The last ten head-to-head meetings also underline the hosts’ ability to contain Fukuoka’s offense: in nine of those games, the visitors failed to score more than four runs, averaging just 2.8 per contest. Uesawa, meanwhile, is capable of keeping DeNA’s bats in check, setting the stage for a tight opener where explosive offense is unlikely to dominate. Despite Fukuoka’s impressive season-long potential, the hosts’ pitching quality, their relievers’ current form, and the head-to-head history all suggest the visitors’ offense will be kept in check. The pick: Fukuoka team total under 4.5 runs.