Surface:
Red clay
Round:
Quarterfinal
Madison Keys
USA
WTA - 5
1
:
2
Ended
Iga Swiatek
POL
WTA - 2

Keys vs Swiatek Prediction 30 April 2025

    USA
    Madison Keys
    POL
    Iga Swiatek
    6
    3
    2
    1
    0
    6
    6
    2

    🎾 This section of the draw features only top-10 players. The Madrid Open is offering us some thrilling matches. In the quarterfinals, Madison Keys will face off against Iga Swiatek. The Pole had a tough battle against Diana Shnaider, while Keys has been consistent throughout the tournament, not dropping a single set.

    Head-to-Head

    Keys and Swiatek have faced each other six times. The American has only managed to defeat Iga in two of those encounters. On clay, they have met three times, with Swiatek emerging victorious in all of them.

    Head-to-head statistics Keys - Swiatek

    25%
    2 Wins
    75%
    6 Wins
    01.11.25
    WTA Finals Singles
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    2
    0
    6
    1
    6
    2
    30.04.25
    Spain Madrid
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    1
    2
    6
    0
    3
    6
    2
    6
    23.01.25
    Australian Open (WTA)
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    2
    1
    5
    7
    6
    1
    7
    6
    14.05.24
    ROM
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    2
    0
    6
    1
    6
    3
    02.05.24
    Spain Madrid
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    2
    0
    6
    1
    6
    3
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    There are no events
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    Madison Keys Player Overview

    Keys is competing in her second clay-court tournament of the season, and she's performing much better in Madrid than she did in Charleston. The American has played three matches without dropping a single set. However, it's worth noting that none of Keys' opponents have posed a real challenge, as she hasn't faced anyone ranked in the world's top 20. It's perhaps unsurprising that she's managed to advance swiftly through all her matches.

    Match Results: Madison Keys

    21.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Sara Bejlek
    Sara Bejlek
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    4
    77
    65
    L
    19.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    Xiyu Wang
    Xiyu Wang
    2
    0
    77
    63
    6
    4
    W
    18.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Katerina Siniakova
    Katerina Siniakova
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    0
    2
    1
    6
    3
    6
    W
    16.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Daria Snigur
    Daria Snigur
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    1
    2
    6
    4
    3
    6
    3
    6
    W
    06.08.26
    Canada Toronto
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    1
    L
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    Iga Swiatek Player Overview

    We have yet to witness the dominant Iga Świątek this season. The Polish player hasn't reached the form that saw her clinch Grand Slam titles. In Madrid, she breezed past Noskova without any trouble, but had to fight hard against Eala, and relied on her experience against Diana Shnaider. Świątek bageled the Russian in the first set but faltered significantly in the second. Shnaider realized she could compete with Świątek, yet nerves played a part. Firstly, it was on the main court in Madrid, and secondly, it was her first match against Świątek. Shnaider wasn't psychologically prepared for such a challenge.

    Match Results: Iga Swiatek

    22.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    2
    1
    7
    5
    4
    6
    6
    4
    L
    20.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    0
    0
    4
    1
    W
    19.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Diane Parry
    Diane Parry
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    3
    W
    17.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Maria Sakkari
    Maria Sakkari
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    1
    6
    1
    W
    16.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Emiliana Arango
    Emiliana Arango
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editorial Prediction

    Bookmakers are not backing Keys in this match, and it's understandable given the head-to-head record favors Swiatek. However, Iga seems unable to deliver her best game at the moment. It appears Keys won't face much difficulty and should secure a swift victory here. Our bet is on the total match games under 22.5.

    Total Under (22,5)
    Published: 29/04/2025, 16:39

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    Betting Tips: Madison Keys - Iga Swiatek

    Madison Keys has lost the 1st set:
    keys-madisonswiatek-igain 5 of last 6 matches against Iga Swiatek.
    1st Set Iga Swiatek Win
    Bovada
    -233
    Iga Swiatek has won the 2nd set:
    swiatek-igain 12 of last 14 matches.
    2nd Set Iga Swiatek Win
    Bovada
    -238
    Over 17.5 games:
    keys-madisonin 6 of last 7 Madison Keys games.
    swiatek-igain 10 of last 11 Iga Swiatek games.
    Total Over (17,5)
    -435
    Under 2.5 sets:
    keys-madisonin last 9 Madison Keys games.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    MyBookie
    -118
    View more facts