Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction 5 July 2026
📡 St. Louis have taken the first two games of the series with commanding scores of 17-1 and 3-0. The Cubs, after winning eight of their last ten games, have now suffered back-to-back shutout losses and need to regroup for a more disciplined performance to close out the series. Chicago hold a record of 49 wins and 40 losses, including 26 victories at home. The Cardinals are at 47-39 and have shown significant improvement in recent days.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the last 10 head-to-head matchups, both teams have secured five victories each. St. Louis have won the first two games of the current series, amassing 20 runs without conceding any since the opening game. Chicago need to change the dynamics early in the innings, as the previous games have been dominated by the visitors.
Head-to-head statistics Cubs - Cardinals

Chicago Cubs Team Overview
The Cubs failed to score any runs in Saturday's game and managed just five hits. Before this series, the team had been performing confidently at home, consistently applying pressure throughout the batting order. It's crucial for Chicago to regain their discipline at the plate and prevent the Cardinals' starting pitcher from quickly finding his rhythm.
Match Results: Chicago Cubs

St. Louis Cardinals Team Overview
The Cardinals are on a strong run, and on Saturday, they received five scoreless innings from Kyle Leahy. While the visiting offense doesn't need to replicate their 17-run outburst, they've capitalized well with runners in scoring position over the two games of the series. St. Louis will aim to apply early pressure once more, forcing the Cubs to dip into their bullpen earlier than planned.
Match Results: St. Louis Cardinals
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Matthew Liberatore takes the mound for the St. Louis Cardinals, boasting a 4-5 record, a 5.33 ERA, and 79 strikeouts. The left-hander has allowed numerous runs throughout the season and faces a challenging matchup after his team secured two consecutive shutout victories. The Cubs will aim to put pressure on him from their first at-bats.
Javier Assad will start for the Chicago Cubs with a 6-1 record, a 4.53 ERA, and 31 strikeouts. The right-hander has rarely faced defeat this season, although his ERA suggests he's not infallible. It's crucial for Assad to limit the Cardinals' early opportunities and steer the game towards a calm scenario for the home side.
⭐ Editor's Pick
The Cardinals have dominated the first two games of the series and naturally head into this matchup with high confidence. Chicago, however, gets a chance to respond on home turf, where they have secured 26 wins this season. Liberatore's ERA of 5.33 provides the Cubs with a clearer opportunity for productive innings compared to the previous two games. Assad is expected to stabilize the hosts' performance on the mound and prevent St. Louis from building another early lead. The even balance in their last 10 head-to-head meetings also suggests that the series shouldn't be judged solely by the last two outcomes. Chicago needs to regain control from the first innings and capitalize on their home support. Editor's pick: Chicago Cubs win.
