Sabalenka vs Rybakina Prediction 31 January 2026
🔊 How will the rematch of the 2023 Australian Open final between Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina play out? Let's recall that the trophy went to the Belarusian back then. Following her triumph, Aryna consistently reached the decisive stages in Melbourne, unlike Rybakina, for whom that achievement remained her peak; in subsequent years, she hasn't advanced beyond the Round of 16. Can the Kazakh player take revenge and secure her first Grand Slam title in Australia? Our editorial team will evaluate the odds and potential outcomes in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 The tennis players share a rich head-to-head history, having clashed 16 times. Aryna Sabalenka has come out on top in nine of those encounters, while Elena Rybakina has triumphed in the remaining seven. However, last year saw a balanced outcome between the athletes, with each securing two victories.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Aryna Sabalenka Player Overview
World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka remains undefeated in the new season. She clinched the WTA 500 title in Brisbane and is looking to break the unfortunate trend of this tournament since its format change: no Brisbane champion has gone on to win the Australian Open. However, things are going exceptionally well for Aryna in Melbourne-she's reached the final without dropping a set, only facing two tiebreaks, both in a single match against Anastasia Potapova in the Round of 32.
Sabalenka is renowned for her physical strength and powerful serve, rarely missing her first serve (71% accuracy). Additionally, this year we've seen the results of her off-season work: she has improved her groundstrokes and significantly expanded her technical repertoire.
Match Results: Aryna Sabalenka
Elena Rybakina Player Overview
Elena Rybakina hasn't secured any trophies this season yet, but she's making waves at the Australian Open with her flawless run. Like Sabalenka, the Kazakh player has reached the final without dropping a set. Moreover, unlike the Belarusian, Elena has only been pushed to a tiebreak once, despite facing a significantly tougher draw. Her victories over world No. 6 Jessica Pegula and world No. 3 Iga Swiatek in the previous rounds speak volumes.
In Melbourne, Rybakina is showcasing her strengths: a powerful first serve averaging 6.2 aces per match and an impressive 57% break point conversion rate. The Kazakhstani isn't afraid to engage in lengthy baseline rallies, thanks to her quality forehand and improved court movement.
Match Results: Elena Rybakina
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The clash between Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina promises an exhilarating contest of similar styles: both players adopt an aggressive approach with a significant focus on their serves. However, the Kazakhstani has excelled in this aspect, frequently delivering aces, at least in Melbourne. Meanwhile, Aryna demonstrates more consistency in her service games. Both players are comfortable on hard courts and often conclude matches with minimal rallies, regardless of the opposition level. In the new season, they have played a total of 19 matches, only two of which extended beyond 22 games. Additionally, in five of their last six encounters on outdoor hard courts, no more than two sets were played. With these factors in mind, we suggest considering a bet on total sets under 2.5.
Betting Tips: Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina
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