Dzumhur vs Hurkacz Prediction 31 August 2026
🔊 Hubert Hurkacz arrives at the US Open in good form, riding a four-match winning streak and a Challenger title in Cancún. That said, the US Open remains his worst Grand Slam by results - he has never made it past the second round in New York. His first-round opponent Damir Džumhur has actually gone further at this event, reaching the third round on one occasion. The Bosnian comes in with limited hard-court match practice heading into this tournament, which is reflected in odds that make him nearly eight times the price of the former world No. 6. The interesting question is whether Džumhur can make Hurkacz work for it, given the Pole's current confidence levels.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two players have met once before, at the Davis Cup, where Hubert Hurkacz won in straight sets in a best-of-five format. That match, however, was back in 2017.
Damir Dzumhur Player Overview
Djumhur arrives at this tournament having won just one match on hard courts this summer, and that came at a lower-tier European event. He is winning fewer than half of all games - around 45% - though his hold rate is solid at 78%. His set-winning percentage drops back to 41%. None of this is particularly surprising given that Djumhur is primarily a clay-court player and, at 175 cm, is on the smaller side for the men's tour. He operates mainly from the baseline, looking to grind out long rallies and wait for his opponents to make errors.
Match Results: Damir Dzumhur
Hubert Hurkacz Player Overview
Hubert Hurkacz is currently ranked 46th - a notable recovery after slipping outside the top 70 following Wimbledon. He rebuilt his ranking with a Challenger title in Cancún, winning four matches in a row and beating Sebastián Báez 4-6, 6-0, 6-3 in the final. The Pole holds serve reliably - in 84% of service games - and wins 50% of all games, though he doesn't always close out matches quickly. His set-winning rate of 53% is still higher than his upcoming opponent's. Hurkacz leans heavily on his serve but is willing to come to the net, particularly against players who sit deep behind the baseline.
Match Results: Hubert Hurkacz
Key factors
- Džumhur's matches average 37.4 games, above the tour threshold.
- Hurkacz frequently goes deep into matches, averaging 32.9 games.
- The Pole leads on games and sets won, and his serve is noticeably stronger than the Bosnian's.
- Hurkacz stands nearly 20 centimetres taller than Džumhur, an advantage he puts to good use on serve.
Expected scenario
Hurkacz is expected to lean heavily on his powerful serve and look to shorten points by coming to the net. Dzumhur, the more tenacious and mobile of the two, will aim for extended baseline exchanges, trying to wear his opponent down and draw unforced errors. It is hard to see the Bosnian unsettling Hurkacz, though, who arrives at the US Open in good form, while Dzumhur has had minimal match practice on hard courts and has not played a single match on the North American swing this summer.
⭐ Editor's Pick
This looks like a classic clash of styles - an aggressive server against a defensive baseliner. Hurkacz will look to dominate on serve, using his considerable size advantage over his Bosnian opponent. Damir Džumhur is far from his preferred clay courts and will need time to adjust to the American hard courts, where he has yet to appear this summer - unlike Hurkacz, who has been on the North American swing since early August. We expect the top-50 player to seize control early and maintain a comfortable lead throughout. Our pick: Hurkacz to Win - Games Handicap -6.5.
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Betting Tips: Damir Dzumhur - Hubert Hurkacz
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