Reds vs Brewers Prediction 5 September 2026

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The main thing

    📡 Milwaukee immediately highlighted the gap between the two teams in Game 1 of the series, coming out on top 10-7. The Brewers rallied during the game, putting up five runs in the fifth inning. For the division leaders, this is yet another testament to their roster depth: they find ways to win even when their starting pitching doesn't provide a smooth start.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Milwaukee maintain a steady edge in this matchup. In the summer series, the Brewers have consistently outplayed Cincinnati with wins of 6-5, 5-3, and 7-2, and have now added a 10-7 victory to their tally. In recent head-to-head clashes, the Reds have repeatedly come up short-either lacking pitching depth or missing that one big inning at the plate.

    Head-to-head statistics Reds - Brewers

    38%
    63 Wins
    62%
    101 Wins
    04.09.26
    major league baseball
    Cincinnati Reds
    Cincinnati Reds
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee Brewers
    7
    10
    1
    0
    2
    2
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    5
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    02.07.26
    MLB
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Cincinnati Reds
    Cincinnati Reds
    2
    7
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    02.07.26
    MLB
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Cincinnati Reds
    Cincinnati Reds
    4
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    30.06.26
    MLB
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Cincinnati Reds
    Cincinnati Reds
    7
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    29.06.26
    MLB
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Cincinnati Reds
    Cincinnati Reds
    5
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
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    Cincinnati Reds Team Overview

    Cincinnati managed to put up seven runs on Friday and still came up short. That’s a worrying sign for the team: even six runs in the first three innings weren’t enough, as their pitching staff completely lost control midway through the game. After a performance like that, some of the relievers also had to shoulder extra work out of the bullpen.

    Match Results: Cincinnati Reds

    04.09.26
    major league baseball
    Cincinnati Reds
    Cincinnati Reds
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee Brewers
    7
    10
    1
    0
    2
    2
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    5
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    L
    02.09.26
    major league baseball
    Cincinnati Reds
    Cincinnati Reds
    San Diego Padres
    San Diego Padres
    7
    3
    0
    2
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    W
    01.09.26
    major league baseball
    Cincinnati Reds
    Cincinnati Reds
    San Diego Padres
    San Diego Padres
    4
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    W
    31.08.26
    major league baseball
    Cincinnati Reds
    Cincinnati Reds
    San Diego Padres
    San Diego Padres
    0
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    L
    30.08.26
    major league baseball
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    Cincinnati Reds
    Cincinnati Reds
    5
    7
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Milwaukee Brewers Team Overview

    The Brewers arrived in Cincinnati boasting one of the league’s top records and lived up to their billing by putting up ten runs. Their lineup excels at extending innings through walks and hits, while the heart of the order provides enough power to flip the score in a hurry. Coming from behind for the win after an early deficit is a testament to the team’s current form.

    Match Results: Milwaukee Brewers

    04.09.26
    major league baseball
    Cincinnati Reds
    Cincinnati Reds
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee Brewers
    7
    10
    1
    0
    2
    2
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    5
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    W
    03.09.26
    major league baseball
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee Brewers
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    L
    02.09.26
    major league baseball
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee Brewers
    5
    9
    2
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2
    W
    01.09.26
    major league baseball
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee Brewers
    4
    9
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    0
    1
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    W
    31.08.26
    major league baseball
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee Brewers
    17
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    4
    2
    4
    1
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    ⚾ Starting Pitchers

    Andrew Abbott takes the mound for Cincinnati, carrying a 4.49 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. Over 148.1 innings, he has issued 70 walks, and against a disciplined Milwaukee lineup, those extra baserunners could quickly become a liability.

    Dustin May gets the start for Milwaukee. He owns a 4.38 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP, and his strikeout-to-walk ratio is noticeably stronger than Abbott’s. While the Brewers may not gain a significant edge in the early innings, May does provide a more stable platform as they transition into the middle frames.

    ⭐ Editor’s Prediction

    The opening game of the series highlighted Milwaukee’s biggest asset-their depth in attack. Cincinnati jumped out to a solid lead but still couldn’t close it out. Abbott issues too many free passes against an opponent that knows how to capitalize on extended innings. Meanwhile, May is capable of giving the visitors enough time for their offense to do damage once again. We’re backing a Milwaukee Brewers win.

    Milwaukee Brewers Win
    Bovada
    Place a bet-161
    Published: 05/09/2026, 07:04
    Evgeny Lisin
    Evgeny Lisin
    Baseball expert
    48
    1
    57
    106 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Cincinnati Reds - Milwaukee Brewers

    Cincinnati Reds have lost:
    cincinnati-redsmilwaukee-brewersin 8 of last 9 games against Milwaukee Brewers (MLB).
    cincinnati-redsmilwaukee-brewersin 7 of last 8 home games against Milwaukee Brewers (MLB).
    Milwaukee Brewers Win
    Bovada
    -161
    Cincinnati Reds have scored under 5.5 runs:
    cincinnati-redsmilwaukee-brewersin 14 of last 16 home games against Milwaukee Brewers (MLB).
    Cincinnati Reds Total Under (5,5)
    -294
    Cincinnati Reds have scored over 3.5 runs:
    cincinnati-redsin 7 of last 8 games (MLB).
    Cincinnati Reds Total Over (3,5)
    -135
    Over 7.5 runs scored:
    milwaukee-brewersin 6 of last 7 Milwaukee Brewers games (MLB).
    Total Over (7,5)
    -213
    View more facts