Basilashvili vs Musetti Prediction 1 July 2025

    GEO
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    ITA
    Lorenzo Musetti
    6
    4
    7
    6
    3
    2
    6
    5
    1
    1

    📣 An intriguing clash in the Wimbledon first round is set for Tuesday as Nikoloz Basilashvili faces off against Lorenzo Musetti. Can the 33-year-old Georgian outplay his Italian opponent, who impressed at last year's Wimbledon? Let's dive into our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    The Georgian and the Italian have faced each other twice, even having one encounter on grass. Their meeting on the green surface happened three years ago in Stuttgart, where Nikoloz defeated Lorenzo 2-0. At that time, the Italian wasn't anywhere near the top ten in the ATP rankings. Musetti struggled with his nerves, and his lack of experience was evident: in the first set, he lost the 12th game on his serve without much resistance, and in the second set, he immediately handed Basilashvili a lead and couldn't recover from 0-3. Their other clash took place on hard court in Paris five months later. Musetti avenged his loss to the Georgian, playing with much more confidence (committing only six unforced errors and dropping just 10 points on serve).

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    50%
    2 Wins
    50%
    2 Wins
    21.09.25
    CHE
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    3
    01.07.25
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    3
    1
    6
    2
    4
    6
    7
    5
    6
    1
    02.11.22
    ROL
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    08.06.22
    STU
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    0
    2
    5
    7
    3
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Nikoloz Basilashvili Player Overview

    Nikoloz prepared for the premier grass-court Major at Stuttgart and Halle, where he delivered average performances. He fell to the less consistent Duckworth and Djere, managing only a win against France's Grenier, who currently ranks below Nikoloz in the ATP standings. The Georgian athlete showed resilience: after a first-set setback, he clinched the second set in a tiebreak and immediately broke Grenier at the start of the third set. For Wimbledon, the Georgian had to navigate through the qualifiers, where he wasn't flawless but still overcame Argentina's Ficovich, saving four break points. We know the former world No. 16 for his powerful forehands and aggressive playstyle, which could be advantageous on grass courts.

    Match Results: Nikoloz Basilashvili

    06.06.26
    STU
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Marc-Andrea Huesler
    Marc-Andrea Huesler
    0
    2
    1
    6
    5
    7
    L
    18.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Pedro Boscardin Dias
    Pedro Boscardin Dias
    0
    2
    6
    7
    4
    6
    L
    12.05.26
    ROM
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    2
    1
    3
    6
    77
    65
    6
    2
    L
    11.05.26
    ROM
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    0
    2
    65
    77
    4
    6
    W
    09.05.26
    ROM
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Ben Shelton
    Ben Shelton
    2
    1
    6
    4
    65
    77
    6
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Lorenzo Musetti Player Overview

    The Italian, much like Novak Djokovic, hasn't used other tournaments to prepare for Wimbledon (his last appearance was on June 6th when he retired in the Roland Garros semifinal against Carlos Alcaraz). Musetti has been focusing on individual training, and he's now fully recovered and ready to showcase his best tennis. Last year, Lorenzo reached the semifinals of the grass-court Major, where he was defeated by Novak Djokovic in straight sets but managed to take 14 games off the renowned Serb. On his way to the semifinals, he overcame Mpeshi-Pericard and Fritz, who thrilled tennis fans with their powerful serves during their head-to-head match on Monday. Lorenzo is known for his top-notch backhand and ability to vary the pace of the game.

    Match Results: Lorenzo Musetti

    12.05.26
    ROM
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    0
    2
    3
    6
    1
    6
    L
    10.05.26
    ROM
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Francisco Cerundolo
    Francisco Cerundolo
    2
    0
    79
    67
    6
    4
    W
    08.05.26
    ROM
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
    Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    28.04.26
    Spain, Madrid
    Jiri Lehecka
    Jiri Lehecka
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    3
    L
    26.04.26
    Spain, Madrid
    Tallon Griekspoor
    Tallon Griekspoor
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    0
    2
    4
    6
    5
    7
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Editor's Prediction

    On Tuesday, the best bet for the match between the Georgian and the Italian is under 38.5 games. We anticipate that Musetti will dictate the pace, as he has consistently performed at a high level in Majors over the years. On the other hand, Basilashvili seems yet to fully regain his peak form, as evidenced by his recent struggles against players like Wong and Yamas Ruiz. A key factor is that Musetti has played to similar totals in his last six best-of-five matches. We believe the rejuvenated Italian will play steadily, preventing the inconsistent Georgian player from scoring many points.

    Our choice
    Total Under (38.5) at odds of -125*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (29 June 2025, 10:39)

    Betting Tips: Nikoloz Basilashvili - Lorenzo Musetti

    Nikoloz Basilashvili has won the 2nd set (bo5 series)
    basilashvili-nikolozin 10 of last 11 matches.
    2nd Set Nikoloz Basilashvili Win
    Bovada
    +155
    Nikoloz Basilashvili has won (bo5 series)
    basilashvili-nikolozin 6 of last 7 matches.
    Nikoloz Basilashvili Win
    Bovada
    +240
    Lorenzo Musetti has won the 1st set (bo5 series)
    musetti-lorenzoin 5 of last 6 matches.
    1st Set Lorenzo Musetti Win
    Bovada
    -185
    Lorenzo Musetti has won the 3rd set (bo5 series)
    musetti-lorenzoin 5 of last 6 matches.
    3rd Set Lorenzo Musetti Win
    -217
    View more facts