Hiroshima vs Chunichi Prediction 2 August 2026
📡 After Hiroshima’s 3-1 win, Chunichi responded with a commanding 7-1 victory to level the series. The visitors took control of Saturday’s game early, while Kyle Muller limited the opposition to just one run. On Sunday, Chunichi turn to Yuya Yanagi, who enters with a 2.55 ERA, while Makoto Aduwa gets the start for the hosts. Despite these teams’ head-to-head history of high-scoring games, the prediction here is for a total under 7.5 runs.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last 10 head-to-head clashes have been perfectly balanced, with each team claiming five wins apiece. Chunichi have racked up 46 runs compared to Hiroshima's 30. Seven out of those ten games have seen at least eight runs scored, so the selected option goes against the overall trend in their recent meetings. However, it's worth noting that two of the last three encounters produced just four and six runs, with Chunichi's big wins (10-1, 8-1, and 7-1) largely inflating the overall scoring numbers.
Head-to-head statistics Hiroshima - Chunichi
Hiroshima Toyo Carp Team Overview
Hiroshima currently sit fifth in the standings with a 36-51-4 record. After back-to-back wins, they once again struggled offensively, managing just five hits. Aduwa has only started two games so far but has done well to limit hard contact, allowing four runs over ten innings. With temperatures in Hiroshima expected to reach up to 38°C, early fatigue for the starting pitchers could be the main threat to a low-scoring game.
Match Results: Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Chunichi Dragons Team Overview
Chunichi have improved their record to 39-56-1, narrowing the gap to Hiroshima. On Saturday, they racked up twelve hits en route to a convincing win, though their offense still struggles with consistency overall. Yanagi typically pitches five to seven innings and owns a 2.55 ERA against Hiroshima. With the right-hander's steady presence on the mound, the visitors may not need to replicate a seven-run performance to stay competitive.
Match Results: Chunichi Dragons
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Makoto Aduwa gets the nod for Hiroshima. The right-hander has made two appearances this season, posting a 0-1 record with a 3.60 ERA. His line reads 10 innings pitched, 10 hits allowed, 11 strikeouts, and 4 runs conceded. In his most recent outing, Aduwa limited Yakult to just one run over five innings. He has yet to face Chunichi this year.
Yuya Yanagi takes the mound for Chunichi. The righty has started 17 games, holding a 4-3 record and a 2.55 ERA. Over 106 innings, he’s allowed 98 hits, struck out 90 batters, and given up 31 runs. Against Hiroshima, Yanagi has matched his season ERA of 2.55 across three head-to-head meetings, going 1-1. He’s shown the ability to keep games tight deep into the later innings.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
The last 10 head-to-head meetings have often gone over this line, making the H2H stats the main risk factor here. However, those high-scoring games were mostly due to a handful of poor outings from Hiroshima’s pitchers. Yanagi is having a solid season and has already delivered three strong performances against this lineup. Aduwa, though with a limited sample size, has allowed just four runs and struck out eleven batters in two appearances. After suffering a 1-7 defeat, the hosts are likely to approach the start of this game with more caution, avoiding an open slugfest. It would take at least eight runs for this pick to lose, while a 4-3 type scoreline still keeps us under the mark. Despite the hot weather and the over-friendly H2H trend, we’re backing the under 7.5 total runs.
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Betting Tips: Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Chunichi Dragons
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