Reds vs Cardinals Prediction 17 August 2026
🔊 St. Louis stay on the road after a successful run in Chicago and now kick off a five-game showdown with Cincinnati over the next four days. The Cardinals have won four of their last five and enter Monday with a 63-61 record. The Reds, meanwhile, sit at 59-64 after dropping their last two contests. The starting matchup between Andre Pallante and Rhett Lowder is a key talking point for any prediction, but the current form of both lineups will be just as crucial.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis hold the edge with six wins to four. This season, the Cardinals also lead the series 5-3. In their July matchups, both teams traded high-scoring games with tighter contests, so recent history doesn’t offer a clear prediction for the total runs. Still, both lineups have already shown they can quickly capitalize on mistakes from opposing starting pitchers.
Head-to-head statistics Reds - Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds Team Overview
The Reds have picked up four wins in their last ten games and have struggled to generate runs in their previous two outings. On average, Cincinnati score around 4.1 runs per game with a team batting average of .226. Still, the club remains a threat thanks to their power hitting-cranking out 161 home runs this season. Elly De La Cruz continues to anchor the offense with 26 homers and 91 RBIs, and at home, the Reds are always capable of turning the game around with a few big swings.
Match Results: Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals Team Overview
The Cardinals have won seven of their last ten games and have looked particularly sharp in their recent outings in Chicago. They opened the series with an 8-4 victory, then followed it up by scoring 11 runs-highlighted by Alec Burleson and Jordan Walker, who each delivered three hits and a home run. On average, St. Louis are putting up 4.4 runs per game with a .240 team batting average. Right now, the visitors’ offense is in fine form, consistently creating scoring opportunities even without relying heavily on the long ball.
Match Results: St. Louis Cardinals
Total Runs Prediction
Trends- The total has gone over 8.5 runs in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings at the hosts’ ballpark (MLB).
- The total has gone over 8.5 runs in 10 of Cincinnati Reds’ last 11 games (MLB).
- Cincinnati Reds have seen the total go over 8.5 runs in five straight games (MLB).
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Rhett Lowder enters this matchup with a 4-8 record, a 5.15 ERA, and a 1.48 WHIP. In his last outing, he allowed two runs on seven hits over 5.1 innings, but his season numbers remain underwhelming. That elevated WHIP signals frequent baserunners, which spells trouble against a St. Louis lineup that’s been heating up-especially in the early innings.
Andre Pallante boasts a 12-6 record, a 3.46 ERA, and a 1.22 WHIP. He tossed six scoreless innings in his most recent start and has looked sharp since the All-Star break. Back in July, Pallante also blanked Cincinnati over seven dominant innings. Still, the Reds have enough power to threaten with home runs, and after Pallante exits, much will depend on the bullpen’s ability to hold the line.
Editor's Pick
The Cardinals have looked sharp at the plate lately, racking up 19 runs over their last two games and now face a favorable matchup against a pitcher with an ERA north of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.48. While Pallante stands out as the stronger starter, the key factor here is Louder’s vulnerability and St. Louis’ hot bats. Cincinnati have the power to respond with runs of their own, especially once Pallante exits the game, as their lineup is capable of going deep at home. Both teams don’t need to be firing on all cylinders for all nine innings-if St. Louis can take advantage of Louder early and the Reds chip in with a few runs, that should be enough to clear the total line. Our pick: Over 8.5 runs for the game.
No comments
Betting Tips: Cincinnati Reds - St. Louis Cardinals
in 15 of last 17 Cincinnati Reds home games against St. Louis Cardinals (MLB).in last 5 Cincinnati Reds games against St. Louis Cardinals (MLB).in 6 of last 7 Cincinnati Reds home games against St. Louis Cardinals (MLB).in 6 of last 7 games (MLB).Other predictions
