Giants vs Mets Prediction 5 April 2026
📡 The series in San Francisco took a sharp turn. After the hosts secured a win (7-2), the Mets responded with two consecutive blowouts-(10-3) and (9-0), positioning New York as the team that has fully seized the momentum heading into Sunday. Logan Webb and Kodai Senga are set to take the mound, hinting at a more restrained scenario following two high-scoring games.
Head-to-Head
📊 In their last ten head-to-head matchups, the Mets hold a significant advantage with 7 wins and 3 losses. Even more crucial is another trend: this pairing frequently results in high-scoring games, as the over has hit in six out of ten encounters, with one game pushing. The current series continues to align with this pattern.
Head-to-head statistics Giants - Mets

San Francisco Giants Team Overview
The Giants' situation is becoming alarming, particularly due to the quality of their last two games. On Friday, the team suffered a 3-10 defeat, and on Saturday, they failed to score a single run, losing 0-9. Reuters highlighted that the hosts once again struggled with both defense and late innings, while the starting pitcher in the last game received almost no support. Notably, San Francisco has only secured 1 win in 6 home games, and against this backdrop, even the home series status ceases to be a real advantage.
Match Results: San Francisco Giants

New York Mets Team Overview
The Mets, on the other hand, have come alive after a rocky start to the series. On Friday, they scored 10 runs, and on Saturday, they piled on another nine without conceding any. Reuters highlighted Clay Holmes for his standout performance, pitching seven scoreless innings. Offensively, the Mets found contributions from various players, including Tyrone Taylor and Mark Vientos. While there's still uncertainty regarding Juan Soto's calf injury, New York no longer appears to be a team reliant solely on one star.
Match Results: New York Mets
⚾️ Starting Pitchers
San Francisco sends Logan Webb to the mound. According to the official MLB listing, he stands at 1-1, with a 7.36 ERA and 12 strikeouts. Those are heavy numbers for a pitcher of his caliber, which makes Sunday's game particularly crucial. The hosts need the Logan Webb who can settle the game from the first innings and prevent the Mets from seizing momentum by the middle of the matchup.
For New York, Kodai Senga takes the start. The official MLB listing shows him at 0-1, with a 3.00 ERA and 9 strikeouts. Given how the Mets have been entering games lately, Kodai Senga doesn't need to dominate at all costs-just provide a solid start and keep the hosts within one or two runs. This is a very advantageous position for the visiting team.
Editorial Prediction
In our view, this is no longer a match where you should automatically expect a turnaround in favor of the home team just because the series has reached the third or fourth game. The Mets currently look more lively: their offense has come alive, and the series has finally shifted through confident innings, while their opponent is under significant pressure following two tough consecutive losses. The starting duel suggests a more controlled scoreline than previous results (10-3) and (9-0). Therefore, we anticipate a tighter contest where the value of a successful stretch is higher. Even in this scenario, the visitors hold a slight edge: New York have taken control of the series too confidently to suddenly relinquish the initiative now. A solid choice would be a Mets victory.