- vs Italy Prediction

    Serbia
    Serbia
    Italy
    Italy
    17
    13
    5
    4
    6
    2
    3
    4
    3
    3

    When the tournament hosts face off against one of Europe's most seasoned national teams, it's more than just a match-it's pure tension from the first whistle to the last. Serbia, hosting the championship on home soil, are eager to prove they have both a storied past and a promising present. Italy, on the other hand, have navigated a grueling path; after a group stage defeat to Greece, they nearly faced elimination but ultimately secured a spot among the championship's top four. Expectations are sky-high for both sides, and this match offers their leaders a chance to live up to them.

    Head-to-Head

    In official matches, Serbia have triumphed more often than Italy - out of 13 encounters, the Serbians have secured 10 victories, while the Italians have managed just 3. Moreover, in European championships, Serbia have also claimed wins over Italy, which are far from being rare occurrences.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    78%
    14 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    22%
    4 Wins
    23.01.26
    European Championship
    Serbia
    Serbia
    Italy
    Italy
    17
    13
    5
    3
    4
    4
    6
    3
    2
    3
    14.07.25
    World Championship
    Italy
    Italy
    Serbia
    Serbia
    17
    16
    3
    2
    3
    3
    4
    4
    3
    4
    4
    3
    25.07.23
    World Championship
    Italy
    Italy
    Serbia
    Serbia
    14
    15
    3
    3
    2
    2
    4
    4
    2
    2
    3
    4
    30.04.22
    World League
    Italy
    Italy
    Serbia
    Serbia
    9
    12
    2
    3
    2
    3
    2
    3
    3
    3
    18.01.22
    World League
    Serbia
    Serbia
    Italy
    Italy
    12
    9
    3
    1
    3
    3
    3
    2
    3
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Serbia Team Overview

    Serbia always bring a powerful, physical game with strong defensive discipline. As the host nation, they enjoy the support of the home crowd, which typically works in their favor, though the pressure can also have an impact. In this championship, the Serbians have not shown the consistency that was expected of them: there have been big wins, defeats, and hard-fought matches, but no clear dominance. Nevertheless, when Serbia play their best water polo, they are solid in a 6-on-6 setup, excel at reading the game defensively, and launch into counterattacks with precision.

    Match Results: Serbia

    12.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Serbia
    Serbia
    Croatia
    Croatia
    6
    11
    1
    5
    1
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    L
    11.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Serbia
    Serbia
    Netherlands
    Netherlands
    16
    12
    3
    2
    4
    4
    6
    1
    3
    5
    W
    09.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Serbia
    Serbia
    USA
    USA
    12
    14
    3
    1
    1
    5
    4
    4
    4
    4
    L
    08.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Serbia
    Serbia
    Hungary
    Hungary
    10
    12
    2
    3
    2
    3
    3
    5
    3
    1
    L
    07.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Greece
    Greece
    Serbia
    Serbia
    16
    15
    3
    4
    4
    7
    6
    3
    3
    1
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Italy Team Overview

    Italy faced a significant challenge on their way to the semifinals: after a group stage loss to Greece, they were fighting for survival in the tournament. However, they triumphed over Croatia in a decisive match, securing their spot among the top four. In that encounter, the Italians demonstrated their resilience, with the goalkeeper making crucial saves and the attack capitalizing on opportunities-traits that typically make Italy a formidable force in major tournaments. While their current form is far from perfect, they are gaining momentum as the tournament progresses.

    Match Results: Italy

    12.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Hungary
    Hungary
    Italy
    Italy
    9
    12
    1
    1
    4
    4
    3
    5
    1
    2
    W
    11.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Italy
    Italy
    Spain
    Spain
    12
    16
    2
    6
    5
    3
    2
    1
    3
    6
    L
    09.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Italy
    Italy
    Greece
    Greece
    16
    14
    6
    4
    3
    6
    2
    2
    5
    2
    W
    08.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    Italy
    Italy
    Croatia
    Croatia
    13
    11
    2
    1
    5
    6
    4
    2
    2
    2
    W
    07.04.26
    FINA World Cup
    USA
    USA
    Italy
    Italy
    8
    15
    3
    4
    0
    3
    4
    5
    1
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    In the playoff semifinals, Serbia and Italy clash in a scenario where nothing is predetermined, and much hinges on mental resilience and execution in crucial moments. The head-to-head stats slightly favor Serbia, which is significant: in high-stakes games like these, experience and the ability to navigate tough situations often determine the outcome. However, despite playing on home turf, Serbia haven't been overwhelmingly convincing in this tournament-there have been strong performances, but not the consistency expected of them. In contrast, Italy are steadily building momentum, improving where it matters most-towards the end of matches and in critical plays. We believe in an underdog fight and will back Italy to win with a +2.5 handicap in this encounter.

    Our choice
    Italy Handicap (+2.5) at odds of -132*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (22 January 2026, 13:14)

    - - Italy Table position

    European Championship 2026, Group C
    gWLGDPForm
    1.
    Serbia
    Serbia
    32049-368
    2.
    Spain
    Spain
    32153-226
    3.
    Netherlands
    Netherlands
    31142-434
    4.
    Israel
    Israel
    30323-660