Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction 3 September 2026

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    📡 Boston head to Baltimore after a rough home series against Seattle, having dropped their last two games and allowed 17 runs in the process. The Orioles are also returning home following a defeat-the final game of their series in Denver slipped away to Colorado in extra innings. This road trip is crucial for the Red Sox’s postseason ambitions: at 75-65, they’re clinging to a wild card spot, but there’s no margin for a prolonged slump. With Jake Bennett set to start, Boston have a solid opportunity to steady the ship and regain control.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Boston have taken six of the last ten head-to-head matchups. This season, the Red Sox lead the series 5-4, including two road wins at Baltimore. The last ten games between these clubs have split evenly on the totals-five going over, five under-so there’s no clear trend in that department. What stands out more is Boston’s knack for getting to the Orioles’ pitching staff after the first time through the order in several recent meetings.

    Head-to-head statistics Orioles - Red Sox

    42%
    75 Wins
    58%
    105 Wins
    22.07.26
    major league baseball
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    Baltimore Orioles
    Baltimore Orioles
    1
    5
    0
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    22.07.26
    major league baseball
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    Baltimore Orioles
    Baltimore Orioles
    6
    3
    4
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    20.07.26
    major league baseball
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    Baltimore Orioles
    Baltimore Orioles
    6
    5
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    04.06.26
    MLB
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    Baltimore Orioles
    Baltimore Orioles
    2
    8
    0
    6
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    03.06.26
    MLB
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    Baltimore Orioles
    Baltimore Orioles
    8
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Baltimore Orioles Team Overview

    Baltimore are 69-71 on the season, though they’ve enjoyed one of their strongest stretches of the second half in recent weeks. The Orioles have taken seven of their last ten, shored up their pitching, and seen solid contributions from Pete Alonso and their young core. At home, they’re hovering around the .500 mark. The tail end of their series in Colorado put a heavy workload on the bullpen, and now they face a Boston lineup that manages to generate plenty of baserunners even during this current slump.

    Match Results: Baltimore Orioles

    02.09.26
    major league baseball
    Colorado Rockies
    Colorado Rockies
    Baltimore Orioles
    Baltimore Orioles
    6
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    3
    2
    L
    02.09.26
    major league baseball
    Colorado Rockies
    Colorado Rockies
    Baltimore Orioles
    Baltimore Orioles
    4
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    L
    01.09.26
    major league baseball
    Colorado Rockies
    Colorado Rockies
    Baltimore Orioles
    Baltimore Orioles
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    W
    30.08.26
    major league baseball
    Oakland Athletics
    Oakland Athletics
    Baltimore Orioles
    Baltimore Orioles
    5
    8
    2
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    W
    30.08.26
    major league baseball
    Oakland Athletics
    Oakland Athletics
    Baltimore Orioles
    Baltimore Orioles
    3
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Boston Red Sox Team Overview

    The Red Sox have dropped six of their last eight games, which is a major reason for concern. Still, their overall season remains solid: they’ve picked up 40 road wins and are averaging around 4.5 runs per game. On Wednesday, Boston racked up 12 hits against Seattle but struggled to capitalize with runners in scoring position. The quality of their contact hasn’t gone anywhere-the key now is turning those opportunities into runs.

    Match Results: Boston Red Sox

    02.09.26
    major league baseball
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle Mariners
    3
    8
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    L
    01.09.26
    major league baseball
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle Mariners
    6
    9
    1
    1
    0
    5
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    L
    31.08.26
    major league baseball
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle Mariners
    9
    8
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    0
    4
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    W
    30.08.26
    major league baseball
    New York Yankees
    New York Yankees
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    16
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    5
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    9
    1
    L
    29.08.26
    major league baseball
    New York Yankees
    New York Yankees
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    9
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    5
    1
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    ⚾ Starting Pitchers

    Brandon Young takes the mound for Baltimore with a 9-3 record and a 3.39 ERA. Over his last five starts, he’s posted a 3.67 ERA. He was especially sharp in his previous outing against the Athletics, tossing seven innings, allowing just five hits and a single earned run. Young already faced Boston back in April, giving up three runs across 5.2 innings.

    Jake Bennett enters with a 9-6 record, a 3.27 ERA, and a WHIP around 1.04. Just five days ago, he delivered six scoreless innings against the Yankees, surrendering only three hits and racking up seven strikeouts without issuing a single walk. Bennett has already matched up with Baltimore this July, conceding three runs over 5.2 innings as Boston secured a 6-3 victory.


    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Baltimore are on a hot streak right now and will have their ace on the mound, so Boston shouldn’t expect an easy night. Still, the visitors get the nod here thanks to Bennett and their strong record on the road. Bennett’s last outing was one of his best this season, and his command gives the Red Sox a solid chance to keep things under control through the first five or six innings. Boston have taken six of the last ten head-to-head meetings and already faced Young back in April. After back-to-back home defeats, it’s time for the lineup to make their chances count. We’re backing a Boston Red Sox win.

    Boston Red Sox Win
    Published: 03/09/2026, 05:12
    Evgeny Lisin
    Evgeny Lisin
    Baseball expert
    25
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    30
    55 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Baltimore Orioles - Boston Red Sox

    Baltimore Orioles have scored under 3.5 runs:
    baltimore-oriolesin 6 of last 7 home games (MLB).
    Baltimore Orioles Total Under (3,5)
    +100
    Over 9.5 runs scored:
    boston-red-soxin last 5 Boston Red Sox games (MLB).
    Total Over (9,5)
    +150
    Under 8.5 runs scored:
    baltimore-oriolesin last 11 Baltimore Orioles home games (MLB).
    Total Under (8,5)
    -125
    Baltimore Orioles won with a +2.5 handicap:
    baltimore-oriolesin 20 of last 21 games (MLB).
    Baltimore Orioles Handicap (+2,5)
    -250