Greece (W) vs Italy Prediction

    Greece (W)
    Greece (W)
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    15
    8
    5
    5
    5
    0
    1
    3
    2
    2

    Both teams have experienced their share of drama. Greece (W) played a thrilling semifinal against Hungary (W), only to fall short in a penalty shootout, which is always a tough pill to swallow. Italy (W) also couldn't prevail in their semifinal against the Netherlands (W), despite putting up a fierce fight until the end. Now, the teams are set to clash for the bronze medal.

    Head-to-Head

    Looking at the head-to-head encounters this year, the teams already clashed during the group stage of the same tournament on January 31. Greece (W) confidently defeated Italy with a score of 15-10. Back in 2025, at the World Championship, the Greeks were also dominant, winning 17-11. Italy (W) last caused a significant upset for Greece (W) at the 2024 Olympics with a 12-8 victory, but since then, the balance of power has clearly shifted in favor of the Hellenes.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    67%
    12 Wins
    6%
    1 Draw
    28%
    5 Wins
    01.05.26
    FINA World Cup, Women
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    Greece (W)
    Greece (W)
    11
    15
    3
    4
    1
    3
    2
    3
    5
    5
    05.02.26
    European Championship, Women
    Greece (W)
    Greece (W)
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    15
    8
    5
    1
    5
    3
    5
    2
    0
    2
    31.01.26
    European Championship, Women
    Greece (W)
    Greece (W)
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    15
    10
    6
    1
    1
    2
    5
    4
    3
    3
    18.04.25
    FINA World Cup, Women
    Greece (W)
    Greece (W)
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    19
    14
    4
    3
    8
    6
    4
    4
    3
    1
    02.08.24
    Olympic Games Women
    Greece (W)
    Greece (W)
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    8
    12
    3
    4
    0
    2
    2
    2
    3
    4
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Greece (W) Team Overview

    The Greece Women's National Team is rightfully regarded as one of the best in the world, and their performance against Hungary only reinforced that. Under the guidance of Harry Pavlidis, the team plays a powerful and fast-paced water polo. The Plevritou sisters and Maria Myriokefalitaki are in phenomenal form, effectively breaking through any defense. The Greek side excels in transitioning from defense to attack, and their zone defense forces opponents into taking unprepared shots. Greece's main advantage in this tournament is their squad depth and physical fitness. They maintain their intensity through the fourth period, which is crucial in such matches. The only concern is the potential emotional drain following a tough semifinal loss, but these players typically fight tooth and nail for the bronze.

    Match Results: Greece (W)

    06.05.26
    FINA World Cup, Women
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    Greece (W)
    Greece (W)
    16
    22
    5
    3
    2
    8
    4
    5
    5
    6
    W
    05.05.26
    FINA World Cup, Women
    Australia (W)
    Australia (W)
    Greece (W)
    Greece (W)
    17
    6
    8
    1
    4
    3
    2
    2
    3
    0
    L
    04.05.26
    FINA World Cup, Women
    Hungary (W)
    Hungary (W)
    Greece (W)
    Greece (W)
    9
    14
    2
    1
    2
    3
    3
    4
    2
    6
    W
    03.05.26
    FINA World Cup, Women
    Greece (W)
    Greece (W)
    Australia (W)
    Australia (W)
    10
    13
    4
    4
    2
    3
    3
    4
    1
    2
    L
    02.05.26
    FINA World Cup, Women
    Greece (W)
    Greece (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    8
    12
    1
    3
    3
    4
    1
    4
    3
    1
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Italy (W) Team Overview

    Italy (W) are not having the best of times right now. Yes, they are among the top four, but Carlo Silipo's squad is raising some concerns. In their match against the Netherlands (W), the Italian side appeared sluggish and lacked creativity in attack. Roberta Bianconi and Sofia Giustini are doing their best to carry the team, but when the leaders struggle with their shots, the entire structure starts to crumble. Italy's main issue at the Euro 2026 is their dismal power play conversion. If they don't improve in this area, they will find it tough to break through Greece's defense. Additionally, Italy’s goalkeepers are not stepping up in critical situations, conceding too many avoidable long-range goals. The team seems slightly less balanced than their opponents for tomorrow's match.

    Match Results: Italy (W)

    06.05.26
    FINA World Cup, Women
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    3
    13
    0
    3
    2
    3
    0
    4
    1
    3
    L
    05.05.26
    FINA World Cup, Women
    Netherlands (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    12
    2
    3
    0
    2
    1
    2
    0
    5
    1
    L
    04.05.26
    FINA World Cup, Women
    Spain (W)
    Spain (W)
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    14
    12
    3
    3
    3
    3
    5
    3
    3
    3
    L
    03.05.26
    FINA World Cup, Women
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    12
    10
    3
    3
    2
    2
    1
    3
    6
    2
    W
    02.05.26
    FINA World Cup, Women
    Australia (W)
    Australia (W)
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    14
    15
    3
    1
    4
    1
    2
    5
    1
    3
    4
    5
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Greece (W) are considered the favorites, and rightfully so. After defeating Italy 15-10 in the group stage, Pavlidis' squad holds a clear psychological edge. Italy (W) currently lacks the power in the post and the speed on the perimeter to consistently challenge this Greek side. We anticipate a tight start to the match, but expect Greece to pull away in the second half thanks to their deeper bench and superior fitness. Therefore, we suggest betting on a Greece (W) victory with a -3.5 goal handicap.

    Our choice
    Greece (W) Handicap (-3.5) at odds of -139*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (4 February 2026, 10:19)

    Greece (W) - Italy Table position

    European Championship, Women 2026, Group A
    gWLGDPForm
    1.
    Greece (W)
    Greece (W)
    33073-179
    2.
    France (W)
    France (W)
    32139-476
    3.
    Germany (W)
    Germany (W)
    31238-503
    4.
    Slovakia (W)
    Slovakia (W)
    30331-670