Surface:
Hard
Round:
Quarterfinal
Matteo Berrettini
ITA
ATP - 48
10
:
13
:
24
Alex De Minaur
AUS
ATP - 10

Berrettini vs De Minaur Prediction 30 October 2026

    🔊 Matteo Berrettini and Alex De Minaur meet in the quarter-finals of the Vienna tournament on indoor hard court. The two have a well-established head-to-head record, and their matches have often been played at a fast pace. A match without prolonged sets is anticipated, which may shape the overall pattern of play.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Head to head, the two players are perfectly level at 3-3. Interestingly, exactly a year ago they met here in Vienna, also in the quarter-finals. On that occasion De Minaur proved sharper and more resilient, beating Berrettini in two sets, including a tight tie-break.

    Head-to-head statistics Berrettini - De Minaur

    50%
    3 Wins
    50%
    3 Wins
    19.01.26
    Australian Open (ATP)
    Matteo Berrettini
    Matteo Berrettini
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    -
    -
    24.10.25
    Vienna
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Matteo Berrettini
    Matteo Berrettini
    2
    0
    6
    1
    77
    64
    25.03.25
    MIA
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Matteo Berrettini
    Matteo Berrettini
    0
    2
    3
    6
    67
    79
    07.07.23
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Matteo Berrettini
    Matteo Berrettini
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    3
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    6
    4
    02.01.22
    ATP Cup
    Matteo Berrettini
    Matteo Berrettini
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    0
    2
    3
    6
    6
    7
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    Matteo Berrettini Player Overview

    Matteo Berrettini looks like a player who has put his injury troubles firmly behind him and is simply enjoying his tennis. In Vienna, the Italian is doing what he does best: hammering first serves at around 210 km/h and following them up with heavy forehands. He opened the tournament with a composed, unfussy win over a solid Tomás Martín Etcheverry (6-3, 6-4). In the second round, Berrettini barely had time to get going - his compatriot Flavio Cobolli retired with an injury at 5-2 in the first set. Berrettini has conserved plenty of energy, is in excellent form and is ready to press from the first point.

    Match Results: Matteo Berrettini

    29.10.26
    Vienna
    Flavio Cobolli
    Flavio Cobolli
    Matteo Berrettini
    Matteo Berrettini
    0
    0
    2
    5
    W
    26.10.26
    Vienna
    Matteo Berrettini
    Matteo Berrettini
    Tomas Martin Etcheverry
    Tomas Martin Etcheverry
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    20.10.26
    France Lyon
    Matteo Berrettini
    Matteo Berrettini
    Kyrian Jacquet
    Kyrian Jacquet
    0
    2
    64
    77
    5
    7
    L
    09.10.26
    SHA
    Matteo Berrettini
    Matteo Berrettini
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    0
    2
    64
    77
    5
    7
    L
    07.10.26
    SHA
    Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Matteo Berrettini
    Matteo Berrettini
    1
    2
    77
    63
    1
    6
    4
    6
    W
    Empty
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    Alex De Minaur Player Overview

    Alex De Minaur arrived in Vienna with one specific goal - to qualify for the ATP Finals in Turin. His motivation is sky-high, and he has been relentless on court. The start was tense: in the first round De Minaur was a break down against Tomáš Macháč, but dug deep, outlasted the Czech and took the match 1-6, 6-4, 6-3. The next round was more straightforward - young American Learner Tien could do nothing against De Minaur's trademark defensive game, going down 6-4, 6-2. De Minaur retrieves everything that comes his way, counter-attacks with precision and grinds opponents down in extended rallies.

    Match Results: Alex De Minaur

    28.10.26
    Vienna
    Learner Tien
    Learner Tien
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    0
    2
    4
    6
    2
    6
    W
    26.10.26
    Vienna
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    1
    2
    6
    1
    4
    6
    3
    6
    W
    15.10.26
    SHA
    Alexander Zverev
    Alexander Zverev
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    L
    13.10.26
    SHA
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Karen Khachanov
    Karen Khachanov
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    11.10.26
    SHA
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Rei Sakamoto
    Rei Sakamoto
    2
    0
    78
    66
    6
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Key factors

    • In five best-of-three head-to-head meetings, the total games never exceeded 25.5.
    • Alex De Minaur wins the majority of his matches in straight sets, which reduces the likelihood of a long match.
    • Matteo Berrettini has lost three of his last ten matches without taking a set, which also points to a risk of a short match.

    Expected scenario

    Head-to-head meetings between these two tend to be brief: in best-of-three format the total has never exceeded two sets or gone beyond 25 games. Given Alex De Minaur's advantage in current form and his frequent straight-sets wins, a one-sided outcome seems the most likely scenario - which aligns with a bet on the Under.

    Total Games Prediction

    Total Games - Under 25.5 has landed in 5 of their head-to-head matches. Meetings between Matteo Berrettini and Alex De Minaur have consistently produced a modest number of games - five times in a row the final game count has stayed within that line.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Alex De Minaur has been consistent throughout the season and often wins his matches comfortably in straight sets, while Matteo Berrettini has struggled against top opponents - a pattern that tends to produce short matches with few games. Their head-to-head meetings have rarely been lengthy either: five in a row ended with a total of no more than 25 games. The pick is Total Games - Under 25.5.
    Total Under (25,5)
    Thunderpick
    Place a bet-167
    Published: 30/10/2026, 06:56
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis expert
    167
    5
    116
    288 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Matteo Berrettini - Alex De Minaur

    Alex De Minaur has won the 2nd set:
    de-minaur-alexin 12 of last 14 matches.
    2nd Set Alex De Minaur to Win
    -200
    Over 19.5 games:
    berrettini-matteode-minaur-alexin last 5 Matteo Berrettini games against Alex De Minaur.
    Total Over (19,5)
    Thunderpick
    -357
    Under 2.5 sets:
    berrettini-matteode-minaur-alexin last 5 Matteo Berrettini games against Alex De Minaur.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    Thunderpick
    -172
    Under 25.5 games:
    berrettini-matteode-minaur-alexin last 5 Matteo Berrettini games against Alex De Minaur.
    Total Under (25,5)
    Thunderpick
    -164
    View more facts