Surface:
Hard
Round:
Semifinal
Learner Tien
USA
ATP - 52
1
:
1
Retired
Winner: Learner Tien
Daniil Medvedev
RUS
ATP - 18

Tien vs Medvedev Prediction 30 September 2025

    USA
    Learner Tien
    RUS
    Daniil Medvedev
    5
    7
    4
    1
    7
    5
    0
    1

    🔊 In the second semifinal of the tennis tournament in Beijing, Learner Tien and Daniil Medvedev will face off, currently ranked 52nd and 18th in the ATP rankings, respectively. Bookmakers see the Russian player as the clear favorite in this matchup. But can Daniil truly demonstrate his superiority over his opponent on the court? Read our material for a prediction on the outcome of this match.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Learner Tien and Daniil Medvedev have faced each other only once. Their encounter took place this season during the second round of the Australian Open. The American tennis player emerged victorious in that match with a 3-2 win.

    Head-to-head statistics Tien - Medvedev

    75%
    3 Wins
    25%
    1 Win
    25.01.26
    Australian Open (ATP)
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Learner Tien
    Learner Tien
    0
    3
    4
    6
    0
    6
    3
    6
    08.10.25
    SHA
    Learner Tien
    Learner Tien
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    1
    2
    6
    7
    7
    6
    4
    6
    30.09.25
    China, Beijing
    Learner Tien
    Learner Tien
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    1
    1
    5
    7
    7
    5
    4
    0
    16.01.25
    Australian Open (ATP)
    Learner Tien
    Learner Tien
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    3
    2
    6
    3
    7
    6
    6
    7
    1
    6
    7
    6
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    Learner Tien Player Overview

    🎾 Thien has never participated in the Beijing tournament before, making his debut appearance a remarkable success. Reaching the semifinals is an outstanding achievement for a player ranked outside the top 50. This season, Lerner has played 33 matches on hard courts, winning 22 of them. Notably, this year has been the most successful in the 19-year-old American's career so far.

    🔔 The tournament in Beijing hasn't been a walk in the park for Thien, especially in the early rounds. In the opening round, he defeated Francisco Cerundolo in three sets (4-6, 6-3, 6-4), and then overcame Flavio Cobolli (6-3, 6-2). In the quarterfinals, Thien's opponent, Lorenzo Musetti, retired due to injury in the third set while trailing (4-6, 6-3, 3-0). It's worth noting that against the Italian, Lerner didn't serve a single ace and won only 66% of points on his first serve.

    Match Results: Learner Tien

    19.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Learner Tien
    Learner Tien
    Frances Tiafoe
    Frances Tiafoe
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    4
    4
    6
    L
    16.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Learner Tien
    Learner Tien
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    2
    0
    6
    3
    77
    64
    W
    13.08.26
    Canada Montreal
    Learner Tien
    Learner Tien
    Ben Shelton
    Ben Shelton
    0
    2
    2
    6
    3
    6
    L
    11.08.26
    Canada Montreal
    Daniel Merida
    Daniel Merida
    Learner Tien
    Learner Tien
    0
    2
    3
    6
    2
    6
    W
    09.08.26
    Canada Montreal
    Learner Tien
    Learner Tien
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
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    Daniil Medvedev Player Overview

    🎾 Medvedev has previously claimed victory at the Beijing tournament, with his triumph dating back to 2019 when he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final. Last year, the Russian only reached the quarterfinals. This season, Daniil boasts a hard court record of 16 wins and 10 losses.

    🔔 Medvedev is displaying remarkable form at the Beijing tournament, not dropping a single set and consistently defeating opponents by a margin of at least 5 games. In the previous round, Daniil faced his fierce rival Alexander Zverev and dispatched him in straight sets (6-3, 6-3). In this match, the Russian's serve was particularly strong, with a first serve success rate of 67% and winning 86% of points on his first serve.

    Match Results: Daniil Medvedev

    25.08.26
    WIN
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Martin Damm
    Martin Damm
    0
    2
    5
    7
    3
    6
    L
    18.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    1
    63
    77
    77
    64
    6
    1
    L
    16.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    0
    2
    4
    6
    5
    7
    W
    05.08.26
    Canada Montreal
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Botic Van De Zandschulp
    Botic Van De Zandschulp
    0
    2
    3
    6
    6
    7
    L
    03.07.26
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Jan-Lennard Struff
    Jan-Lennard Struff
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    3
    0
    77
    64
    77
    65
    7
    5
    L
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    Editorial Prediction

    As of today, Learner Tien and Daniil Medvedev are in different leagues. The American struggles to serve effectively and wins few points on his serve, which against the seasoned Russian player will inevitably lead to losing his games and ultimately the match. We believe that in the upcoming clash, betting on Medvedev with a -3.5 handicap is the way to go, especially since this has been successful in all his previous matches at this tournament.

    Daniil Medvedev Handicap (-3,5)
    Published: 29/09/2025, 18:55

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    Betting Tips: Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev

    Daniil Medvedev has won the 1st set:
    medvedev-daniilin last 10 matches.
    1st Set Daniil Medvedev Win
    Bovada
    -238
    Learner Tien has won the 2nd set:
    learner-tienin last 6 matches.
    2nd Set Learner Tien Win
    +195
    Over 18.5 games:
    learner-tienin 7 of last 8 Learner Tien games.
    Total Over (18,5)
    -312
    Learner Tien has won over 11.5 games:
    learner-tienin last 6 matches.
    Learner Tien Total Over (11,5)
    +105
    View more facts