Marlins vs Cubs Prediction 6 September 2026

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The main thing

    📡 Chicago have kicked off the series exactly as they needed in the playoff race, posting 6-1 and 6-5 victories to set up a potential sweep in Miami. The Cubs enter Sunday at 81-62, while the Marlins sit at 71-72. Chicago’s offense remains among the league’s most potent, and the starting pitching matchup gives the visitors an extra edge. Still, Miami can’t be written off after putting up five runs on Saturday.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The Cubs have come out on top in 7 of their last 10 meetings with Miami. This stretch includes dominant wins for Chicago, such as 14-1 and 14-2, as well as tighter contests decided by just one or two runs. The first two games of the current series have also gone the visitors’ way, with scores of 6-1 and 6-5.

    Head-to-head statistics Marlins - Cubs

    43%
    33 Wins
    54%
    41 Wins
    05.09.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    5
    6
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    04.09.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    1
    6
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    21.05.25
    MLB
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    20.05.25
    MLB
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    1
    14
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    8
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    5
    19.05.25
    MLB
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    8
    7
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    4
    0
    0
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Miami Marlins Team Overview

    The Marlins have dropped six of their last ten games, slipping below the .500 mark. Their 42-29 home record remains a bright spot, and on Saturday, Griffin Conine and Kyle Stowers powered the offense with home runs. However, Miami’s pitching struggled under Chicago’s pressure: the Cubs scored in four of the first six innings and consistently put runners on base.

    Match Results: Miami Marlins

    05.09.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    5
    6
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    L
    04.09.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    1
    6
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    L
    03.09.26
    major league baseball
    Kansas City Royals
    Kansas City Royals
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    7
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    L
    02.09.26
    major league baseball
    Kansas City Royals
    Kansas City Royals
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    6
    9
    5
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    W
    01.09.26
    major league baseball
    Kansas City Royals
    Kansas City Royals
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    3
    6
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Chicago Cubs Team Overview

    Chicago are averaging 5.35 runs per game. Michael Conforto's home run on Saturday marked the Cubs’ 200th of the season-a league-best tally at the time across all of MLB. The visitors also benefited from key contributions by Ian Happ and continue to manufacture runs beyond just the long ball. Their 40-31 record on the road underscores that their offensive firepower isn’t solely a product of Wrigley Field.

    Match Results: Chicago Cubs

    05.09.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    5
    6
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    W
    04.09.26
    major league baseball
    Miami Marlins
    Miami Marlins
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    1
    6
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    W
    03.09.26
    major league baseball
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee Brewers
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    W
    02.09.26
    major league baseball
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee Brewers
    5
    9
    2
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2
    L
    01.09.26
    major league baseball
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee Brewers
    4
    9
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    0
    1
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    ⚾ Starting Pitchers

    Tyler Phillips gets the nod for Miami, entering with a 4-6 record, a 3.43 ERA, and a 1.33 WHIP. He’s shown he can keep games under control, but his elevated WHIP could spell trouble against one of the league’s most explosive lineups, as it means runners are consistently reaching base.

    Clay Holmes will start for Chicago, boasting a 2.09 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. He’s been in outstanding form recently: over his last three outings, Holmes has logged more than 18 innings while allowing just a single earned run. In his two most recent starts, he didn’t surrender any earned runs at all.

    ⭐ Editor’s Prediction

    Chicago have already claimed the first two games of the series and head into the opening matchup with a clear edge. Holmes has been locking down opposing hitters, rarely allowing big innings, while the Cubs’ offense consistently applies pressure throughout the lineup. Miami remain a threat at home-as they showed with a five-run outburst on Saturday-but to secure a win, the Marlins will need to be highly efficient against one of the hottest pitchers in recent weeks. The visitors’ deeper, more powerful lineup also gives them an advantage once the starters exit. Our pick is a Chicago Cubs win.

    Chicago Cubs Win
    Bovada
    Place a bet-145
    Published: 06/09/2026, 06:06
    Evgeny Lisin
    Evgeny Lisin
    Baseball expert
    56
    1
    64
    121 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Miami Marlins - Chicago Cubs

    Miami Marlins have lost:
    miami-marlinschicago-cubsin last 4 home games against Chicago Cubs (MLB).
    Chicago Cubs Win
    Bovada
    -145
    Over 6.5 runs scored:
    miami-marlinschicago-cubsin 9 of last 10 Miami Marlins home games against Chicago Cubs (MLB).
    miami-marlinsin last 9 Miami Marlins games (MLB).
    chicago-cubsin 13 of last 14 Chicago Cubs away games (MLB).
    chicago-cubsin 8 of last 9 Chicago Cubs games (MLB).
    Total Over (6,5)
    -222
    Miami Marlins have scored under 5.5 runs:
    miami-marlinschicago-cubsin 7 of last 8 games against Chicago Cubs (MLB).
    miami-marlinsin 8 of last 9 home games (MLB).
    Miami Marlins Total Under (5,5)
    -400
    Chicago Cubs have scored over 3.5 runs:
    chicago-cubsin 8 of last 9 games (MLB).
    chicago-cubsin 7 of last 8 away games (MLB).
    Chicago Cubs Total Over (3,5)
    -182
    View more facts