Italy vs Greece Prediction

    Italy
    Italy
    Greece
    Greece
    5
    12
    1
    1
    2
    1
    4
    3
    3
    2

    Italy and Greece are not just competing for the bronze medal-they enter this match with a lingering sense of unfinished business following their semifinal defeats. The Greeks surprised many by confidently defeating the Italians in the group stage (15-13), proving they are ready to contend for medals against Europe's top teams, but they fell short against a formidable opponent in the semifinals. Italy, on the other hand, failed to live up to their favorite status, having to go through an extra round and losing in the playoffs, ultimately finding themselves in a match they would rather have avoided.

    Head-to-Head

    The recent head-to-head encounters between Italy and Greece suggest that these teams often deliver thrilling and challenging matches. According to H2H statistics, the Italians have historically claimed more victories, but the Greeks pulled off one of the major upsets of the group stage by defeating Italy 15-13 in a recent game in the same tournament.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    50%
    10 Wins
    10%
    2 Draws
    40%
    8 Wins
    09.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Italy
    Italy
    Greece
    Greece
    16
    14
    6
    4
    3
    6
    2
    2
    5
    2
    25.01.26
    European Championship
    Italy
    Italy
    Greece
    Greece
    5
    12
    1
    4
    1
    3
    2
    3
    1
    2
    19.01.26
    European Championship
    Greece
    Greece
    Italy
    Italy
    15
    13
    2
    1
    4
    3
    4
    3
    5
    6
    20.07.25
    World Championship
    Italy
    Italy
    Greece
    Greece
    11
    17
    1
    6
    1
    3
    4
    4
    5
    4
    05.08.24
    Olympic Games
    Greece
    Greece
    Italy
    Italy
    9
    8
    2
    2
    4
    3
    0
    1
    3
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Italy Team Overview

    Italy are a national team rich in tradition, often regarded as tournament favorites. Recently, they have demonstrated their fighting spirit in many matches, though they don't consistently maintain a high level of play for the full 32 minutes. Offensively, the Italians boast skilled players capable of scoring even against tight defenses. However, their execution in crucial moments and defensive block sometimes falter. This has been particularly evident in matches against teams that apply high pressing.

    Match Results: Italy

    12.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Hungary
    Hungary
    Italy
    Italy
    9
    12
    1
    1
    4
    4
    3
    5
    1
    2
    W
    11.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Italy
    Italy
    Spain
    Spain
    12
    16
    2
    6
    5
    3
    2
    1
    3
    6
    L
    09.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Italy
    Italy
    Greece
    Greece
    16
    14
    6
    4
    3
    6
    2
    2
    5
    2
    W
    08.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Italy
    Italy
    Croatia
    Croatia
    13
    11
    2
    1
    5
    6
    4
    2
    2
    2
    W
    07.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    USA
    USA
    Italy
    Italy
    8
    15
    3
    4
    0
    3
    4
    5
    1
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Greece Team Overview

    Greece arrived at the championship with a firm goal of claiming medals, and their performance has backed up that ambition: confident, dynamic, with rapid decision-making. The Greeks navigated past Italy in the group stage, showcasing assurance in all phases-from positional play to quick transitions and capitalizing on man advantages. In the semifinals, they matched their opponents but fell short of achieving the optimal result in the closing moments.

    Match Results: Greece

    12.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Spain
    Spain
    Greece
    Greece
    13
    15
    3
    1
    2
    4
    2
    3
    4
    3
    2
    4
    W
    11.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Hungary
    Hungary
    Greece
    Greece
    10
    16
    0
    4
    3
    5
    4
    2
    3
    5
    W
    09.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Italy
    Italy
    Greece
    Greece
    16
    14
    6
    4
    3
    6
    2
    2
    5
    2
    L
    08.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Netherlands
    Netherlands
    Greece
    Greece
    11
    14
    3
    4
    4
    4
    2
    2
    2
    4
    W
    07.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Greece
    Greece
    Serbia
    Serbia
    16
    15
    3
    4
    4
    7
    6
    3
    3
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    In the third-place match, Italy will aim to bounce back from their group stage and semifinal defeats. Naturally, the Italians have the experience of fighting in tough matches and can adapt to specific opponents during the game. However, judging by their actual performances in this tournament, their mindset, and how Greece controlled the head-to-head encounter against Italy, the Greek team appears slightly more favorable in key aspects of play. Therefore, we suggest opting for a Greece win with a -2.5 handicap.

    Our choice
    Greece Handicap (-2.5) at odds of -118*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (23 January 2026, 23:25)

    Italy - Greece Table position

    European Championship 2026, Group B
    gWLGDPForm
    1.
    Greece
    Greece
    33054-249
    2.
    Croatia
    Croatia
    32148-226
    3.
    Georgia
    Georgia
    31235-493
    4.
    Slovenia
    Slovenia
    30323-650