Diamondbacks vs Cubs Prediction 25 August 2026
📡 After Sunday’s 19-2 rout, Chicago head to Phoenix boasting an offense that once again showcased its high ceiling. Arizona, meanwhile, remain firmly in the playoff hunt, giving this series genuine postseason implications. The starting pitching matchup only adds intrigue: both Kevin Gausman and Merrill Kelly have struggled through a tough August, each taking significant punishment in their recent outings.
Head-to-Head
📊 The Cubs have taken seven of their last ten meetings against Arizona. Back in May, these teams played a three-game set in Chicago, with the hosts sweeping the series-6-5, 2-0, and 8-4. Two of those contests went over the current 8.5-run line, and Arizona allowed the Cubs to rack up 16 runs across the series. Recent head-to-head history clearly favors Chicago.
Head-to-head statistics Diamondbacks - Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks Team Overview
The Diamondbacks head into the game with a 69-62 record, still firmly in the National League playoff race. Arizona remain productive at the plate-nearing 600 runs on the season-even if recent weeks have been a bit inconsistent. They face an added challenge with Ketel Marte sidelined due to knee inflammation, but even without one of their key players, the D-backs boast enough depth in their lineup to apply pressure against a pitcher who has failed to make it through five innings in each of his last two starts.
Match Results: Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs Team Overview
The Cubs are sitting at 75-56 and on Sunday delivered one of their most explosive offensive performances of the season-19 runs, 17 hits, and a pair of grand slams. That marked the 18th time this season Chicago have put up double-digit runs. While it’s unrealistic to expect another outburst like that, this lineup is more than capable of capitalizing on free passes and mistakes over the heart of the plate.
Match Results: Chicago Cubs
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Merrill Kelly takes the mound with an 8-11 record and a 5.37 ERA. August has been particularly rough for him: across four starts, he’s surrendered 18 earned runs over just 19.2 innings. His last two outings were especially challenging, giving up six runs each to Colorado and Boston. In those nine combined innings, opponents racked up 13 hits and drew seven walks.
Kevin Gausman enters at 6-11 with a 4.58 ERA. His last two appearances have also raised concerns-he allowed six runs in just 4.2 innings against Washington, then gave up three more over 4.1 innings facing the White Sox. For the month, Gausman has been tagged for 12 earned runs in 21.2 innings pitched. While Gausman is capable of bouncing back sharply from start to start, his current form gives Arizona legitimate opportunities to strike early in this matchup.
⭐ Editor's Pick
The starting pitchers set the tone for this prediction. Kelly has surrendered six runs in back-to-back outings, while Gausman has allowed nine runs over his last nine innings. Chicago just erupted for 19 runs and boasts enough firepower to keep the pressure on Kelly. Arizona, meanwhile, are more than capable of contributing to the scoreboard at home-especially if Gausman struggles to settle in after the first trip through the order. With these two on the mound, a line of 9 runs looks well within reach. We're backing the over 9 total runs.
No comments
Betting Tips: Arizona Diamondbacks - Chicago Cubs
in 6 of last 7 home games (MLB).in last 5 games (MLB).Other predictions
