Surface:
Hard
Round:
Semifinal
Jannik Sinner
ITA
ATP - 2
2
:
1
Ended
Alex De Minaur
AUS
ATP - 8

Sinner vs De Minaur Prediction 30 September 2025

    ITA
    Jannik Sinner
    AUS
    Alex De Minaur
    6
    4
    6
    2
    3
    6
    2
    1

    🔊 In the semifinals of a major tennis tournament currently taking place in Beijing, Jannik Sinner and Alex de Minaur are set to clash. In the ATP rankings, they hold the 2nd and 8th spots respectively, which leaves bookmakers with little doubt that the Italian will emerge victorious in this matchup. Let's delve deeper into this match and provide a well-founded prediction on its outcome.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur have faced off 10 times, with the Italian tennis player emerging victorious in each encounter. Their most recent head-to-head clash took place this year at the Australian Open, where Jannik comfortably defeated his opponent 3-0 (6-3, 6-2, 6-1).

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    15.11.25
    Turin, Italy
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    2
    25.10.25
    Vienna
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    30.09.25
    China, Beijing
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    1
    6
    3
    4
    6
    6
    2
    22.01.25
    Australian Open (ATP)
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    3
    0
    6
    3
    6
    2
    6
    1
    23.11.24
    Davis Cup
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Jannik Sinner Player Overview

    🎾 In 2023, Sinner clinched the tournament in Beijing, defeating Daniil Medvedev in the final with a score of 2-0 (7-6, 7-6). Last year, he fell short in the final here against Carlos Alcaraz, losing 1-2 (7-6, 4-6, 6-7). Overall, Jannik has been performing well on hard courts, with just two losses against 21 victories.

    🔔 In the current tournament, the Italian tennis player has advanced with relative ease. In the first round, he dispatched Marin Cilic (6-2, 6-2), and then overcame Terence Atmane in three sets (6-4, 5-7, 6-0). In the quarterfinals, Sinner's opponent Fabian Marozsan was unable to challenge the more skilled player and succumbed in straight sets (6-1, 7-5). In that match, Jannik landed his first serve 57% of the time and won 70% of points on his first serve.

    Match Results: Jannik Sinner

    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    2
    3
    6
    3
    6
    2
    5
    7
    1
    6
    1
    6
    L
    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Clement Tabur
    Clement Tabur
    3
    0
    6
    1
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    17.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    15.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    1
    6
    2
    5
    7
    6
    4
    W
    14.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Alex De Minaur Player Overview

    🎾 De Minaur has visited Beijing three times, with his best performance until now being a round of 16 appearance in 2018. Throughout the season, Alex has shown consistent form on hard courts, boasting 26 wins against 8 losses. He enters the semifinals riding a six-match winning streak.

    🔔 In the quarterfinals, De Minaur faced Czech player Jakub Mensik, who retired due to injury while trailing 1-4 in the first set. The match lasted just 27 minutes. Prior to this, Alex defeated Frenchman Arthur Rinderknech (2-1) and Bu Yunchaokete (2-0).

    Match Results: Alex De Minaur

    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Jakub Mensik
    Jakub Mensik
    1
    3
    6
    0
    2
    6
    2
    6
    3
    6
    L
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Alexander Blockx
    Alexander Blockx
    -
    -
    W
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Toby Samuel
    Toby Samuel
    3
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    22.05.26
    ATP Hamburg
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    1
    2
    6
    2
    3
    6
    3
    6
    L
    21.05.26
    ATP Hamburg
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    0
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    W
    Empty
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    Editor's Prediction

    Even though De Minaur is ranked in the world's top 10, a competitive match is unlikely to unfold here. Sinner has consistently proven to be superior in their head-to-head encounters, including this season. Jannik's powerful serve and solid baseline play are expected to dictate the outcome of this clash. Our bet is on the Italian's handicap (-4.5).

    Our choice
    Jannik Sinner Handicap (-4.5) at odds of -172*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (29 September 2025, 14:18)

    Betting Tips: Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur

    Jannik Sinner has won the 2nd set
    sinner-jannikde-minaur-alexin 9 of last 10 matches against Alex De Minaur.
    2nd Set Jannik Sinner Win
    -476
    Alex De Minaur has won
    de-minaur-alexin last 6 matches.
    Alex De Minaur Win
    Bovada
    +475
    Jannik Sinner has won
    sinner-jannikde-minaur-alexin 9 of last 10 matches against Alex De Minaur.
    sinner-jannikin 8 of last 9 matches.
    sinner-jannikin 7 of last 8 matches (ATP Beijing).
    Jannik Sinner Win
    Bovada
    -714
    Alex De Minaur has won the 1st set
    de-minaur-alexin last 6 matches.
    1st Set Alex De Minaur Win
    Bovada
    +340
    View more facts