Yokohama Baystars vs Tokyo Yakult Prediction 10 September 2026
📡 After falling 3-1 in the series opener, DeNA bounced back in emphatic fashion, thrashing Yakult 9-2 on September 9. The BayStars remain third in the standings with a 58-63-3 record, while the Swallows sit fourth at 54-68-2. Osuke Fukasawa and Kojiro Yoshimura are the scheduled starters, with the visiting right-hander’s numbers notably less impressive.
Head-to-Head
📊 DeNA have claimed victory in six of the last ten head-to-head matchups, outscoring Yakult 59 to 28. However, the hosts have scored under 4.5 runs in only four of those ten meetings. Recent trends are more telling: DeNA have finished below the 4.5-run mark in 12 of their last 13 home games and in eight of their previous nine outings overall.
Head-to-head statistics Yokohama Baystars - Tokyo Yakult

Yokohama Dena Baystars Team Overview
The Baystars sit third in the standings and bounced back with a strong emotional response after faltering in the series opener, racking up nine runs on September 9. However, such an outburst is atypical of their recent offensive form at home, where the team has struggled to string together high-scoring games. A key asset for DeNA is their ability to approach the next matchup with Fukasawa on the mound, allowing their offense to avoid playing catch-up against a large deficit.
Match Results: Yokohama Dena Baystars

Tokyo Yakult Swallows Team Overview
Yakult, following their 3-1 win, conceded nine runs and once again find themselves four and a half games behind DeNA. Yoshimura has had an inconsistent season, allowing 18 home runs so far, so much will hinge on whether he can avoid giving up big innings. That said, the Swallows have enough options in the bullpen to turn to short matchups after five or six innings.
Match Results: Tokyo Yakult Swallows
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Osuke Fukasawa, a right-hander, has made eight starts this season, posting a 4-1 record with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Over 42.2 innings, he has allowed 43 hits and 21 runs while striking out 30 batters. His resume includes two quality starts, a complete game, and a shutout.
Kojirou Yoshimura, also a righty, has started 18 games, going 4-10 with a 4.61 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. Across 105.1 innings, he has given up 97 hits, surrendered 56 runs, and tallied 79 strikeouts. Yoshimura has delivered nine quality starts and one complete game, but his 18 home runs allowed remain a significant concern.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
DeNA’s nine-run outburst yesterday might look intimidating for bettors, but the longer-term trend is far more reliable: the hosts have scored under 4.5 runs in 12 of their last 13 home games and in eight of their previous nine matchups overall. Yoshimura does allow some hard contact, but the line expects the BayStars to put up at least five runs right after an offensive explosion. We’re backing DeNA’s individual total under 4.5 runs.