Samuel vs Machac Prediction 30 August 2026
🔊 Tomáš Macháč arrives at the US Open looking for his first win since suffering a foot injury at Roland Garros. Since that French Open, the former world No. 20 has played just two matches, failing to win a set in either. That makes the odds in his match against Toby Samuel look unusual - the British world No. 110 is actually the shorter-priced favourite. We'll see whether the experienced Czech can prove the bookmakers wrong.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two players have never met before.
Toby Samuel Player Overview
Toby Samuel arrives in fine form - nine wins from his last ten matches, including a hard-court Challenger title in Winnipeg and a successful run through US Open qualifying. That said, his serving numbers are modest: he wins around 70% of service games, well below the ATP Tour average. There is, however, considerable room for improvement given his 191 cm frame. His set-winning percentage of 56 and games-winning percentage of around 53 reflect where he currently stands.
Match Results: Toby Samuel
Tomas Machac Player Overview
Four of Tomáš Macháč's last five matches have ended in defeat, a run stretching back to the clay swing - including Roland Garros and the Rome Masters. After the Paris Major he missed an extended spell through a foot injury, and on his return he lost two matches on hard courts, both in straight sets. His serve numbers are notably stronger than his upcoming opponent's, though: he holds serve in 78% of his service games and averages 7.8 aces per match. His sets and games won percentages are also comparable to Toby Samuel's - both above 50%.
Match Results: Tomas Machac
Key factors
- Tomáš Macháč holds a high percentage of service games won.
- Tob Samuel's set and game win rates are comparable to the Czech's.
- The Briton is in noticeably better form, with Macháč still working his way back to his best after injury.
Expected scenario
A five-set match is possible but not the most likely outcome; even in a shorter format, though, the scoreline should be tight. Machac is clearly not at his best right now, but the Czech is still a player of a different calibre to his British opponent. The two men's career peaks are simply not comparable, and Samuel - despite his physical advantages - has so far made very poor use of his serve. We'd push back on the odds for this match and expect Machac, inconsistent as he has been lately, to put up a solid fight.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Toby Samuel's form looks impressive in terms of wins, but his stats point to a limited number of service games held. Tomáš Macháč has a notably higher hold rate, suggesting he should win enough service games to make this competitive - even accounting for his inconsistent results on hard courts this season. We think the odds on the former world No. 20 are inflated, so backing the Czech as an underdog to at least extend the match makes sense. Our pick: Total Games - Over 36.5.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Toby Samuel - Tomas Machac
.svg)
Other predictions
