Surface:
Red clay
Round:
Quarterfinal
Vilius Gaubas
LTU
ATP - 128
2
:
0
Ended
Thiago Monteiro
BRA
ATP - 303

Gaubas vs Monteiro Prediction 31 July 2026

Details
The main thing
    LTU
    Vilius Gaubas
    BRA
    Thiago Monteiro
    79
    77
    2
    67
    65
    0

    🔊 Vilius Gaubas and Thiago Monteiro meet in the quarterfinals of the San Marino Challenger on clay. These two know each other well from previous meetings. Current form and stats on both sides point to an interesting match - no clear edge either way.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 They've met twice, and Tiago Monteiro won both times. That's not a decisive factor, but it adds some confidence in his ability to handle these matches consistently.

    Head-to-head statistics Gaubas - Monteiro

    33%
    1 Win
    67%
    2 Wins
    31.07.26
    ATP Challenger San Marino, San Marino
    Vilius Gaubas
    Vilius Gaubas
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    2
    0
    7
    6
    7
    6
    14.07.25
    Sweden Bastad
    Vilius Gaubas
    Vilius Gaubas
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    1
    2
    6
    1
    2
    6
    3
    6
    17.09.24
    Challenger Bad Waltersdorf
    Vilius Gaubas
    Vilius Gaubas
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    0
    2
    5
    7
    3
    6
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    Vilius Gaubas Player Overview

    Gauban has been inconsistent - 6 wins and 4 losses in his last 10 matches. At this tournament he beat Luca Pavlovic and Genaro Alberto Olivieri, but lost to Pablo Carreño Busta before that. He holds serve in around 79% of service games - solid enough. But his set win rate is below 50% over recent matches, and he converts just 32% of break points. There's also a pattern worth noting: he tends to drop the second set.

    Match Results: Vilius Gaubas

    27.08.26
    USO
    Vilius Gaubas
    Vilius Gaubas
    Harry Wendelken
    Harry Wendelken
    1
    2
    77
    63
    65
    77
    65
    710
    L
    26.08.26
    USO
    Vilius Gaubas
    Vilius Gaubas
    Marco Cecchinato
    Marco Cecchinato
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    W
    24.08.26
    USO
    Vilius Gaubas
    Vilius Gaubas
    Kilian Feldbausch
    Kilian Feldbausch
    2
    0
    6
    3
    77
    61
    W
    04.08.26
    Challenger Hagen
    Max Houkes
    Max Houkes
    Vilius Gaubas
    Vilius Gaubas
    2
    1
    2
    6
    6
    4
    6
    4
    L
    01.08.26
    ATP Challenger San Marino, San Marino
    Facundo Diaz Acosta
    Facundo Diaz Acosta
    Vilius Gaubas
    Vilius Gaubas
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    3
    L
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    Thiago Monteiro Player Overview

    Tiago Monteiro is in good form - seven wins from his last ten matches, including four straight at this tournament. He holds serve at 76%, wins 65% of sets, and converts close to half his break points. Games won sits above 50% across recent matches. He's also won the first set in 80% of his matches - a strong number. These numbers suggest he'll rack up games regardless of who's across the net.

    Match Results: Thiago Monteiro

    04.08.26
    Challenger Hagen
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Tom Gentzsch
    Tom Gentzsch
    1
    2
    3
    6
    77
    65
    4
    6
    L
    03.08.26
    Challenger Hagen
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Tommaso Compagnucci
    Tommaso Compagnucci
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    W
    02.08.26
    Challenger Hagen
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Ivan Gakhov
    Ivan Gakhov
    2
    1
    62
    77
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    31.07.26
    ATP Challenger San Marino, San Marino
    Vilius Gaubas
    Vilius Gaubas
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    2
    0
    79
    67
    77
    65
    L
    30.07.26
    ATP Challenger San Marino, San Marino
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Andrea Pellegrino
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Key factors

    • Tiago Monteiro has gone over 11.5 games in 8 of his last 9 matches.
    • Monteiro has won both of his previous meetings with Gaubas.
    • Monteiro has won 65% of sets and 55% of games over his last 10 matches.
    • His matches average 23 games - which supports the individual total bet.

    Expected scenario

    Based on the analytics, this looks like an even match - two sets possible, but both players hold serve well and win points consistently. A third set is a moderate probability. That pattern suggests Thiago Monteiro's individual total should clear the line even without a long fight or tie-breaks.

    Prediction on total

    Monteiro's recent results show he can consistently clear the individual total threshold - even against higher-ranked opponents or in difficult match scenarios. That trend is particularly relevant here: he already has successful examples against Gaubas when it comes to hitting the required games tally.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Tiago Monteiro's current form is built on consistency - he holds serve regularly and converts his chances at a high rate throughout matches. His record against Gaubas adds further confidence in the chosen market. Even if this wraps up in two sets, going over the line looks likely given how competitive both players tend to make their games. The pick - Tiago Monteiro individual total over 11.5 games.

    Thiago Monteiro Total Over (11,5)
    Published: 31/07/2026, 05:08
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis and football specialist
    310
    1
    280
    591 predictions
    Statistics for July 2026

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    Betting Tips: Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro

    Vilius Gaubas has lost the 2nd set:
    gaubas-vilius-1in 10 of last 12 matches.
    Thiago Monteiro has won the 2nd set:
    monteiro-thiago-mourain last 4 matches (Challenger San Marino).
    2nd Set Thiago Monteiro Win
    +114
    Thiago Monteiro has won the 1st set:
    monteiro-thiago-mourain 8 of last 9 matches.
    monteiro-thiago-mourain last 4 matches (Challenger San Marino).
    1st Set Thiago Monteiro Win
    Bovada
    +110
    Thiago Monteiro has won:
    monteiro-thiago-mourain 6 of last 7 matches.
    Thiago Monteiro Win
    Bovada
    +120
    Under 2.5 sets:
    gaubas-vilius-1in last 5 Vilius Gaubas games.
    monteiro-thiago-mourain last 5 Thiago Monteiro games.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    -169
    View more facts