Monteiro vs Pellegrino Prediction 30 July 2026

    BRA
    Thiago Monteiro
    ITA
    Andrea Pellegrino
    6
    6
    2
    3
    2
    0

    🔊 Thiago Monteiro and Andrea Pellegrino meet in the second round of the San Marino Challenger on clay. The two have history, which adds something to this one. Clay suits Monteiro's game.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Five wins from six meetings - Tiago Monteiro knows this opponent well. He took their last match too, though that head-to-head record isn't the deciding factor here.

    Head-to-head statistics Monteiro - Pellegrino

    86%
    6 Wins
    14%
    1 Win
    30.07.26
    ATP Challenger San Marino, San Marino
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Andrea Pellegrino
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    2
    20.06.23
    ATP Challenger Montechiarugolo, Italy Men Singles
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    0
    2
    4
    6
    4
    6
    25.09.22
    Italy Genoa, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    0
    2
    1
    6
    6
    7
    29.09.21
    Portugal Lisbon, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Andrea Pellegrino
    0
    2
    3
    6
    6
    7
    25.09.20
    ATP Challenger Forli, Italy Men Singles
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Andrea Pellegrino
    2
    1
    6
    4
    4
    6
    6
    1
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    Thiago Monteiro Player Overview

    Seven wins from his last ten, three in a row. Monteiro arrives in decent shape. Over that stretch he's averaging 24.3 games per match and regularly clears 11.5 games individually. Holds 78% of his service games - enough to stay competitive against higher-ranked opponents. Set win rate sits at 63%, games at 53%. He's won both his qualifying and first-round matches here, which says something about his form on this surface.

    Match Results: Thiago Monteiro

    31.08.26
    ATP Challenger Porto, Portugal Men Singles
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Kimmer Coppejans
    Kimmer Coppejans
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    04.08.26
    Challenger Hagen
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Tom Gentzsch
    Tom Gentzsch
    1
    2
    3
    6
    77
    65
    4
    6
    L
    03.08.26
    Challenger Hagen
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Tommaso Compagnucci
    Tommaso Compagnucci
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    W
    02.08.26
    Challenger Hagen
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Ivan Gakhov
    Ivan Gakhov
    2
    1
    62
    77
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    31.07.26
    ATP Challenger San Marino, San Marino
    Vilius Gaubas
    Vilius Gaubas
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    2
    0
    79
    67
    77
    65
    L
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    Andrea Pellegrino Player Overview

    Pellegrino is ranked higher, but his form is shakier - just 5 wins in his last 10 matches, with an even points split (50%-50%). His matches average close to 24 games, and his break-point conversion is solid at 55%. But his hold rate sits at 76%, and no meaningful winning streak points to inconsistent results. He advanced further in the draw last time out. The stats, though, don't show a clear edge in the key areas.

    Match Results: Andrea Pellegrino

    25.08.26
    USO
    Colton Smith
    Colton Smith
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Andrea Pellegrino
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    3
    6
    4
    L
    20.08.26
    ATP Challenger Quebec City, Canada Men Singles
    Zizou Bergs
    Zizou Bergs
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Andrea Pellegrino
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    2
    L
    18.08.26
    ATP Challenger Quebec City, Canada Men Singles
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Nishesh Basavareddy
    Nishesh Basavareddy
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    30.07.26
    ATP Challenger San Marino, San Marino
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Andrea Pellegrino
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    2
    L
    28.07.26
    ATP Challenger San Marino, San Marino
    Carlo Alberto Caniato
    Carlo Alberto Caniato
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Andrea Pellegrino
    0
    2
    4
    6
    0
    6
    W
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    Key factors

    • Monteiro has won more than 11.5 games in 7 of his last 8 matches.
    • Matches involving Monteiro average 24.3 games - which supports the individual total bet.
    • Over his last 10 matches, Monteiro has won 53% of games and 63% of sets.
    • He leads the head-to-head 5-1.
    • Three wins in a row going into this one. The form is there.

    Expected scenario

    A tight match is likely - both players capable of sustaining a high game rate for at least two sets. A third set is possible but not certain. Monteiro's individual total line holds up across recent results, even against stronger opposition. That points toward the individual total over.

    Total Prediction

    Monteiro consistently going over his individual total shows he can rack up the required number of games regardless of the match result or the opponent's ranking.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Monteiro has been solid throughout this tournament - winning early rounds comfortably and holding serve reliably. The head-to-head leans his way too. Games won and sets taken both support the line, even if the match gets competitive. The bet - Thiago Monteiro individual total over 11.5 games.

    Thiago Monteiro Total Over (11,5)
    Published: 29/07/2026, 14:15
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis expert
    14
    0
    5
    19 predictions
    Statistics for July 2026

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    Betting Tips: Thiago Monteiro - Andrea Pellegrino

    Andrea Pellegrino has lost:
    monteiro-thiago-mourapellegrino-andreain 5 of last 6 matches against Thiago Monteiro.
    Thiago Monteiro Win
    Bovada
    +150
    Andrea Pellegrino has won the 2nd set:
    pellegrino-andreain 10 of last 11 matches.
    2nd Set Andrea Pellegrino Win
    -189
    Thiago Monteiro has won the 1st set:
    monteiro-thiago-mourain 7 of last 8 matches.
    1st Set Thiago Monteiro Win
    Bovada
    +130
    Andrea Pellegrino has won under 13.5 games:
    monteiro-thiago-mourapellegrino-andreain last 6 matches against Thiago Monteiro.
    Andrea Pellegrino Total Under (13,5)
    -256
    View more facts